La campaña presidencial de George HW Bush de 1992 fue una campaña de reelección infructuosa para George HW Bush y su compañero de fórmula Dan Quayle como presidente y vicepresidente de los Estados Unidos. [2] Fueron derrotados por el candidato presidencial demócrata Bill Clinton y el candidato a vicepresidente Al Gore . [3] Bush, un republicano y ex vicepresidente de Ronald Reagan , lanzó su candidatura presidencial a principios de 1992 y aseguró la nominación para su reelección el 20 de agosto de 1992. Fue desafiado en las primarias republicanas por ex Pat Buchanan , director de comunicaciones de la Casa Blanca , recibió menos del uno por ciento de los delegados en la Convención. [4]
George HW Bush para presidente | |
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Campaña | Primarias republicanas de 1992 Elecciones presidenciales de los Estados Unidos de 1992 |
Candidato | George HW Bush 41 ° presidente de los Estados Unidos (1989-1993) Dan Quayle 44 ° vicepresidente de los Estados Unidos (1989-1993) |
Afiliación | partido Republicano |
Estado | Anunciado: 12 de febrero de 1992 Nominado oficial: 20 de agosto de 1992 Elecciones perdidas: 3 de noviembre de 1992 |
Sede | Houston , Texas |
Gente clave |
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Ingresos | 101 936 902 USD [1] |
Eslogan | No cambie el equipo en medio de la corriente |
Bush nació en Milton , Massachusetts , en 1924. Después de servir en la marina y trabajar con su Oil Development Company, [5] se postuló para la Cámara de Representantes de Estados Unidos desde el séptimo distrito del Congreso de Texas en 1966 y ganó las elecciones. En 1980, impugnó las primarias republicanas para presidente, terminando segundo detrás de Reagan, quien lo eligió como su compañero de fórmula. [6] El boleto Reagan-Bush ganó las elecciones presidenciales de 1980 y 1984. [7] [8] Como vicepresidente, Bush generalmente mantuvo un perfil bajo al evitar tomar decisiones y no criticar públicamente a Reagan. [9] En 1987, Bush anunció su candidatura presidencial, ganando las primarias presidenciales y convirtiéndose en el candidato. [10] Finalmente ganó las elecciones con Dan Quayle como vicepresidente. Bush anunció su candidatura a la reelección a principios de 1992.
Con una victoria de la coalición en la Guerra del Golfo Pérsico y sus altos índices de aprobación, inicialmente parecía probable la reelección de Bush; sin embargo, muchos conservadores lo criticaron por romper su promesa de nunca aumentar los impuestos . [11] Mientras tanto, los demócratas nominaron al gobernador de Arkansas, Bill Clinton, como su candidato presidencial, con el senador de Tennessee Al Gore como su compañero de fórmula. [12] El multimillonario de Texas Ross Perot decidió postularse como candidato independiente de un tercer partido; en un momento, Perot tenía una clara ventaja sobre los candidatos de los principales partidos en las encuestas. [13] Durante la campaña, Bush enfatizó el éxito de su política exterior , pero cuando la economía se hundió , su popularidad cayó. Realizó una gira con paradas en un tren llamado Spirit of America y participó en una serie de tres debates presidenciales. [14] Clinton ganó las elecciones, con el 43 por ciento del voto popular y 370 votos electorales, mientras que Bush ganó el 37,5 por ciento del voto popular y 168 votos electorales. Perot ganó el 19% del voto popular, uno de los totales más altos para un candidato de un tercer partido en la historia de Estados Unidos, pero sin votos electorales. [15] Bush dejó el cargo con un índice de aprobación del 56% y un índice de desaprobación del 37%. [dieciséis]
Fondo
Bush nació en Milton , Massachusetts , en 1924. [17] En 1964, se postuló para el Senado de los Estados Unidos y ganó la nominación republicana , pero perdió las elecciones en un 56% contra un 44%. [18] [19] En 1966, se postuló para la Cámara de Representantes de los Estados Unidos desde el séptimo distrito del Congreso de Texas y ganó las elecciones. Se desempeñó como embajador ante las Naciones Unidas bajo la Administración de Nixon, su primera experiencia diplomática importante con la Unión Soviética y China . [20] Dirigió su campaña presidencial en 1980 contra Ronald Reagan, Bob Dole y muchos otros candidatos republicanos. Obtuvo una cerrada victoria en el caucus de Iowa con un 31,5% frente al 29,4% de Reagan [21], pero finalmente terminó perdiendo muchos concursos ante Reagan y se retiró de la carrera. [22] Como compañero de fórmula, Reagan eligió a Bush, quien aceptó con entusiasmo el puesto y se lanzó a hacer campaña por la boleta Reagan-Bush. [23] Ganaron las elecciones presidenciales de 1980 en una victoria aplastante contra el presidente en funciones Jimmy Carter . Como vicepresidente, Bush generalmente mantuvo un perfil bajo al evitar tomar decisiones y no criticar públicamente al presidente. [9] Reagan ganó su reelección en 1984 en una victoria aplastante contra Walter Mondale , ganando 49 de 50 estados con Bush siendo reelegido como vicepresidente. [24] [25]
In 1987, Bush announced his presidential bid and put together a campaign led by Reagan staffer Lee Atwater.[26] Senator Bob Dole, Congressman Jack Kemp, and televangelist Pat Robertson challenged him in the primaries.[27] After he won South Carolina, and 16 of 17 states on Super Tuesday, his competitors dropped out of the race.[28] Bush also pledged that he would not raise taxes, stating: "read my lips: no new taxes".[29] Bush selected Senator Dan Quayle of Indiana as his running mate.[30] They won the 1988 presidential election against Democratic nominee Michael Dukakis, and Bush became the first incumbent vice president to be elected president since Martin Van Buren in 1836.[31] Bush was inaugurated on January 20, 1989, with an approval rating of 51%.[32] During his term, he signed various bilateral treaties between the United States and the Soviet Union, like START I and START II, on the limitation of strategic offensive arms and nuclear weapons.[33] The Cold War ended with the dissolution of the Soviet Union.[34] In late 1989, the fall of the Berlin Wall was a major event. The Bush Administration decided to help facilitate reunification of Germany on terms favorable to the United States and a democratic Germany.[35] During the same time, the United States invaded Panama to depose Panamanian dictator Manuel Noriega.[36] His experience as a diplomat allowed him to re-construct the U.S. foreign policy.[37] During the campaign, he strongly emphasized his foreign policy success.[38] He achieved an approval rating of 89% in March 1991, after the United States' and coalition victory in Persian Gulf.[39]
As the economy went into a recession in 1990, the unemployment rate rose from 5.9% in 1989 to a high of 7.8% in mid-1991 and the debt percentage of total GDP rose from 39.4% in 1989 to almost 46.8% in 1992.[40][41] As the recession continued, people became increasingly worried about the changing economic situation of the nation. In September 1990, Bush and Congressional Democrats announced a compromise to cut funding for mandatory and discretionary programs while also raising revenue, partly through a higher gas tax.[42] The compromise included a "pay as you go" provision that required that new programs be paid for at the time of implementation.[43] Conservatives opposed the bill, strongly against any form of tax increase. Bush's decision to sign the bill damaged his standing with conservatives and the public. He had broken his pledge never to raise taxes.[44][45] Bush's broken promise is often considered one of several important factors leading to his defeat.[46]
Ganando la nominación
Preparing for a run
In early 1991, Bush once considered not running for re-election, asserting he seemed not to have an "ounce of energy to manage a massive project".[47] With the end of the Persian Gulf war in March 1991, President Bush had very high approval ratings, some even approaching 90%.[39] But by 1992, many conservative Republicans' support of Bush had waned for a variety of reasons, including raising taxes and cutting defense spending.[48] Americans were less concerned with his foreign policy successes than the nation's changing economic situation. Bush was not impressed by the polls' prediction that he would win re-election. He felt the economy would be the deciding factor in the election and could even overshadow the success of Operation Desert Storm.[49] While 71% of the population viewed Bush's foreign policy success positively, only 21% approved of his handling of domestic issues.[50] Yet, while addressing a rally in Texas on February 12, 1992, he announced his re-election bid and said:
Let me tell you why I'm running. I came here to do important work, and I finish what I start. In 1980 I came to Washington as a part of a team. We started a revolution to free America from, you remember, the politics of malaise and to set sail toward America's destiny. Then in 1988, Dan Quayle and I began our own partnership built on the same principles. My message then and my message now is simple: I believe Government is too big, and it costs too much. I believe in a strong defense for this country and good schools, safe streets, a Government really worthy of the people. I believe that parents, not Government, should make the important decisions about health, child care, and education. I believe in personal responsibility. I believe in opportunity for all. We should throw open wide the doors of possibility to anyone who has been locked out. And I believe in a piece of wisdom passed on by my favorite political philosopher, Barbara Bush: What happens in your house is more important than what happens in the White House.[51]
After the success of the Gulf War, his re-election was considered highly likely. Several high-profile Democratic party candidates, like Mario Cuomo and Jesse Jackson, refused to seek the Democratic nomination.[52] The media gave the Democratic Party little chance of winning the presidency. Most Republicans continued to endorse Bush as their nominee. Ron Paul, the Libertarian Party's presidential nominee in 1988, had planned to run against the president, but dropped out shortly after former White House communication director Pat Buchanan's entry in the Republican primaries.[53] In 1990, determined to undercut Bush, Pat Buchanan published a newsletter called Patrick J. Buchanan: From the Right; it sent subscribers a bumper sticker reading: "Read Our Lips! No new taxes".[54]
Republican presidential primaries
Primaries were held for all 50 states and the District of Columbia from February 18 to June 9, 1992. Apart from Buchanan; David Duke, Pat Paulsen, Harold Stassen and Jack Fellure had also challenged Bush. Buchanan's candidacy relied heavily on a strong showing in the New Hampshire primary, as a result, Bush made New Hampshire a focal point in his re-election bid. However, New Hampshire remained a pivotal base for Buchanan's primary campaign.[55] He explained the reason for running against incumbent President Bush:
If the country wants to go in a liberal direction, if the country wants to go in the direction of [Democrats] George Mitchell and Tom Foley, it doesn't bother me as long as I've made the best case I can. What I can't stand are the back-room deals. They're all in on it, the insider game, the establishment game—this is what we're running against.[56]
During the early counting of the votes at the New Hampshire primary, it appeared that the president might lose to Buchanan[57] but after completion of the count, Bush carried New Hampshire with 53% of the votes, while Buchanan finished second with 38%.[58] It was a strong showing by Buchanan as Bush got fewer votes than expected. Buchanan's score nearly matched Eugene McCarthy’s protest vote against Lyndon B. Johnson in 1968.[59] Buchanan ran on a platform of immigration reduction and social conservatism, including opposition to multiculturalism, abortion, and gay rights.[60] His campaign raised $14,933,082 from donations.
Heading into primaries in Georgia and Texas, the campaign pollster Bob Teeter argued that Bush should criticize Buchanan's campaign directly, while Dan Quayle insisted that he should not. Agreeing with Quayle, Bush said he would largely not criticize Buchanan directly, but “might tweak him from time to time.”[61] On the evening of the Georgia primary, in an interview to The Atlanta Constitution, Bush accepted that the tax increases in the 1990 budget deal had been his “biggest mistake.”[59] Buchanan managed to get 35% or more votes in primaries until March 10, after which, his ratings dropped and Bush went on to win all 51 contests. Later, Buchanan endorsed Bush as the Republican nominee and was asked by the Bush campaign to deliver a keynote address at Republican National Convention (RNC), where his culture war speech alienated many moderates.[62]
Bush won 72.84% of the popular vote while Buchanan won 22.96%. The fact that Buchanan got almost 2.9 million votes threatened Bush's campaign for his presidential run.
Republican National Convention
With the RNC approaching, the Bush campaign and the administration debated how Bush might take the initiative on the domestic front. The early ideas for the president's acceptance speech were issues that would have broad appeal.[63] The 1992 Republican National Convention convened at the Astrodome in Houston, Texas, from August 17–20, 1992.[64] To accommodate the convention and its set-up, the Houston Astros, the Major League Baseball team that played at the Astrodome, played 26 consecutive away games over 28 days. In addition, the National Football League's Houston Oilers were forced to play all their preseason games on the road.[64] With all the state contests settled in Bush's favor, the roll of delegates drawn up by the RNC heavily favored Bush as the unanimous choice, though Buchanan and Alan Keyes also won delegates.[a] By this time, independent candidate Ross Perot had dropped out of the race, and Bill Clinton had officially secured the Democratic nomination. There was speculation about President Bush dropping Quayle from the ticket.[65] George W. Bush suggested replacing him with Dick Cheney, while Jeb Bush also urged him to get rid of Quayle because of his relatively low polling performance.[66] Even former president Gerald Ford called Bush to urge a vice presidential change.[67] Still, Bush was unwilling to drop Quayle in the absence of him voluntarily stepping aside. He asserted that removing his 1988 choice from the 1992 ticket would be an implicit admission that choosing Quayle had been a mistake. In the aftermath of criticism over raising taxes, Bush had no appetite for such a political moment.[66] He ultimately kept Quayle on the ticket. Heading to the convention, Robert Teeter said that the south was critical for Bush's re-election strategy, since both Clinton and Gore were southerners.[68]
Notably, the 1992 convention was where former president Ronald Reagan made the last major address of his long political career.[69] Before the convention, Clinton's poll numbers were rising, sharply affected by the fact he delivered his acceptance speech on the same night Ross Perot dropped out of the race.[70] Reagan said:
This fellow [Clinton], they [Democrats] have nominated claims to be the new Thomas Jefferson, Let me tell you something, I knew Thomas Jefferson, he was a friend of mine, and Governor, you are no Thomas Jefferson.[b] [71]
The convention energized the Republican base, giving the Bush-Quayle ticket a bounce in the polls. As the bounce faded, the race returned to a lopsided double-digit Clinton–Gore lead. During his acceptance speech, President Bush thanked former president Richard Nixon for his advice and contributions to the administration's foreign policy.[72] This would be Nixon's last RNC, as he died in 1994. Bush opened his acceptance speech with issues related to foreign policy, taking credit for the multiple changes that had convulsed the world since he stood before the convention in New Orleans four years before.[73] He said:
My opponents say I spend too much time on foreign policy, as if it didn't matter that schoolchildren once hid under their desks in drills to prepare for nuclear war. I saw the chance to rid our children's dreams of the nuclear nightmare, and I did. Over the past 4 years, more people have breathed the fresh air of freedom than in all of human history. I saw a chance to help, and I did. These were the two defining opportunities not of a year, not of a decade, but of an entire span of human history. I seized those opportunities for our kids and our grandkids, and I make no apologies for that.[74]
George H. W. Bush received 2166 delegates; Pat Buchanan received 18 delegates; and Alan Keyes received one delegate. Dan Quayle was nominated as the vice-presidential candidate by voice vote.
Campaña de elecciones generales
Getting an opponent
Democratic nomination
With President Bush's approval ratings skyrocketing after Operation Desert Storm, high-profile Democratic Party candidates, such as Mario Cuomo and Jesse Jackson, refused to seek the Democratic nomination.[52] The major candidates were Arkansas governor Bill Clinton, former California governor Jerry Brown, and former senator Paul Tsongas.[75] In the lead-in to the 1992 New Hampshire Democratic primary, the Clinton campaign was rocked by scandal when Gennifer Flowers accused him of having a 12-year sexual affair.[76] At the same time, Clinton was accused of misleading the U.S. Army Reserve to avoid service in the Vietnam War.[77] Bill and Hillary Clinton denied the sexual misconduct allegations in an interview by Steve Kroft on an episode of 60 Minutes airing after Super Bowl XXVI.[76]
Though Jerry Brown was leading in the polls in September 1991, Clinton's lead eventually increased, and he became the front runner. He lost the Iowa caucus to Tom Harkin, getting only 2.8% of the votes; and lost the New Hampshire primary to Paul Tsongas.[78] After coming in second place in New Hampshire, he delivered a speech labeling himself "The Comeback Kid", which re-energized his campaign.[79] After Harkin dropped out of the race, Clinton went on to win eight of 11 contests on Super Tuesday and won most of the contests after that. After the North Dakota primary, Paul Tsongas also dropped out, leaving only Clinton and Brown in the race.[80] Although Brown continued to campaign in several states, he won no more primaries. Despite this, he still had a sizable number of delegates, and a big win in his home state of California would have deprived Clinton of sufficient support to win the nomination.[81]
After getting enough delegates to win the convention, Clinton shortlisted six potential vice presidential candidates, which included Senators Al Gore, Bob Graham, Jay Rockefeller, Harris Wofford, Bob Kerry, and Representative Lee H. Hamilton. Former Deputy Secretary of State Warren Christopher led Clinton's vice-presidential selection team.[82] Ultimately, Clinton chose Gore, a senator from Tennessee, who had previously sought the Democratic presidential nomination in 1988.[83] In making the selection, Clinton emphasized Gore's experience with foreign policy and environmental issues. He appeared on The Arsenio Hall Show on Wednesday, June 3, 1992, the day after he secured the Democratic Party nomination, and played "Heartbreak Hotel" on the saxophone. This was considered an important moment in the campaign, as it helped him build popularity among young voters.[84] Clinton received a significant poll bounce from the convention, due to both the perceived success of the convention, and Ross Perot announcing he was withdrawing from the campaign just as the convention was ending. He received 3,372 delegates; Jerry Brown received 596 delegates; Paul Tsongas received 289 delegates; and other candidates received 19 delegates. Al Gore was nominated for vice president by acclamation on a voice vote.[85]
Ross Perot's candidacy
Ross Perot appeared on Larry King Live on February 20, 1992. When Larry King asked him about any scenario in which he would run for president, Perot said he did not want to run, but spontaneously affirmed that he would begin a campaign if "ordinary people" signed petitions and helped him achieve ballot access in all 50 states.[86] Following this, Tom Luce, a friend of Perot organized "Draft Perot", which were opened throughout the nation, and petition drives were coordinated.[87] At one point, Perot's volunteers received 30,000 telephone calls in one hour.[88]
Since 15 states require the candidate's running mate's name to appear on the ballot, he chose retired Vice Admiral James Stockdale as his "interim" running mate; he later became his running mate.[89] Throughout April, the draft efforts continued, and Perot appeared on talk shows, discussing his plans and positions on political issues. He was willing to spend $100 million of his own money to finance the campaign. In June 1992, he was leading Bush and Clinton nationally with 39% of the vote.[90] Speculation arose in the media that Perot would split the electoral college and force the United States House of Representatives to decide the presidency.[91] On July 16, Perot announced on Larry King Live he would not seek the presidency. He explained he did not want the House of Representatives to decide the election if the result caused the electoral college to be split, and also because of rumors that Bush campaign planning on embarrassing his daughter by doctoring photographs for public release and disrupting her wedding.[92]
He asked his supporters to look for other candidates to nominate for the race and formed United We Stand to "influence the debate."[93] In August, he promised to endorse any candidate who accepted his economic plan, meanwhile, petitions for ballot access were approved in all 50 states. On October 1, Perot re-entered the presidential race, with a desire to further explain his economic plans.[94] He employed a massive marketing strategy, spending huge amounts to buy half-hour and hour-long segments on major television networks. His first infomercial was aired on October 6 and viewed by 16.5 million people.[95]
Campaign
President Bush campaigned extensively for the election. Just a week after the convention, he addressed a rally in Cincinnati, Ohio, where he criticized Clinton's health care plan and said it would lead to a new health care tax on those who can least afford it.[96] He argued that even with Bill Clinton as governor of Arkansas for 12 years, one in four lacked health insurance.[97] He said the real price of the Clinton program was arguably at least three times higher than admitted[98] and referred to it as an "economic fantasy".[99] Bush campaign denounced Clinton for avoiding military service in Vietnam.[100] "During speeches, he focused on his idea of letting parents, not government, choose their children's schools, whether public, private or religious.[101] He raised issues about equivocation in statements made by Governor Clinton.[102]
Initially, the opinion polls showed President Bush leading with almost 45% to Clinton's 25%, and Perot's 24%, but his lead soon started to reduce in May, when Perot was leading in the polls.[103] Upon increase in polling numbers of Perot, Bush wrote in his diary that Perot is “outrageously ill-suited to be President of the United States”.[104] When Perot dropped out of the race, Clinton gained a huge bounce in his polling numbers, as a result Bush's poll numbers dropped from 57% to 32%.[105] In late August, even after RNC, Bush's polling numbers managed to reach only 36% to Clinton's 53%, which Bush called "discouraging as hell.”[106][107] Upon Perot's re-entrance in the race, Clinton was leading over both Bush and Perot.
During rallies, he announced the immediate deferral of the Department of Energy's billion-dollar program to build a new production reactor for tritium.[108] During a speech in May 1992 at the Commonwealth Club in San Francisco, Vice President Quayle discussed the high costs of the breakdown of the two-parent family and mentioned the sitcom television series Murphy Brown. He asserted that its plot-line was injurious to family values.[109] He found the plot-line where a woman bore a child out of wedlock mocked the importance of fathers.[110] Quayle was widely attacked for seeming to be insensitive to single mothers.[104] Murphy Brown's co-creator Diane English responded, "If the vice president thinks it's disgraceful for an unmarried woman to bear children (out of wedlock), and if he believes that a woman cannot adequately raise a child without a father, then he'd better make sure abortion remains safe and legal."[111] This backfired as Bush campaigned against abortion.[112]
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In late September, President Bush addressed the United Nations General Assembly in New York City.[121] During a rally in Springfield, Missouri, he said:
I hear candidate Clinton is up in Michigan today talking about debates. Well, I propose a debate for him today: candidate Clinton versus Governor Clinton. You see, we've all heard what candidate Clinton says he can do for America. But that's very different from what Governor Clinton has done to Arkansas, to the good people of Arkansas. And I want to stress this: My argument is not with the people of Arkansas, it is not. They are good, decent, hard-working people. Frankly, they deserve treatment better than they've received from Governor Clinton. So here we go.[122]
During the campaign, he strongly emphasized his foreign policy successes like the Gulf War and the United States invasion of Panama. By the end of September 1992, he had addressed many rallies along with Vice President Quayle criticizing Clinton's campaign either for his economic plan or for his views on foreign affairs or national security.[123] On September 26, President Bush conducted a whistle stop train tour on a train named The Spirit of America starting in Columbus, Ohio, and covering various cities on its route, including Marysville, Arlington, Bowling Green, and Plymouth.[124] The next day, he continued his campaign by train, visiting Wixom and Grand Blanc in Michigan.[14][125]
The Bush campaign used advertisements extensively, spending $38.5 million on paid advertisements on television and radio.[126] Several of the Bush campaign's commercials were based on a single theme that Clinton would impose taxes on energy, a "carbon tax" that would eventually drive up utility bills and cost jobs.[127] The ads attacked Clinton over his tax increase as governor of Arkansas, criticized his health care plan and his notion on both sides of major issues.[128] Bush's campaign focused on the notion that America must be a "military superpower, an economic superpower, and an export superpower".[129] Unlike Michael Dukakis's 1988 campaign, the Clinton campaign made a point of responding to Bush’s attacks usually on the same day.[130] Clinton's advisor, James Carville, coined a phrase "It's the economy, stupid", which was often used to attack Bush campaign.[131] Bush's oldest son George W. Bush was involved in the campaign as a campaign advisor to the president,[132] one of the seven people the president appointed to manage his campaign.[133] As advisor, he warned the Bush campaign that Ross Perot should be taken seriously as a possible presidential candidate.[132]
Presidential debates
Bush took part in a series of three presidential debates between himself, Governor Clinton, and Ross Perot, who had by that time re-entered the race. Vice president Quayle participated in the vice-presidential debate between himself, Senator Gore and James Stockdale. Bush was criticized for his performance in debates. In the polls conducted by CNN/USA TODAY after each debate 20% of people said that he won the debates on average, while 39% went with Clinton, 30% went with Perot and 11% were undecided.[134] During a debate, he said he strongly supported term limits for members of the US Congress, limiting their term to 24 years, which Clinton opposed.[135]
Bush was seen on national camera checking his watch while being asked about the effect of the national debt on him personally.[136] In a 1999 interview with Jim Lehrer, on being asked what he was thinking as he checked his wristwatch, he replied:
I took a huge hit. That's another thing I don't like debates, you look at your watch and they say that he hasn’t any business running for president. He's bored and he's out of this thing, he's not with it and we need change. They took a little incident like that to show that I was, you know, out of it. They made a huge thing out of that. Now, was I glad when the damn thing was over? Yeah, and maybe that's why I was looking at it, only 10 more minutes of this crap, I mean [Jim laughs] Go ahead and use it. I'm a free spirit now. [137]
The vice-presidential debates took place in Atlanta, Georgia. Stockdale memorably opened the debate by unexpectedly asking the philosophical question, "Who am I? Why am I here?"[138] He was unprepared to deal with some of the substantive issues raised, while Quayle and Gore continued debating.[139][140] Gore took a humorous shot at Dan Quayle over the Jack Kennedy comparison. He said, "I'll make you a deal this evening. If you don't try to compare George Bush to Harry Truman, I won't compare you to Jack Kennedy."[141]
Día de elección
A few days before election day, Gallup polls showed Bush 12% behind Clinton. On November 3, 1992, George Bush lost the election to Bill Clinton, coming in second place. He got 168 electoral votes and 37.55% of the popular vote. Bill Clinton won 370 electoral votes and 43% of the popular vote, while Ross Perot finished third, winning no electoral votes but receiving 18.9% of the popular vote. President Bush's 37.5% was the lowest percentage for a sitting president seeking re-election since William Howard Taft, in 1912 (23.2%), as the 1912 election was, a three-way race (that time between Taft, Wilson, and Theodore Roosevelt). It was also the lowest percentage for a major party candidate since Alf Landon received 36.5% of the vote in 1936. Bush had a lower percentage of the popular vote than Herbert Hoover, who was defeated in 1932 (39.7%). Perot's almost 19% of the popular vote made him the most successful third-party presidential candidate in terms of the popular vote since Theodore Roosevelt in the 1912 election. The outcome of the 1992 U.S. presidential election has been explained largely as a function of voters' perceptions of George Bush's economic performance.[142][143] The economy submerged questions about Bill Clinton's character, awarding the advantage to the Democrat.[144] Bush did not get a majority of the votes in any state. His strongest performance was in Nebraska's 3rd Congressional district, where he had 49.7% of votes. The same night, he conceded to Bill Clinton and said:
The people have spoken, and we respect the majesty of the democratic system. I just called Governor Clinton over in Little Rock and offered my congratulations. He did run a strong campaign. I wish him well in the White House, and I want the country to know that our entire administration will work closely with his team to ensure the smooth transition of power.[145]
It was a popularly believed that Perot was a spoiler and cost Bush his re-election.[146] White House Chief of Staff and one of Bush's re-election campaign manager James Baker pointed that "Perot took two out of every three votes from traditional Republican voters."[147] But, in a 1999 study conducted by the American Journal of Political Science, it was estimated that Perot's candidacy did not hurt Bush's campaign, but ended up splitting Clinton's votes,[148] reducing his margin of victory over Bush by seven percentage points.[149] By that measure, if Perot had not been in the race, Clinton would have won by an even greater majority.[150] When Perot was asked about being a spoiler in the election, he replied, "There is no way I can be a spoiler, it was already spoiled when I started".[c][151]
Results
Presidential candidate | Party | Home state | Popular vote | Electoral vote | Running mate | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Count | Percentage | Vice-presidential candidate | Home state | Electoral vote | ||||
William Jefferson Clinton | Democratic | Arkansas | 44,909,889 | 43.01% | 370 | Albert Arnold Gore, Jr. | Tennessee | 370 |
George Herbert Walker Bush (Incumbent) | Republican | Texas | 39,104,550 | 37.45% | 168 | James Danforth Quayle | Indiana | 168 |
Henry Ross Perot | Independent | Texas | 19,743,821 | 18.91% | 0 | James Bond Stockdale | California | 0 |
Andre Verne Marrou | Libertarian | Alaska | 290,087 | 0.28% | 0 | Nancy Lord | Nevada | 0 |
Bo Gritz | Populist | Nevada | 106,152 | 0.10% | 0 | Cyril Minett | New Mexico | 0 |
Lenora Fulani | New Alliance Party | New York | 73,622 | 0.07% | 0 | Maria Elizabeth Muñoz | California | 0 |
Howard Phillips | U.S. Taxpayers Party | Virginia | 43,369 | 0.04% | 0 | Albion Knight, Jr. | Florida | 0 |
Other | 152,516 | 0.13% | — | Other | — | |||
Total | 104,423,923 | 100% | 538 | 538 | ||||
Needed to win | 270 | 270 |
Secuelas
On October 6, 1992, a month before election day, President Bush signed an appropriation that would provide $5 million to a prospective transition. If Clinton were to win, the appropriation would give his transition team $3.5 million, and give $1.5 million to Bush's administration to aid them in the transition. After his defeat in the election, President Bush publicly proclaimed his desire for a smooth transition between his and the incoming administration.[152] Clinton's transition team consisted largely of individuals who had worked on his presidential campaign.[153] He named Warren Christopher as head of his transition team. On November 18, President Bush hosted President-elect Clinton at the White House.[154][155] His transition team took longer than his predecessor to designate appointees to top positions.[156][157] The transition team announced the first designee to be appointed to major executive branch offices six weeks after winning the election. Bush is often praised for his efforts and co-operation in the transition.[158] He left office with a 56% approval rating and a 37% disapproval rating.[32] Bill Clinton was inaugurated on January 20, 1993 as 42nd president of the United States, with Bush attending the inauguration. Clinton appreciated the letter Bush left him upon leaving office saying, "No words of mine or others can better reveal the heart of who he was than those he wrote himself."[159]
Shortly after leaving office, in 1994, Bush's oldest son George W. Bush was elected the governor of Texas. He was re-elected governor in 1998, with his younger brother Jeb Bush being elected governor of Florida.[160] In 1999, Quayle announced a run for president against George W. Bush. Quayle attacked Bush saying, "we do not want another candidate who needs on-the-job training".[161] George W. Bush eventually won the Republican nomination and became the 43rd president narrowly defeating Vice President Al Gore; he remained president until 2009. During his presidency, he led efforts to have his father and Clinton work together to provide help and private aid to those affected by the 2004 Indian Ocean earthquake and tsunami.[162] In a 2012 book, The Presidents Club by Nancy Gibbs and Michael Duffy, they wrote, "Bush would go so far as to suggest more than once that he might be the father that Clinton had always lacked—a notion that the younger man did not dispute."[163][164] He supported Jeb Bush's 2016 presidential campaign, but when he failed to win the nomination, he refused to endorse Donald Trump and voted for Bill Clinton's wife and Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton.[165]
Ver también
- Bill Clinton 1992 presidential campaign
- Ross Perot 1992 presidential campaign
- 1992 United States presidential election
- 1992 Republican party presidential primaries
- 1992 Democratic party presidential primaries
- 1992 Democratic party vice presidential candidate selection
notas y referencias
Notes
- ^ Although Alan Keyes did not run for president in Republican primaries, he got a vote from an unpledged delegate. He won the 1992 primary for the Senate seat from Maryland but lost the election.
- ^ Reagan was humorously poking fun at his age and responding to Clinton's comparison to Thomas Jefferson by using the phrase "Senator, you're no Jack Kennedy" as "Governor, you're no Thomas Jefferson", which was used by Lloyd Bentsen in the 1988 Vice presidential debate.
- ^ He was referring to America's $4 trillion debt and $400 billion deficit.
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Books
- Meacham, Jon (2015). Destiny and power : The American odyssey of George Herbert Walker Bush. Random House. ISBN 978-1-4000-6765-7.
- Kurtz, Howard (1997). Hot air: all talk, all the time. New York: Basic Books. ISBN 978-0-465-03074-3.
- Jelen, Ted G. (2001). Ross for boss: the Perot phenomenon and beyond. SUNY Press. ISBN 978-0-7914-4853-3.
- Bush, Doro (2006). My Father, My President: A Personal Account of the Life of George H. W. Bush. Grand Central Publishing. ISBN 9780446579902.