Elecciones al Senado de los Estados Unidos de 2020 en Minnesota

Election of Minnesota's senator to the U.S. Senate

No confundir con las elecciones al Senado de Minnesota de 2020 .

Elecciones al Senado de los Estados Unidos de 2020 en Minnesota

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Candidato Tina Smith Jason Lewis Kevin O'Connor Fiesta Demócrata (DFL) Republicano Marihuana legal ahora Voto popular 1,566,522 1,398,145 190,154 Porcentaje 48,7% 43,5% 5,9%

Resultados del condado Smith:      40-50%      50-60%      60-70% Lewis:      40-50%      50-60%      60-70%

Senador estadounidense antes de las elecciones Tina Smith Demócrata (DFL) Senador estadounidense electo Tina Smith Demócrata (DFL)

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v t e

The 2020 United States Senate election in Minnesota was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Minnesota, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and other state and local elections. Some Republican pundits and strategists believed Minnesota to be one of the few states Republicans should've aimed to flip due to its increasingly Republican-favorable demographics and unexpectedly close result in the 2016 presidential election, although every single poll showed incumbent Democratic Senator Tina Smith in the lead. Smith won re-election to a full term in office by a margin of 5.2 points, making this the closest Senate election in Minnesota since 2008, likely because two pro-marijuana legalization parties (Legal Marijuana Now Party and Grassroots Party) unexpectedly took a combined 7.69% of the vote. The filing deadline for all candidates was June 2, 2020.^[1] The primary took place on August 11.^[2]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Tina Smith, incumbent U.S. Senator^[3]

Eliminated in primary

• Steve Carlson, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018 and write-in candidate for President in 2016^[4][5][1]
• Ahmad Hassan^[1]
• Paula Overby, Green Party nominee for U.S. Senate in 2018^[6][1]
• Christopher Seymore, Sr.^[1]

Withdrawn

• W.D. "Bill" Hamm^[7][1]
• Alexandra Marie Holker^[4][8][1]

Endorsements

Tina Smith

U.S. Senators

• Amy Klobuchar, U.S. Senator from Minnesota; former 2020 presidential candidate^[9]

Organizations

• Brady Campaign^[10]
• Council for a Livable World^[11]
• EMILY's List^[12]
• End Citizens United^[13]
• Everytown for Gun Safety^[14]
• Feminist Majority PAC^[15]
• Giffords^[16]
• Human Rights Campaign^[17]
• J Street PAC^[18]
• Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs^[19]
• League of Conservation Voters^[20]
• NARAL Pro-Choice America^[21]
• National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare^[22]
• National Organization for Women^[23]
• Planned Parenthood Action Fund^[24]
• Population Connection^[25]
• Stonewall DFL^[26]
• Women's Political Committee^[27]
• Women Winning^[28]

Labor unions

• Education Minnesota^[29]
• Minnesota State AFL–CIO^[30]

Results

  Smith—70–80%

Democratic primary results^[31]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic (DFL)	Tina Smith (incumbent)	497,498	87.14%
	Democratic (DFL)	Paula Overby	30,497	5.34%
	Democratic (DFL)	Ahmad Hassan	20,037	3.51%
	Democratic (DFL)	Steve Carlson	16,429	2.88%
	Democratic (DFL)	Christopher Seymore	6,480	1.13%
Total votes			570,941	100.00%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Jason Lewis, former U.S. Representative for Minnesota's 2nd congressional district^[32]

Eliminated in primary

• John L. Berman^[1]
• Bob Carney Jr.^[1][33]
• Cynthia Gail, art teacher^[34]
• James Reibestein^[1]

Withdrawn

• Rob Barrett Jr., assistant professor at North Central University^[35][1]
• Christopher Chamberlin, candidate for Governor, U.S. Senator, and U.S. House of Representative in 2018 and libertarian activist^[36][1]
• Forest Hyatt, Republican candidate for the 2018 United States Senate special election in Minnesota^[4][37][1]
• Theron Preston Washington^[38][1]

Declined

• Donna Bergstrom, nominee for Lieutenant Governor of Minnesota in 2018^[39]
• Kurt Daudt, minority leader of the Minnesota House of Representatives^[40]
• Bill Guidera, attorney and former 21st Century Fox executive^[41]
• Karin Housley, state senator and Republican nominee for U.S. Senate in 2018^[42]
• Mike Lindell, CEO of My Pillow^[43]
• Doug Wardlow, former state representative and Republican nominee for Attorney General of Minnesota in 2018^[44]

Endorsements

Jason Lewis

U.S. President

• Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States^[45]

Political Organizations

• Republican Party of Minnesota^[46]

Results

Results by county:

Map legend

•   Lewis—80–90%
•   Lewis—70–80%
•   Lewis—60–70%
•   Lewis—50–60%

Republican primary results^[31]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Jason Lewis	191,290	78.11%
	Republican	Cynthia Gail	17,675	7.22%
	Republican	John Berman	16,213	6.62%
	Republican	Bob Carney Jr.	10,503	4.29%
	Republican	James Reibestein	9,210	3.76%
Total votes			244,891	100.00%

Other candidates

Grassroots - Legalize Cannabis

Nominee

• Oliver Steinberg^[1]

Results

Grassroots-Legalize Cannabis primary results^[31]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Grassroots	Oliver Steinberg	3,275	100.00%
Total votes			3,275	100.00%

Legal Marijuana Now

Nominee

• Kevin O'Connor^[1]

Primary results

Legal Marijuana Now primary results^[31]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Legal Marijuana Now	Kevin O'Connor	6,996	100.00%
Total votes			6,996	100.00%

Independent write-in candidate

Declared

• George Dennis Jr.^[47]
• Josh D. Ondich, perennial candidate^[48][49]

General election

Debate

Two General Election debates were held. The first on October 2, 2020, was hosted by Minnesota Public Radio and was attended by Smith and Lewis.^[50] The Second debate was hosted by Twin Cities PBS on October 23, 2020, and was attended only by Lewis.^[51]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[52]	Safe D	October 29, 2020
Inside Elections[53]	Safe D	October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[54]	Likely D	November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[55]	Likely D	October 30, 2020
Politico[56]	Likely D	November 2, 2020
RCP[57]	Tossup	October 23, 2020
DDHQ[58]	Likely D	November 3, 2020
538[59]	Safe D	November 2, 2020
Economist[60]	Likely D	November 2, 2020

Endorsements

Tina Smith (D)

U.S. Senators

• Kirsten Gillibrand, U.S. Senator from New York; former 2020 presidential candidate^[61]
• Amy Klobuchar, U.S. Senator from Minnesota; former 2020 presidential candidate^[9]
• Elizabeth Warren, U.S. Senator from Massachusetts; former 2020 presidential candidate^[62]

Organizations

• Brady Campaign^[10]
• Council for a Livable World^[11]
• EMILY's List^[12]
• End Citizens United^[13]
• Everytown for Gun Safety^[14]
• Feminist Majority PAC^[15]
• Giffords^[16]
• Human Rights Campaign^[17]
• J Street PAC^[18]
• Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs^[19]
• League of Conservation Voters^[20]
• NARAL Pro-Choice America^[21]
• National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare^[22]
• National Organization for Women^[23]
• Natural Resources Defense Council Action Fund^[63]
• Planned Parenthood Action Fund^[24]
• Population Connection^[25]
• Rachel's Action Network^[64]
• Stonewall DFL^[26]
• Women's Political Committee^[27]
• Women Winning^[28]

Labor unions

• American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees Council 5^[65]
• Education Minnesota^[29]
• Minnesota State AFL–CIO^[30]
• National Education Association^[66]
• Service Employees International Union Minnesota State Council^[67]
• United Auto Workers^[68]

Newspapers

• Minneapolis Star Tribune^[69]

Jason Lewis (R)

U.S. Executive Branch officials

• Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States^[45]
• Mike Pence, 48th Vice President of the United States^[70]

U.S. Representatives

• Jim Hagedorn, Congressman for Minnesota's 1st Congressional District^[71]

Other Individuals

• Mike Lindell CEO of My Pillow Inc. and campaign chair for Trump's reelection campaign in Minnesota^[72]

Organizations

• Republican Party of Minnesota^[46]
• Minnesota Fraternal Order of Police^[73]
• Minnesota Police and Peace Officers Association^[74]
• National Federation of Independent Business^[75]
• United States Chamber of Commerce^[76]

Newspapers

• Alexandria Echo Press^[77]
• Bemidji Pioneer^[78]
• Brainerd Dispatch^[79]
• Detroit Lakes Tribune^[80]
• Duluth News Tribune^[81]
• Park Rapids Enterprise^[82]
• Red Wing Republican Eagle^[83]
• Rochester Post-Bulletin^[84]
• Wadena Pioneer Journal^[85]
• West Central Tribune^[86]
• Worthington Daily Globe^[85]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Tina Smith (D)	Jason Lewis (R)	Other	Undecided
Research Co.	October 31 – November 1, 2020	450 (LV)	4.6%	50%	39%	2%[a]	9%
Data for Progress	October 27 – November 1, 2020	1,259 (LV)	± 2.8%	54%	44%	2%[b]	–
Swayable	October 23 – November 1, 2020	430 (LV)	± 6.1%	55%	46%	–	–
Public Policy Polling	October 29–30, 2020	770 (V)	–	51%	42%	–	6%
Targoz Market Research/PollSmart	October 25–30, 2020	1,138 (LV)	–	53%	44%	3%[c]	–
St. Cloud State University	October 10–29, 2020	372 (A)	± 6.7%	53%	36%	–	–
SurveyUSA	October 23–27, 2020	649 (LV)	± 4.3%	45%	42%	3%[d]	10%
Gravis Marketing	October 24–26, 2020	657 (LV)	± 3.8%	53%	39%	–	8%
Civiqs/Daily Kos	October 17–20, 2020	840 (LV)	± 3.6%	54%	43%	2%[e]	1%
SurveyUSA	October 16–20, 2020	625 (LV)	± 5%	43%	42%	3%[d]	12%
Change Research	October 12–15, 2020[f]	1,021 (LV)	± 3.1%	48%	44%	4%[g]	5%
SurveyUSA	October 1–6, 2020	929 (LV)	± 3.9%	44%	37%	4%[h]	16%
Suffolk University	September 20–24, 2020	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	45%	35%	6%[i]	14%
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy	September 21–23, 2020	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%	41%	–	10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	September 12–17, 2020	718 (LV)	± 3.7%	51%	36%	2%[j]	11%
CBS News/YouGov	September 9–11, 2020	1,087 (LV)	± 3.9%	47%	40%	2%[a]	10%
Siena College/NYT Upshot	September 8–10, 2020	814 (LV)	± 3.9%	49%	40%	0%[k]	11%[l]
SurveyUSA	September 4–7, 2020	553 (LV)	± 5.2%	47%	36%	3%[d]	14%
Public Policy Polling	September 3–4, 2020	877 (V)	± 3.3%	49%	41%	3%[m]	7%
Harper Polling (R)[A]	August 30 – September 1, 2020	501 (LV)	± 4.4%	43%	41%	–	10%
Emerson College	August 8–10, 2020	733 (LV)	± 3.6%	48%	45%	–	7%
Public Policy Polling (D)[B]	July 22–23, 2020	1,218 (V)	± 3.2%	48%	39%	–	13%
Harper Polling (R)[A]	May 26–28, 2020	510 (LV)	–	46%	35%	–	20%

Hypothetical polling

with Generic Democrat and Generic Republican Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Margin of error Generic Democrat Generic Republican Other Undecided PPP Sep 3–4, 2020 877 (V) ± 3.3% 51% 44% – 4% Harper Polling/Jason Lewis[A] Aug 30 – Sep 1, 2020 501 (LV) ± 4.38% 45% 43% 3%[m] 9% Emerson College Aug 8–10, 2020 733 (LV) ± 3.6% 48% 46% – 7% Harper Polling (R)[A] May 26–28, 2020 510 (LV) – 44% 40% – –

County Results for Kevin O'Connor:

Map legend

•   8%
•   7%
•   6%
•   5%
•   4%
•   3%

Results

United States Senate election in Minnesota, 2020^[87]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic (DFL)	Tina Smith (incumbent)	1,566,522	48.74%	-4.23%
	Republican	Jason Lewis	1,398,145	43.50%	+1.15%
	Legal Marijuana Now	Kevin O'Connor	190,154	5.91%	+2.21%
	Grassroots	Oliver Steinberg	57,174	1.78%	N/A
	Write-in		2,261	0.07%	+0.03%
Total votes			3,214,256	100.00%	N/A
	Democratic (DFL) hold

See also

• 2020 Minnesota elections

Notes

1. "Someone else" with 2%
2. "Other candidate or write-in" with 2%
3. "Not sure/Someone else/Undecided" with 3%
4. "Some other candidate" with 3%
5. O'Connor (LMN) and Steinberg (GLC) with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%
6. Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
7. O'Connor (LMN) with 3%; Steinberg (GLC) with 1%; would not vote with 0%
8. "Some other candidate" with 4%
9. O'Connor (LMN) and "Refused" with 2%; Steinberg (GLC) and "Other" with 1%
10. "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 2%
11. "Someone else" and would not vote with 0%
12. Includes "Refused"
13. "Someone else" with 3%

Partisan clients

1. Poll sponsored by Lewis' campaign
2. Giffords endorsed Tina Smith prior to the sampling period

References

1. "Minnesota 2020 Senate Candidate List". June 2, 2020. Retrieved June 2, 2020.
2. Montgomery, David H. "Primary primer: What you need to know about Minnesota's August election". MPR News. Retrieved July 15, 2020.
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6. "Former Green Party candidate Overby to seek DFL endorsement". www.wtip.org.
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8. "The Green Papers: Minnesota 2020 General Election". The Green Papers. May 15, 2020. Retrieved May 17, 2020.
9. "The Win Big Project". The Win Big Project.
10. Brown, Kris (September 12, 2019). "Brady Endorses Sen. Tina Smith, Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, and Rep. Ben Ray Luján for U.S. Senate". Brady.
11. "Senate Candidates - Council for a Livable World". Council for a Livable World.
12. "EMILY's List Endorses Senator Tina Smith for Re-Election". Emily's List. January 31, 2019.
13. Muller, Tiffany (August 27, 2019). "End Citizens United Endorses Four U.S. Senators for Reelection". End Citizens United.
14. "Everytown For Gun Safety Action Fund Endorses Tina Smith For U.S. Senate in Minnesota". Everytown. June 9, 2020.
15. "2020 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org.
16. "Giffords Endorses Slate of Senators Running to Bring a Gun Safety Majority to the US Senate". Giffords. May 8, 2020.
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20. Burke, Holly (June 18, 2019). "LCV Action Fund Endorses Senator Tina Smith for Re-Election". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved June 20, 2019.
21. "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Senator Tina Smith for Re-election- NARAL Pro-Choice America". NARAL Pro-Choice America. September 23, 2019.
22. "Candidates We Endorse and Support". NCPSSM.
23. "2020 Federal Endorsements - NOW PAC". nowpac.org.
24. Axelrod, Tal (October 10, 2019). "Planned Parenthood issues first wave of 2020 House, Senate endorsements". TheHill.
25. "2020 Endorsements". Population Connection.
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27. "Federal Endorsed Candidates 2019-2020". Women's Political Committee.
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29. "Education Minnesota endorses Tina Smith for U.S. Senate". Education Minnesota.
30. "Minnesota AFL-CIO makes first round of 2020 election endorsements". mnaflcio.org. March 11, 2020.
31. "Official Canvassing Report". Minnesota Secretary of State. Retrieved September 13, 2020.
32. "Jason Lewis to challenge Tina Smith for U.S. Senate seat". Star Tribune. Retrieved August 22, 2019.
33. "Calling all (reasonable) Republicans to take your party back". Star Tribune. Retrieved June 6, 2020.
34. Gail, Cynthia (July 19, 2020). "Candidate's View: Pandemic has been particularly hard on students". Duluth News Tribune. Retrieved August 27, 2020.
35. Van Oot, Torey. "Morning Hot Dish". Star Tribune.
36. Lewerenz, Jennifer (May 14, 2020). "STATE GOP CONVENTION TO BE HELD VIRTUALLY ON SATURDAY". KNSI Radio. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
37. Murphy, Esme (February 9, 2020). "Talking Points: Former Congressman Jason Lewis Discusses Senate Run". CBS Minnesota. Retrieved May 17, 2020.
38. "Financial summary". Retrieved October 24, 2019.
39. Cohen, Zach C. (December 5, 2018). "Recent LG Nominee Considering Smith Challenge". National Journal. Retrieved December 5, 2018.
40. Croman, John (July 5, 2019). "Sen. Smith's next opponent is still unclear". Kare 11. Retrieved July 8, 2019.
41. Olson, Blois (August 19, 2019). "Bill Guidera announces he's not running for #mnsen". @bloisolson. Retrieved August 19, 2019.
42. Bakst, Brian (July 2, 2019). "Housley passes on U.S. Senate rematch in 2020". Minnesota Public Radio. Retrieved July 2, 2019.
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44. Keith, Theo (August 22, 2019). "Theo Keith on Twitter: "Republican Doug Wardlow, who was once considering his own bid for U.S. Senate in 2020, throws his support behind Jason Lewis, who announced his candidacy this morning."". Twitter. Retrieved August 22, 2019.
45. Donald J. Trump. ".Jason Lewis (@LewisForMN) will be an incredible Senator for the State of Minnesota! He is a proven leader who will help us Lower your Taxes, Protect our Communities and Defend your Second Amendment…". Twitter.
46. Darouni, Christian. "U.S. Senate Endorsement". mngop.com. Republican Party of Minnesota. Retrieved June 1, 2020.
47. George Dennis Jr. (October 11, 2020). "WRITE - IN CANDIDATE VOTE GEORGE DENNIS JR. FOR U.S. SENATOR MINNESOTA". Retrieved October 12, 2020.
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51. https://www.tpt.org/almanac/video/us-senate-candidate-jason-lewis-38101/
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63. "NRDC Action Fund Endorses 11 House, Senate Candidates". nrdcactionfund.org. June 15, 2020.
64. "2020 Endorsed Candidates". Rachel's Action Network.
65. "2020 Election Endorsements". AFSCME Council 5.
66. "U.S. Senate - Education Votes". educationvotes.nea.org.
67. "SEIU 2020 Endorsements". seiumn.org. February 27, 2020.
68. "Minnesota – Official UAW Endorsements". uawendorsements.org. United Automobile Workers.
69. "U.S. Senate endorsement: Tina Smith best reflects Minnesota values". startribune.com. Minneapolis Star Tribune.
70. "Vice President Mike Pence Endorses Jason Lewis In Minnesota's U.S. Senate Race". July 28, 2020.
71. "Hagedorn, Lewis rally supporters in Rochester campaigning in-person and says they're gaining ground". KAAL. October 28, 2020.
72. "Donation Status [INCOMPLETE]" – via www.facebook.com.
73. Hagen, Matthew. (PDF). Minnesota Fraternal Order of Police https://lewisformn.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/Lewis-FOP-Endorsement.pdf. Retrieved September 30, 2020.
74. Peters, Brian. (PDF). Minnesota Police and Peace Officers Association https://lewisformn.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/Lewis-MPPOA-Endorsement.pdf. Retrieved September 30, 2020.
75. https://www.nfib.com/content/press-release/elections/minnesota-small-businesses-endorse-jason-lewis-for-election-to-congress/. Retrieved October 14, 2020.
76. Donohue, Thomas. (PDF) https://lewisformn.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/Chamber-of-Commerce-Endorsement.pdf. Retrieved September 30, 2020.
77. "Lewis for U.S. Senate". echopress.com. Alexandria Echo Press. Retrieved September 30, 2020.
78. bemidjipioneer.com/. Bemidji Pioneer https://www.bemidjipioneer.com/opinion/editorials/6681687-Endorsement-Lewis-for-U.S.-Senate. Retrieved September 30, 2020.
79. brainerddispatch.com. Brainerd Dispatch https://www.brainerddispatch.com/opinion/editorials/6681687-Endorsement-Lewis-for-U.S.-Senate. Retrieved September 30, 2020.
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81. rivertowns.net. Duluth News Tribune https://www.duluthnewstribune.com/opinion/editorials/6681687-Endorsement-Lewis-for-U.S.-Senate. Retrieved September 30, 2020.
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85. dglobe.com. Worthington Daily Globe https://www.dglobe.com/opinion/editorials/6681687-Endorsement-Lewis-for-U.S.-Senate. Retrieved September 30, 2020.
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87. "Statewide Results for U.S. Senator". Minnesota Secretary of State. Retrieved November 25, 2020.

External links

• Elections & Voting - Minnesota Secretary of State
• Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Minnesota", Voting & Elections Toolkits
• "Minnesota: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
• "League of Women Voters of Minnesota". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
• Minnesota at Ballotpedia

Official campaign websites

• Jason Lewis (R) for Senate
• Tina Smith (DFL) for Senate