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Esta es una lista de las encuestas de opinión pública en todo el estado que se han realizado en relación con las primarias demócratas para las elecciones presidenciales de los Estados Unidos de 2020 . Las personas nombradas en las urnas son candidatas declaradas o han recibido especulaciones mediáticas sobre su posible candidatura.
Dado el gran número de candidatos potenciales, las puntuaciones de ciertos candidatos con pocas votaciones y con poca frecuencia se han combinado dentro de la columna "otros"; sus puntajes exactos pueden verse en las notas al pie asociadas con cada encuesta. Las encuestas incluidas son entre demócratas o demócratas e independientes de tendencia demócrata, y no incluyen a independientes de tendencia republicana. Las elecciones estatales se ordenan en la fecha programada para las primarias o el caucus del estado. Las encuestas abiertas se incluyen y se marcan con un asterisco (*), pero las versiones cerradas de dichas encuestas se enumeran cuando es posible. Si se proporcionan varias versiones de las encuestas, se prioriza la versión utilizada para la calificación del debate, luego la versión entre los votantes probables, luego los votantes registrados y luego los adultos.
Antecedentes [ editar ]
El Comité Nacional Demócrata ha determinado que los candidatos pueden calificar para los dos primeros debates primarios demócratas.ya sea mediante encuestas al 1% o más en al menos tres encuestas nacionales o estatales (Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada y Carolina del Sur) patrocinadas o realizadas por organizaciones designadas (en diferentes regiones si son de la misma organización) publicadas después del 1 de enero , 2019 hasta el 12 de junio de 2019, o por un umbral de recaudación de fondos que requiera al menos 65,000 donantes únicos con al menos 200 en 20 estados diferentes. Si más de 20 candidatos alcanzan cualquiera de los umbrales, los candidatos que alcancen ambos umbrales recibirán la máxima prioridad para participar en los debates, seguidos de los que tengan el promedio de votación más alto y los que tengan más donantes. Los encuestadores y patrocinadores de las encuestas designados para su consideración por el DNC son Associated Press , ABC News , CBS News ,CNN , The Des Moines Register , Fox News , Las Vegas Review-Journal , Monmouth University , NBC News , The New York Times , National Public Radio , Quinnipiac University , Reuters , University of New Hampshire , USA Today , The Wall Street Journal , The Washington Post y la Universidad de Winthrop . [1] Las encuestas abiertas no cuentan para el umbral de votación. [2]
Para los debates primarios tercero y cuarto, se requerirá que los candidatos cumplan con los umbrales de votación y recaudación de fondos, con lo anterior considerando solo las encuestas entre el 28 de junio y el 28 de agosto de 2019 y aumentado a 4 encuestas de calificación con un apoyo del 2%, ahora excluyendo las encuestas patrocinadas por el Las Vegas Review-Journal y Reuters; este último requisito también se ha incrementado a 130.000 donantes únicos con al menos 400 en 20 estados diferentes. [3]
Las personas que han sido incluidas en las elecciones primarias demócratas nacionales pero que han descartado su candidatura o no han expresado interés en postularse incluyen a Stacey Abrams , Michael Avenatti , Sherrod Brown , Hillary Clinton , Mark Cuban , Andrew Cuomo , Al Franken , Eric Garcetti , Tim Kaine. , Jason Kander , Joe Kennedy III , John Kerry , Mitch Landrieu , Terry McAuliffe , Chris Murphy , Gavin Newsom , Michelle Obama, Howard Schultz , Oprah Winfrey y Mark Zuckerberg .
Encuestas en los cuatro primeros estados primarios [ editar ]
El siguiente gráfico del archivo de encuestas semanales de Morning Consult [4] [5] [6] [7] muestra la evolución de la posición de cada candidato en los primeros estados de las primarias (Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada y Carolina del Sur) desde febrero de 2019.
Encuesta para el supermartes [ editar ]
El siguiente gráfico de Morning Consult [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] [14] [15] muestra la evolución de la posición de cada candidato en los estados del Súper Martes del 3 de marzo de 2020 (Alabama, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Carolina del Norte, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont y Virginia) desde el 7 de enero de 2020.
Calendario de primarias y caucus [ editar ]
Las siguientes fechas reflejan las fechas confirmadas o esperadas de las primarias demócratas y los caucus en 2020. Las de los concursos en territorios de EE. UU. Sin fecha aún establecida se basan en fechas estimadas por The Green Papers.basado en años pasados. Los números de delegados comprometidos que se enumeran a continuación se basan en los votos presidenciales en 2008, 2012 y 2016, así como en el número de votos electorales de cada estado en 2020. El número de miembros del DNC y líderes de partidos distinguidos en el recuento de PLEO no comprometidos ( líderes de partido y funcionarios electos) delegados se basa en la Convención Nacional Demócrata de 2016, mientras que el número de funcionarios no comprometidos (gobernadores, miembros del Congreso y sus equivalentes en jurisdicciones no estatales) refleja su total actual. El número de delegados comprometidos aún no tiene en cuenta las bonificaciones de delegado o las penalizaciones por tiempo o agrupación. [16] [17] [18]
Los estados enumerados con un fondo lavanda y un asterisco (*) aún no tienen una fecha establecida por el estatuto existente. Los estados con un fondo amarillo claro y una daga (†) están configurados para cambiar la fecha de las primarias o del caucus luego de la aprobación esperada de la legislación que mueva las fechas de sus concursos. Si aún no figura como tal, la fecha a la que se espera que se traslade el concurso se incluye entre paréntesis. Las primarias dirigidas por el partido (también descritas como primarias de la estación de bomberos o caucus en algunas jurisdicciones) se enumeran con dos asteriscos (**). [16] [17] [18]
Fecha | Estado / territorio | Tipo | Elegibilidad | PAG | U | T |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 de febrero | Iowa | Camarilla | Cerrado | 41 | 8 | 49 |
11 de febrero | New Hampshire | Primario | Mezclado | 24 | 9 | 33 |
22 de febrero | Nevada | Camarilla | Cerrado | 36 | 12 | 48 |
29 de febrero | Carolina del Sur | Primario | Abierto | 54 | 9 | 63 |
3 de marzo | Alabama | Primario | Abierto | 52 | 9 | 61 |
Samoa Americana * | Camarilla | Abierto | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
Arkansas | Primario | Abierto | 31 | 5 | 36 | |
California | Primario | Mezclado | 416 | 79 | 495 | |
Colorado | Primario | Mezclado | 67 | 13 | 80 | |
Maine | Primario | Cerrado | 24 | 8 | 32 | |
Massachusetts | Primario | Mezclado | 91 | 23 | 114 | |
Minnesota | Primario | Cerrado | 75 | 17 | 92 | |
Carolina del Norte | Primario | Mezclado | 110 | 12 | 122 | |
Oklahoma | Primario | Mezclado | 37 | 5 | 42 | |
Tennesse | Primario | Abierto | 64 | 9 | 73 | |
Texas | Primario | Cerrado | 228 | 34 | 262 | |
Utah | Primario | Mezclado | 29 | 6 | 35 | |
Vermont | Primario | Abierto | dieciséis | 7 | 23 | |
Virginia | Primario | Abierto | 99 | 25 | 124 | |
3 al 10 de marzo | Demócratas en el Extranjero | Camarilla** | Abierto | 13 | 4 | 17 |
10 de mar | Idaho | Primario | Cerrado | 20 | 5 | 25 |
Michigan | Primario | Abierto | 125 | 22 | 147 | |
Misisipí | Primario | Abierto | 36 | 5 | 41 | |
Misuri | Primario | Abierto | 68 | 10 | 78 | |
Dakota del Norte | Camarilla** | Abierto | 14 | 4 | 18 | |
Washington | Primario | Cerrado | 89 | 18 | 107 | |
Mar 14 | Marianas del Norte * | Camarilla | Cerrado | 6 | 5 | 11 |
17 de marzo | Arizona | Primario | Cerrado | 67 | 11 | 78 |
Florida | Primario | Cerrado | 219 | 29 | 248 | |
Illinois | Primario | Abierto | 155 | 29 | 184 | |
7 de abr | Wisconsin | Primario | Abierto | 84 | 13 | 90 |
10 de abr | Alaska | Primario** | Cerrado | 15 | 4 | 18 |
17 abr | Wyoming | Camarilla | Cerrado | 13 | 4 | 17 |
28 abr | Ohio | Primario | Mezclado | 136 | 17 | 153 |
2 de Mayo | Guam * | Camarilla | Cerrado | 7 | 5 | 11 |
Kansas | Primario** | Cerrado | 39 | 6 | 39 | |
12 de mayo | Nebraska | Primario | Mezclado | 29 | 4 | 29 |
19 de mayo | Oregón | Primario | Cerrado | 61 | 14 | 66 |
22 de mayo | Hawai | Primario** | Cerrado | 24 | 9 | 31 |
2 de junio | Delaware | Primario | Cerrado | 21 | 11 | 28 |
Distrito de Columbia † | Primario | Cerrado | 20 | 26 | 43 | |
Indiana | Primario | Abierto | 82 | 7 | 77 | |
Maryland | Primario | Cerrado | 96 | 23 | 102 | |
Montana | Primario | Abierto | 19 | 6 | 22 | |
Nuevo Mexico | Primario | Cerrado | 34 | 11 | 40 | |
Pensilvania | Primario | Cerrado | 186 | 23 | 176 | |
Rhode Island | Primario | Mezclado | 26 | 9 | 30 | |
Dakota del Sur | Primario | Mezclado | dieciséis | 5 | 19 | |
6 de junio | Islas Vírgenes * | Camarilla | Cerrado | 7 | 6 | 13 |
9 de junio | Georgia | Primario | Abierto | 105 | 15 | 120 |
Virginia del Oeste | Primario | Mezclado | 28 | 6 | 30 | |
23 de junio | Kentucky | Primario | Cerrado | 54 | 6 | 52 |
Nueva York † | Primario | Cerrado | 273 | 46 | 270 | |
7 de julio | New Jersey | Primario | Mezclado | 126 | 21 | 128 |
11 de julio | Luisiana | Primario | Cerrado | 54 | 7 | 57 |
11 de agosto | Connecticut | Primario | Cerrado | 60 | 15 | 64 |
TBD | Puerto Rico | Primario | Abierto | 51 | 8 | 59 |
N / A | Sin asignar | - | - | - | 1 | 1 |
Delegados totales | 3.979 | 765 | 4.744 |
Caucus de Iowa [ editar ]
El caucus demócrata de Iowa se celebró el 3 de febrero de 2020. [18]
Agregación de sondeo | |||||||||||
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Fuente de agregación de encuestas | Fecha de actualización | Fechas encuestadas | Bernie Sanders | Joe Biden | Pete Buttigieg | Elizabeth Warren | Amy Klobuchar | Andrew Yang | Tom Steyer | Otro | Sin decidir [a] |
270 para ganar | 3 de febrero de 2020 | 22 de enero - 2 de febrero de 2020 | 22,6% | 18,2% | 15,2% | 15,6% | 11,8% | 3,8% | 3,6% | 3,6% [b] | 5,6% |
Política RealClear | 3 de febrero de 2020 | 20 de enero - 2 de febrero de 2020 | 23,0% | 19,3% | 16,8% | 15,5% | 9,0% | 3,3% | 3,0% | 2,5% [c] | 7,6% |
CincoTreintaOcho | 3 de febrero de 2020 | hasta el 2 de febrero de 2020 [d] | 22,2% | 20,7% | 15,7% | 14,5% | 10,1% | 3,7% | 3,6% | 2,9% [e] | 6,6% |
Promedio | 22,6% | 19,4% | 15,9% | 15,2% | 10,3% | 3,6% | 3,4% | 3,0% [f] | 6,6% |
Los resultados de una encuesta final de The Des Moines Register no se dieron a conocer como estaba programado el 1 de febrero, luego de que un entrevistado se quejara de que Pete Buttigieg no fue dado como una opción de encuesta durante su entrevista, y la omisión supuestamente atribuida a un error humano . Como la empresa de encuestas no pudo determinar si el error fue un incidente aislado o no, la encuestadora Ann Selzer decidió retener los resultados de la encuesta por completo, marcando la primera vez en 76 años que la encuesta final previa al caucus no fue publicada por el Regístrese . [19] [20] La encuesta se filtró más tarde en Twitter , con los resultados confirmados por FiveThirtyEight.mostrando a Sanders a la cabeza con un 22%, seguido de Warren con un 18%, Buttigieg con un 16% y Biden con un 13%. [21]
Encuestas desde el 1 de diciembre de 2019 hasta el 3 de febrero de 2020 | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fuente de la encuesta | Fecha (s) de administración | Tamaño de muestra [g] | Margen de error | Joe Biden | Pete Buttigieg | Tulsi Gabbard | Amy Klobuchar | Bernie Sanders | Tom Steyer | Elizabeth Warren | Andrew Yang | Otro | Indeciso |
Emerson College | 30 de enero - 2 de febrero de 2020 | 853 (LV) | ± 3,3% | 21% | 15% | 1% | 11% | 28% | 4% | 14% | 5% | 2% | - |
Datos para el progreso [1] | 28 de enero - 2 de febrero de 2020 | 2,394 (LV) | ± 1,6% | 24% [h] | 22% | - | - | 28% | - | 25% | - | - | - |
18% | 18% | 2% | 9% | 22% | 4% | 19% | 6% | 2% [i] | - | ||||
Noticias de YouGov / CBS (MRP) | 22–31 de enero de 2020 | 1.835 (RV) | ± 3% | 25% | 21% | [j] | 5% | 25% | [j] | dieciséis% | [j] | [j] | [j] |
Investigación de David Binder / Focus on Rural America | 28-30 de enero de 2020 | 300 (LV) | ± 5,7% | 46% [k] | - | - | - | 40% | - | - | - | - | 14% |
15% | 19% | 3% | 11% | 17% | 3% | 15% | 1% | 2% [l] | 12% | ||||
Grupo de Investigación Estadounidense | 27-30 de enero de 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 17% | 9% | 2% | dieciséis% | 23% | 3% | 15% | 5% | 4% [m] | 6% |
Civiqs / Data for Progress | 26-29 de enero de 2020 | 615 (LV) | ± 4,7% | 20% [n] | 18% | 1% | 0% | 31% | 2% | 25% | 1% | 1% [o] | 2% |
15% | 15% | 2% | 8% | 28% | 2% | 21% | 5% | 0% [p] | 2% | ||||
Estrategias de Park Street | 24-28 de enero de 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 3,0% | 20% | 17% | 1% | 12% | 18% | 4% | 17% | 5% | <1% [q] | 6% |
Universidad de Monmouth | 23-27 de enero de 2020 | 544 (LV) | ± 4,2% | 29% [r] | 20% | - | - | 25% | - | 19% | - | 1% [s] | 6% |
22% [t] | 17% | - | 12% | 22% | - | dieciséis% | 5% | <1% [u] | 6% | ||||
23% | dieciséis% | 1% | 10% | 21% | 4% | 15% | 3% | 1% [v] | 5% | ||||
Civiqs / Universidad Estatal de Iowa | 23-27 de enero de 2020 | 655 (LV) | ± 4,8% | 15% | 17% | 2% | 11% | 24% | 4% | 19% | 5% | 2% [w] | 3% [x] |
Emerson College | 23-26 de enero de 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 4,6% | 21% | 10% | 5% | 13% | 30% | 5% | 11% | 5% | 2% [y] | - |
Universidad de Suffolk / USA Today | 23-26 de enero de 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4,4% | 25,4% | 17,6% | 0,8% | 5,6% | 18,6% | 2,2% | 13,2% | 3,0% | 13,6% [z] | - |
Investigación del cambio / Medios torcidos | 22-26 de enero de 2020 | 704 (LV) | ± 3,7% | 22% [aa] | 23% | - | - | 30% | - | 20% | - | - | 5% |
18% | 19% | 1% | 10% | 27% | 4% | 15% | 4% | 2% [ab] | - | ||||
Siena College / New York Times | 20-23 de enero de 2020 | 584 (LV) | ± 4,8% | 23% [ac] | 23% | - | - | 30% | - | 19% | - | - | 8% [anuncio] |
17% | 18% | 1% | 8% | 25% | 3% | 15% | 3% | 1% [ae] | 8% | ||||
Universidad de Morningside | 17-23 de enero de 2020 | 253 (LV) | ± 6,2% | 19% | 18% | 3% | 12% | 15% | 6% | 15% | 4% | 2% [af] | 4% |
Noticias de YouGov / CBS | 16 al 23 de enero de 2020 | 1401 (caravana) | ± 3,9% | 25% | 22% | 0% | 7% | 26% | 1% | 15% | 1% | 2% [ag] | 1% |
Civiqs / Data for Progress [ enlace muerto permanente ] | 19-21 de enero de 2020 | 590 (LV) | ± 4,8% | 17% | 19% | 2% | 6% | 24% | 3% | 19% | 5% | 0% [ah] | 5% |
Investigación de David Binder / Focus on Rural America | 15-18 de enero de 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4,4% | 24% | dieciséis% | 1% | 11% | 14% | 4% | 18% | 3% | 2% [ia] | - |
Investigación y medios del vecindario / Breitbart | 14-17 de enero de 2020 | 300 (LV) | ± 4,8% | 23% | 17% | - [aj] | 11% | 10% | 2% | 15% | 2% | 6% [ak] | 13% |
Booker se retira de la carrera | |||||||||||||
Universidad de Monmouth | 9-12 de enero de 2020 | 405 (LV) | ± 4,9% | 28% [al] | 25% | - | - | 24% | - | dieciséis% | - | 2% [am] | 4% |
24% | 17% | 2% | 8% | 18% | 4% | 15% | 4% | 4% [an] | 5% | ||||
Registro de Selzer / CNN / Des Moines | 2 al 8 de enero de 2020 | 701 (LV) | ± 3,7% | 15% | dieciséis% | 2% | 6% | 20% | 2% | 17% | 5% | 2% [ao] | 11% |
Noticias de YouGov / CBS | 27 de diciembre de 2019-3 de enero de 2020 | 953 (caravana) | ± 3,8% | 23% | 23% | 1% | 7% | 23% | 2% | dieciséis% | 2% | 2% [ap] | 1% |
Encuesta KG | 19-23 de diciembre de 2019 | 750 (LV) | ± 3,8% | 24% | 12% | - | 5% | 31% | - | 13% | 10% | - | 5% [aq] |
Civiqs / Universidad Estatal de Iowa | 12-16 de diciembre de 2019 | 632 (LV) | ± 4,9% | 15% | 24% | 3% | 4% | 21% | 2% | 18% | 3% | 4% [ar] | 4% |
Emerson College | 7 al 10 de diciembre de 2019 | 325 (LV) | ± 5,4% | 23% | 18% | 2% | 10% | 22% | 3% | 12% | 2% | 8% [como] | - |
Harris se retira de la carrera |
Encuestas durante noviembre de 2019 | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fuente de la encuesta | Fecha (s) de administración | Tamaño de muestra [g] | Margen de error | Joe Biden | Pete Buttigieg | Tulsi Gabbard | Kamala Harris | Amy Klobuchar | Bernie Sanders | Tom Steyer | Elizabeth Warren | Andrew Yang | Otro | Indeciso |
Civiqs / Universidad Estatal de Iowa | 15-19 de noviembre de 2019 | 614 (LV) | ± 4,9% | 12% | 26% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 18% | 2% | 19% | 4% | 6% [en] | 3% |
Registro de Des Moines / CNN | 8-13 de noviembre de 2019 | 500 (LV) | ± 4,4% | 15% | 25% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 15% | 3% | dieciséis% | 3% | 6% [au] | 5% |
Noticias de YouGov / CBS | 6 al 13 de noviembre de 2019 | 856 (RV) | ± 4,1% | 22% | 21% | 0% | 5% | 5% | 22% | 2% | 18% | 1% | 4% [av] | - |
Universidad de Monmouth | 7-11 de noviembre de 2019 | 451 (LV) | ± 4,6% | 19% | 22% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 13% | 3% | 18% | 3% | 6% [aw] | 8% |
Universidad de Iowa | 28 de octubre - 10 de noviembre de 2019 | 465 (LV) | ± 4,6% | 15% | dieciséis% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 18% | 3% | 23% | 3% | 2% [ax] | 13% |
Encuestas de políticas públicas | 5-6 de noviembre de 2019 | 715 (LV) | - | 13% | 20% | - | 3% | 9% | 14% | 6% | 21% | 3% | - | 10% |
Universidad de Quinnipiac | 30 de octubre - 5 de noviembre de 2019 | 698 (LV) | ± 4,5% | 15% | 19% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 17% | 3% | 20% | 3% | 4% [ay] | 8% |
O'Rourke se retira de la carrera |
Encuestas antes de noviembre de 2019 | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fuente de la encuesta | Fecha (s) de administración | Tamaño de muestra [g] | Margen de error | Joe Biden | Cory Booker | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Amy Klobuchar | Beto O'Rourke | Bernie Sanders | Elizabeth Warren | Otro | Indeciso |
Siena College / New York Times | 25-30 de octubre de 2019 | 439 (LV) | ± 4,7% | 17% | 2% | 18% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 19% | 22% | 8% [az] | 6% |
Civiqs / Universidad Estatal de Iowa | 18-22 de octubre de 2019 | 598 (LV) | ± 5% | 12% | 1% | 20% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 18% | 28% | 8% [bb] | 4% |
Universidad de Suffolk / USA Today | 16-18 de octubre de 2019 | 500 (LV) | ± 4,4% | 18% | 1% | 13% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 9% | 17% | 7% [bc] | 29% |
Emerson College | 13–16 de octubre de 2019 | 317 (LV) | ± 5,5% | 23% | 3% | dieciséis% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 13% | 23% | 15% [bd] | - |
Estrategias de la estación de bomberos / Øptimus | 8-10 de octubre de 2019 | 548 (LV) | ± 3,6% | 22% | 2% | 17% | 3% | - [ser] | 1% | 5% | 25% | 26% [bf] | - [ser] |
Noticias de YouGov / CBS | 3 al 11 de octubre de 2019 | 729 (caravana) | ± 4,6% | 22% | 2% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 21% | 22% | 7% [bg] | - |
Registro de Selzer / CNN / Des Moines [2] | 14-18 de septiembre de 2019 | 602 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 20% | 3% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 11% | 22% | 11% [bh] | 14% |
Investigación de David Binder | 14-17 de septiembre de 2019 | 500 (LV) | ± 4,4% | 25% | 2% | 12% | 5% | 8% | 1% | 9% | 23% | 9% [bi] | 6% |
Civiqs / Universidad Estatal de Iowa | 13-17 de septiembre de 2019 | 572 (LV) | ± 5,2% | dieciséis% | 2% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 2% | dieciséis% | 24% | 11% [bj] | 8% |
Noticias de YouGov / CBS | 28 de agosto - 4 de septiembre de 2019 | 835 | ± 4,3% | 29% | 2% | 7% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 26% | 17% | 9% [bk] | - |
Investigación del cambio | 9-11 de agosto de 2019 | 621 (LV) | ± 3,9% | 17% | 3% | 13% | 8% | 2% | 3% | 17% | 28% | 9% [bl] | - |
Universidad de Monmouth | 1 al 4 de agosto de 2019 | 401 (LV) | ± 4,9% | 28% | 1% | 8% | 11% | 3% | <1% | 9% | 19% | 11% [bm] | 10% |
Estrategias de la estación de bomberos / Øptimus | 23-25 de julio de 2019 | 630 | ± 3,3% | 23% | 2% | 7% | 12% | - | 2% | 11% | 23% | 4% | dieciséis% |
Noticias de YouGov / CBS | 9-18 de julio de 2019 | 706 | ± 4,4% | 24% | 3% | 7% | dieciséis% | 4% | 1% | 19% | 17% | 9% [bn] | - |
Steyer anuncia su candidatura | |||||||||||||
Investigación del cambio | 29 de junio - 4 de julio de 2019 | 420 (LV) | - | dieciséis% | 1% | 25% | dieciséis% | 1% | 2% | dieciséis% | 18% | 5% [bo] | - |
Investigación de David Binder | 29 de junio - 1 de julio de 2019 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 17% | 2% | 10% | 18% | 4% | 1% | 12% | 20% | 9% [pb] | 9% |
Universidad de Suffolk / USA Today | 28 de junio - 1 de julio de 2019 | 500 | ± 4,4% | 24% | 2% | 6% | dieciséis% | 2% | 1% | 9% | 13% | 6% [bq] | 21% |
Investigación del cambio | 17-20 de junio de 2019 | 308 (LV) | - | 27% | 5% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 18% | 20% | 7% [br] | - |
Registro de Selzer / CNN / Des Moines | 2-5 de junio de 2019 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 24% | 1% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 2% | dieciséis% | 15% | 6% [bs] | 6% |
Investigación del cambio | 15-19 de mayo de 2019 | 615 (LV) | ± 3,9% | 24% | 1% | 14% | 10% | 2% | 5% | 24% | 12% | 9% [bt] | - |
Estrategias de la estación de bomberos / Øptimus | 30 de abril - 2 de mayo de 2019 | 576 | ± 4,1% | 35% | 2% | 11% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 14% | 10% | - | dieciséis% |
Biden anuncia su candidatura | |||||||||||||
Marketing de Gravis | 17-18 de abril de 2019 | 590 | ± 4.0% | 19% | 4% | 14% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 19% | 6% | 7% [bu] | dieciséis% |
Buttigieg anuncia su candidatura | |||||||||||||
Universidad de Monmouth | 4–9 de abril de 2019 | 351 | ± 5,2% | 27% | 3% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 6% | dieciséis% | 7% | 7% [bv] | 12% |
Investigación de David Binder | 21-24 de marzo de 2019 | 500 | ± 4,4% | 25% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 17% | 8% | 9% [bw] | 7% |
Emerson College | 21-24 de marzo de 2019 | 249 | ± 6,2% | 25% | 6% | 11% | 10% | 2% | 5% | 24% | 9% | 8% [bx] | - |
Encuestas de políticas públicas (D) [por] | 14-15 de marzo de 2019 | 678 | - | 29% | 4% | - | 5% | 6% | 7% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 22% |
O'Rourke anuncia su candidatura | |||||||||||||
Registro de Selzer / CNN / Des Moines | 3 al 6 de marzo de 2019 | 401 | ± 4,9% | 27% | 3% | 1% | 7% | 3% | 5% | 25% | 9% | 5% [bz] | 10% |
Sanders anuncia su candidatura | |||||||||||||
Klobuchar anuncia su candidatura | |||||||||||||
Warren anuncia su candidatura | |||||||||||||
Estrategias de la estación de bomberos / Øptimus | 31 de enero - 2 de febrero de 2019 | 558 | ± 3,6% | 25% | 4% | - | 17% | 5% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 1% [ca] | 25% |
Emerson College | 30 de enero - 2 de febrero de 2019 | 260 | ± 6,0% | 29% | 4% | 0% | 18% | 3% | 6% | 15% | 11% | 15% [cb] | - |
Booker anuncia su candidatura | |||||||||||||
Harris anuncia su candidatura | |||||||||||||
Gabbard anuncia su candidatura | |||||||||||||
Investigación del cambio | 13-17 de diciembre de 2018 | 1.291 (LV) | - | 20% | 4% | - | 7% | 5% | 19% | 20% | 7% | 18% [cc] | - |
Registro de Selzer / CNN / Des Moines | 10-13 de diciembre de 2018 | 455 | ± 4,6% | 32% | 4% | - | 5% | 3% | 11% | 19% | 8% | 7% [cd] | 6% |
Investigación de David Binder | 10-11 de diciembre de 2018 | 500 | ± 4,4% | 30% | 6% | - | 7% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 9% | 8% [ce] | 6% |
Investigación de David Binder | 20-23 de septiembre de 2018 | 500 | ± 4,4% | 37% | 8% | - | 10% | - | - | 12% | dieciséis% | 6% [cf] | 9% |
Yang anuncia su candidatura | |||||||||||||
Encuestas de políticas públicas (D) [cg] | 3 al 6 de marzo de 2017 | 1.062 | - | - | 17% | - | 3% | 11% | - | - | - | 34% [ch] | 32% |
Primarias de New Hampshire [ editar ]
Las primarias demócratas de New Hampshire se llevaron a cabo el 11 de febrero de 2020. [18]
Agregación de sondeo | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fuente de agregación de encuestas | Fecha de actualización | Fechas encuestadas | Bernie Sanders | Pete Buttigieg | Elizabeth Warren | Joe Biden | Amy Klobuchar | Andrew Yang | Tulsi Gabbard | Tom Steyer | Otro | Sin decidir [a] |
270 para ganar | 10 de febrero de 2020 | 4–9 de febrero de 2020 | 27,3% | 20,9% | 13,1% | 12,3% | 10,3% | 3,0% | 2,7% | 2,1% | 1,9% [ci] | 6,4% |
Política RealClear | 10 de febrero de 2020 | 6–9 de febrero de 2020 | 28,7% | 21,3% | 11,0% | 11,0% | 11,7% | 3,7% | 3,3% | 1,7% | 1,3% [cj] | 6,3% |
CincoTreintaOcho | 10 de febrero de 2020 | hasta el 10 de febrero de 2020 [d] | 26,0% | 21,6% | 12,5% | 11,7% | 10,3% | 3,0% | 2,9% | 2,6% | 3,5% [ck] | 5,8% |
Promedio | 27,3% | 21,3% | 12,2% | 11,7% | 10,8% | 3,2% | 3,0% | 2,1% | 2,2% [cl] | 6,2% | ||
Resultados primarios de New Hampshire (11 de febrero de 2020) | 25,6% | 24,3% | 9,2% | 8,4% | 19,7% | 2,8% | 3,3% | 3,6% | 2,7% [cm] | - |
Encuestas desde el 1 de enero de 2020 hasta el 11 de febrero de 2020 | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fuente de la encuesta | Fecha (s) de administración | Tamaño de muestra [g] | Margen de error | Joe Biden | Pete Buttigieg | Tulsi Gabbard | Amy Klobuchar | Bernie Sanders | Tom Steyer | Elizabeth Warren | Andrew Yang | Otro | Indeciso | |||
Primarias de New Hampshire (voto popular) | 11 de febrero de 2020 | - | - | 8,4% | 24,3% | 3,3% | 19,7% | 25,6% | 3,6% | 9,2% | 2,8% | 2,7% [cn] | - | |||
AtlasIntel | 8-10 de febrero de 2020 | 431 (LV) | ± 5,0% | 12% | 24% | 3% | 14% | 24% | 1% | 11% | 5% | - | 6% | |||
Datos para el progreso [co] | 7 al 10 de febrero de 2020 | 1296 (LV) | ± 2,7% | 9% | 26% | 3% | 13% | 28% | 3% | 14% | 5% | - | - | |||
Grupo de Investigación Estadounidense | 8–9 de febrero de 2020 | 400 (LV) | - | 13% | 20% | 3% | 13% | 28% | 2% | 11% | 3% | 5% [cp] | 2% | |||
Emerson College / WHDH | 8–9 de febrero de 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4,3% | 10% | 23% | 2% | 14% | 30% | 2% | 11% | 4% | 4% [cq] | - | |||
Investigación del cambio | 8–9 de febrero de 2020 | 662 (LV) | ± 3,8% | 9% | 21% | 6% | 8% | 30% | 3% | 8% | 5% | 1% [cr] | 9% | |||
Universidad de Suffolk / Boston Globe / WBZ-TV | 8–9 de febrero de 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4,4% | 12% | 19% | 3% | 14% | 27% | 2% | 12% | 3% | 3% [cs] | 7% | |||
Elucd | 7–9 de febrero de 2020 | 492 (LV) | ± 4,4% | 8% | 20% | - [ct] | 12% | 26% | - [cu] | 10% | - [cv] | - [cw] | 15% | |||
Universidad de New Hampshire / CNN | 6–9 de febrero de 2020 | 365 (LV) | ± 5,1% | 11% | 22% | 5% | 7% | 29% | 1% | 10% | 4% | 1% [cx] | 10% | |||
Emerson College / WHDH | 7–8 de febrero de 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4,3% | 11% | 20% | 3% | 13% | 30% | 2% | 12% | 4% | 4% [cy] | - | |||
Universidad de Suffolk / Boston Globe / WBZ-TV | 7–8 de febrero de 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4,4% | 10% | 22% | 2% | 9% | 24% | 2% | 13% | 3% | 3% [cz] | 12% | |||
Boston Herald-FPU-NBC10 | 5–8 de febrero de 2020 | 512 (LV) | - | 14% | 20% | 0% | 6% | 23% | 2% | dieciséis% | 3% | 3% [da] | 13% | |||
Noticias de YouGov / CBS | 5–8 de febrero de 2020 | 848 (LV) | ± 4,3% | 12% | 25% | 2% | 10% | 29% | 1% | 17% | 1% | 3% [db] | - | |||
Universidad de New Hampshire / CNN | 5–8 de febrero de 2020 | 384 (LV) | ± 5,0% | 12% | 21% | 5% | 6% | 28% | 2% | 9% | 4% | 2% [dc] | 11% | |||
Emerson College / WHDH | 6–7 de febrero de 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4,3% | 11% | 24% | 5% | 9% | 31% | 2% | 11% | 3% | 3% [dd] | - | |||
Universidad de Suffolk / Boston Globe / WBZ-TV | 6–7 de febrero de 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4,4% | 11% | 25% | 2% | 6% | 24% | 2% | 14% | 3% | 4% [de] | 9% | |||
Universidad de Massachusetts Lowell | 4 al 7 de febrero de 2020 | 440 (LV) | ± 6,5% | 14% | 17% | 4% | 8% | 25% | 5% | 15% | 3% | 5% [df] | 4% | |||
Universidad de New Hampshire / CNN | 4 al 7 de febrero de 2020 | 365 (LV) | ± 5,1% | 11% | 21% | 6% | 5% | 28% | 3% | 9% | 3% | 3% [dg] | 11% | |||
Emerson College / WHDH | 5–6 de febrero de 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4,3% | 11% | 23% | 6% | 9% | 32% | 2% | 13% | 2% | 3% [dh] | - | |||
Universidad de Suffolk / Boston Globe / WBZ-TV | 5–6 de febrero de 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4,4% | 11% | 23% | 4% | 6% | 24% | 3% | 13% | 3% | 4% [di] | 12% | |||
Noticias maristas / NBC | 4 al 6 de febrero de 2020 | 709 (LV) | ± 4,7% | 13% | 21% | 3% | 8% | 25% | 4% | 14% | 4% | 3% [dj] | 5% | |||
Universidad de Suffolk / Boston Globe / WBZ-TV | 4–5 de febrero de 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4,4% | 12% | 19% | 5% | 6% | 25% | 4% | 11% | 2% | 1% [dk] | 15% | |||
Universidad de Monmouth | 3-5 de febrero de 2020 | 503 (LV) | ± 4,4% | 17% | 20% | 4% | 9% | 24% | 3% | 13% | 4% | 2% [dl] | 5% | |||
17% [dm] | 22% | - | 13% | 27% | - | 13% | - | 3% [dn] | 4% | |||||||
19% [hacer] | 28% | - | - | 28% | - | dieciséis% | - | 3% [dp] | 5% | |||||||
Emerson College / WHDH | 3-5 de febrero de 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4,3% | 12% | 21% | 5% | 11% | 31% | 1% | 12% | 4% | 2% [dq] | - | |||
Universidad de Suffolk / Boston Globe / WBZ-TV | 3–4 de febrero de 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4,4% | 15% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 24% | 5% | 10% | 3% | 1% [dr] | 14% | |||
Emerson College / WHDH | 2 al 4 de febrero de 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4,3% | 13% | 17% | 6% | 11% | 32% | 2% | 11% | 6% | 3% [ds] | - | |||
Caucus de Iowa | ||||||||||||||||
Universidad de Suffolk / Boston Globe / WBZ-TV | 2-3 de febrero de 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4,4% | 18% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 24% | 4% | 13% | 3% | 3% [dt] | 14% | |||
Emerson College / WHDH | 1 al 3 de febrero de 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4,3% | 13% | 12% | 4% | 12% | 32% | 5% | 13% | 5% | 4% [du] | - | |||
Emerson College / WHDH | 31 de enero - 2 de febrero de 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4,3% | 14% | 13% | 7% | 8% | 29% | 8% | 12% | 7% | 2% [dv] | - | |||
Colegio San Anselmo | 29 de enero - 2 de febrero de 2020 | 491 (LV) | ± 4,4% | 19% | 14% | 3% | 11% | 19% | 5% | 11% | 4% | 2% [dw] | 11% | |||
Boston Herald-FPU-NBC10 [3] | 29 de enero - 1 de febrero de 2020 | 454 (LV) | ± 4,6% | 24% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 31% | Sin votantes | 17% | 1% | 5% [dx] | 7% | |||
Universidad de Massachusetts Lowell | 28–31 de enero de 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 6,4% | 22% | 12% | 5% | 6% | 23% | 6% | 19% | 2% | 1% [dy] | 4% | |||
YouGov / UMass Amherst / WCVB | 17-29 de enero de 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 5,3% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 25% | 5% | 17% | 4% | 2% [dz] | 3% | |||
Grupo de Investigación Estadounidense | 24-27 de enero de 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 13% | 12% | 8% | 7% | 28% | 2% | 11% | 5% | 8% [ea] | 6% | |||
Boston Herald-FPU-NBC10 | 23-26 de enero de 2020 | 407 (LV) | ± 4,9% | 22% | 10% | 3% | 5% | 29% | 0% | dieciséis% | 1% | 7% [eb] | 9% | |||
Noticias maristas / NBC | 20-23 de enero de 2020 | 697 (LV) | ± 4,5% | 15% | 17% | 6% | 10% | 22% | 3% | 13% | 5% | 2% [ec] | 7% | |||
Universidad de New Hampshire / CNN | 15-23 de enero de 2020 | 516 (LV) | ± 4,3% | dieciséis% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 25% | 2% | 12% | 5% | 2% [ed] | 10% | |||
Grupo de sondeo MassINC / WBUR | 17-21 de enero de 2020 | 426 (LV) | ± 4,8% | 14% | 17% | 5% | 6% | 29% | 2% | 13% | 5% | 4% [ee] | 5% [ef] | |||
Universidad de Suffolk / Boston Globe | 15-19 de enero de 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4,4% | 15% | 12% | 5% | 5% | dieciséis% | 3% | 10% | 6% | 3% [p. Ej.] | 24% | |||
Emerson College / WHDH | 13-16 de enero de 2020 | 657 (LV) | ± 3,8% | 14% | 18% | 5% | 10% | 23% | 4% | 14% | 6% | 7% [eh] | - | |||
Booker se retira de la carrera | ||||||||||||||||
Boston Herald-FPU-NBC10 | 8-12 de enero de 2020 | 434 (LV) | - | 26% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 22% | 2% | 18% | 2% | 7% [ei] | 12% | |||
Estrategias de investigación de Patinkin / Yang 2020 [ej] | 5-7 de enero de 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 21% | 17% | 7% | 6% | 19% | 6% | 10% | 5% | 3% [ek] | 7% | |||
Universidad de Monmouth | 3 al 7 de enero de 2020 | 404 (LV) | ± 4,9% | 19% | 20% | 4% | 6% | 18% | 4% | 15% | 3% | 3% [el] | 7% | |||
21% [em] | 20% | - | 7% | 21% | - | 15% | 5% | 5% [en] | 8% | |||||||
24% [eo] | 23% | - | - | 21% | - | 18% | - | 5% [ep] | 8% | |||||||
Noticias de YouGov / CBS | 27 de diciembre de 2019-3 de enero de 2020 | 487 (LV) | ± 5,3% | 25% | 13% | 1% | 7% | 27% | 3% | 18% | 2% | 3% [eq] | - |
Encuestas antes de enero de 2020 | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fuente de la encuesta | Fecha (s) de administración | Tamaño de muestra [g] | Margen de error | Joe Biden | Cory Booker | Pete Buttigieg | Tulsi Gabbard | Kamala Harris | Amy Klobuchar | Beto O'Rourke | Deval Patrick | Bernie Sanders | Elizabeth Warren | Andrew Yang | Otro | Indeciso |
Grupo de sondeo MassINC / WBUR | 3 al 8 de diciembre de 2019 | 442 (LV) | ± 4,7% | 17% | 1% | 18% | 5% | - | 3% | - | <1% | 15% | 12% | 5% | 11% [er] | 12% [s] |
Harris se retira de la carrera | ||||||||||||||||
Emerson College | 22-26 de noviembre de 2019 | 549 (LV) | ± 4,1% | 14% | 2% | 22% | 6% | 4% | 2% | - | 0% | 26% | 14% | 5% | 7% [et] | - |
Boston Globe / Universidad de Suffolk | 21-24 de noviembre de 2019 | 500 (LV) | - | 12% | 2% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | - | 1% | dieciséis% | 14% | 4% | 6% [UE] | 21% |
Colegio San Anselmo | 13-18 de noviembre de 2019 | 255 (RV) | ± 6,1% | 15% | 3% | 25% | 3% | 1% | 6% | - | 0% | 9% | 15% | 2% | 5% [ev] | 13% |
Patrick anuncia su candidatura | ||||||||||||||||
Noticias de YouGov / CBS | 6 al 13 de noviembre de 2019 | 535 (caravana) | ± 5% | 22% | 1% | dieciséis% | 0% | 3% | 3% | - | - | 20% | 31% | 1% | 1% [ew] | - |
Universidad de Quinnipiac | 6 al 10 de noviembre de 2019 | 1,134 (LV) | ± 3,8 | 20% | 1% | 15% | 6% | 1% | 3% | - | - | 14% | dieciséis% | 4% | 5% [ex] | 14% |
O'Rourke se retira de la carrera | ||||||||||||||||
Universidad de New Hampshire / CNN | 21-27 de octubre de 2019 | 574 (LV) | ± 4,1% | 15% | 2% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 2% | - | 21% | 18% | 5% | 4% [ey] | 10% |
Boston Herald / FPU | 9-13 de octubre de 2019 | 422 (LV) | ± 4,8% | 24% | 2% | 9% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 0% | - | 22% | 25% | 1% | 4% [ez] | 7% |
Estrategias de la estación de bomberos / Øptimus | 8-10 de octubre de 2019 | 610 (LV) | ± 3,7% | 18% | 2% | 7% | - [fa] | 2% | - [fa] | 1% | - | 9% | 25% | 2% | 32% | - [fa] |
Noticias de YouGov / CBS | 3 al 11 de octubre de 2019 | 506 | ± 5,4% | 24% | 1% | 7% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 1% | - | 17% | 32% | 5% | 5% [fb] | - |
Colegio San Anselmo | 25-29 de septiembre de 2019 | 423 | ± 4,8% | 24% | 1% | 10% | 3% | 5% | 3% | <1% | - | 11% | 25% | 2% | 3% [fc] | 9% |
Universidad de Monmouth | 17-21 de septiembre de 2019 | 401 | ± 4,9% | 25% | 2% | 10% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | - | 12% | 27% | 2% | 3% [fd] | 9% |
HarrisX / Sin etiquetas | 6-11 de septiembre de 2019 | 595 | ± 4.0% | 22% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 1% | 1% | - | 21% | 15% | 2% | 5% [fe] | 14% |
Boston Herald / FPU | 4 al 10 de septiembre de 2019 | 425 | ± 4,8% | 21% | 1% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 1% | 2% | - | 29% | 17% | 5% | 2% [ff] | 9% |
Emerson College | 6 al 9 de septiembre de 2019 | 483 | ± 4,4% | 24% | 4% | 11% | 6% | 8% | 1% | 1% | - | 13% | 21% | 3% | 7% [fg] | - |
Noticias de YouGov / CBS | 28 de agosto - 4 de septiembre de 2019 | 526 | ± 5,2% | 26% | 2% | 8% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 1% | - | 25% | 27% | 1% | 1% [fh] | - |
Marketing de Gravis | 2 al 6 de agosto de 2019 | 250 | ± 6,2% | 15% | 0% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 2% | - | 21% | 12% | 4% | 8% [fi] | 11% |
Universidad de Suffolk | 1 al 4 de agosto de 2019 | 500 | ± 4,4% | 21% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 8% | 1% | 0% | - | 17% | 14% | 1% | 6% [fj] | 21% |
Estrategias de la estación de bomberos / Øptimus | 23-25 de julio de 2019 | 587 | ± 3,3% | 21% | 1% | 8% | - | 13% | - | 0% | - | 13% | dieciséis% | 1% | 7% | 19% |
Noticias de YouGov / CBS | 9-18 de julio de 2019 | 530 | ± 5% | 27% | 1% | 7% | 2% | 12% | 1% | 2% | - | 20% | 18% | 1% | 5% [fk] | - |
Universidad de New Hampshire / CNN | 8-15 de julio de 2019 | 386 | ± 5,0% | 24% | 2% | 10% | 1% | 9% | 0% | 2% | - | 19% | 19% | 1% | 4% [fl] | 9% |
Colegio San Anselmo | 10-12 de julio de 2019 | 351 | ± 5,2% | 21% | 1% | 12% | 1% | 18% | 3% | 0% | - | 10% | 17% | 5% | 3% [fm] | 11% |
Investigación del cambio | 6 al 9 de julio de 2019 | 1.084 | ± 3,0% | 19% | 1% | 13% | 3% | 15% | 1% | 1% | - | 20% | 22% | 1% | 3% [fn] | - |
Investigación del cambio | 29 de junio - 4 de julio de 2019 | 420 | - | 13% | 2% | 14% | 2% | 13% | 1% | 2% | - | 26% | 24% | 2% | 4% [fo] | - |
Investigación del cambio | 17-20 de junio de 2019 | 308 | - | 24% | 0% | 14% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 4% | - | 28% | 21% | 1% | 3% [fp] | - |
Noticias de YouGov / CBS | 31 de mayo - 12 de junio de 2019 | 502 | ± 4,9% | 33% | 3% | 10% | 0% | 7% | 1% | 4% | - | 20% | 17% | 1% | 2% [fq] | - |
Investigación de opinión telefónica * | 20-22 de mayo de 2019 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 33% | - | 7% | - | 7% | - | 1% | - | 12% | 11% | - | - | 28% |
Universidad de Monmouth | 2 al 7 de mayo de 2019 | 376 | ± 5,1% | 36% | 2% | 9% | 0% | 6% | 2% | 2% | - | 18% | 8% | 1% | 2% [fr] | 11% |
Investigación del cambio | 3-5 de mayo de 2019 | 864 | ± 3,3% | 26% | 2% | 12% | 1% | 8% | 1% | 3% | - | 30% | 9% | 2% | 4% [fs] | - |
Estrategias de la estación de bomberos / Øptimus | 30 de abril - 2 de mayo de 2019 | 551 | ± 4.0% | 34% | 1% | 10% | - | 7% | 1% | 3% | - | dieciséis% | 9% | - | - | 19% |
Universidad de Suffolk | 25-28 de abril de 2019 | 429 | ± 4,7% | 20% | 3% | 12% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 3% | - | 12% | 8% | 1% | 4% [pies] | 27% |
Biden anuncia su candidatura | ||||||||||||||||
Universidad de New Hampshire | 10-18 de abril de 2019 | 241 | ± 6,3% | 18% | 3% | 15% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 3% | - | 30% | 5% | 2% | 5% [fu] | 12% |
Buttigieg anuncia su candidatura | ||||||||||||||||
Colegio San Anselmo | 3 al 8 de abril de 2019 | 326 | ± 5,4% | 23% | 4% | 11% | 1% | 7% | 2% | 6% | - | dieciséis% | 9% | - | 9% [fv] | 13% |
O'Rourke anuncia su candidatura | ||||||||||||||||
Universidad de New Hampshire | 18-26 de febrero de 2019 | 240 | ± 6,3% | 22% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 10% | 4% | 5% | - | 26% | 7% | - | 6% [fw] | 14% |
Emerson College | 21-22 de febrero de 2019 | 405 | ± 4,8% | 25% | 5% | 1% | - | 12% | 8% | 5% | - | 27% | 9% | - | 10% [fx] | - |
Sanders anuncia su candidatura | ||||||||||||||||
YouGov / UMass Amherst | 7 al 15 de febrero de 2019 | 337 | ± 6,4% | 28% | 3% | - | - | 14% | 1% | 6% | - | 20% | 9% | - | 9% [fy] | 9% |
Klobuchar anuncia su candidatura | ||||||||||||||||
Warren anuncia su candidatura | ||||||||||||||||
Estrategias de la estación de bomberos / Øptimus | 31 de enero - 2 de febrero de 2019 | 518 | ± 4,1% | 22% | 4% | - | - | 13% | 2% | 2% | - | 13% | 9% | - | 0% [fz] | 35% |
Booker anuncia su candidatura | ||||||||||||||||
Harris anuncia su candidatura | ||||||||||||||||
Gabbard anuncia su candidatura | ||||||||||||||||
Investigación del cambio | 2-3 de enero de 2019 | 1,162 | - | 24% | 3% | - | - | 4% | 2% | 9% | - | 26% | 11% | - | 22% [ga] | - |
Universidad de New Hampshire | 2 al 19 de agosto de 2018 | 198 | ± 7,0% | 19% | 6% | - | - | 3% | - | - | - | 30% | 17% | - | 12% [gb] | 12% |
Universidad de Suffolk | 26-30 de abril de 2018 | 295 | ± 5,7% | 20% | 8% | - | - | 4% | - | - | 4% | 13% | 26% | - | 4% [gc] | 18% |
30% | 10% | - | - | 6% | - | - | 8% | 25% | - | - | 6% [gd] | 12% | ||||
Universidad de New Hampshire | 13-22 de abril de 2018 | 188 | ± 7,1% | 26% | 5% | - | - | 6% | 1% | - | - | 28% | 11% | - | 9% [ge] | 13% |
Universidad de New Hampshire | 28 de enero - 10 de febrero de 2018 | 219 | ± 6,6% | 35% | 3% | - | - | 1% | 0% | - | - | 24% | 15% | - | 7% [gf] | 15% |
Yang anuncia su candidatura | ||||||||||||||||
Universidad de New Hampshire | 3 al 15 de octubre de 2017 | 212 | ± 6,7% | 24% | 6% | - | - | 1% | 1% | - | - | 31% | 13% | - | 14% [gg] | 11% |
Encuestas cara a cara | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fuente de la encuesta | Fecha (s) de administración | Tamaño de la muestra | Margen de error | Joe Biden | Pete Buttigieg | Bernie Sanders | Elizabeth Warren | Indeciso | |
Investigación de Opinión Tel | 20-22 de mayo de 2019 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 63% | 21% | - | - | 15% | |
66% | - | 22% | - | 13% | |||||
58% | - | - | 29% | 13% | |||||
Grupo de Investigación Estadounidense | 21-27 de marzo de 2018 | 400 | ± 5,0% | 47% | - | 45% | - | 7% | |
58% | - | - | 33% | 8% |
Caucus de Nevada [ editar ]
El caucus demócrata de Nevada se llevó a cabo el 22 de febrero de 2020. [18]
Agregación de sondeo | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fuente de agregación de encuestas | Fecha de actualización | Fechas encuestadas | Bernie Sanders | Joe Biden | Pete Buttigieg | Elizabeth Warren | Tom Steyer | Amy Klobuchar | Otros | Indeciso [a] | |
270 para ganar | 21 de febrero de 2020 | 14-21 de febrero de 2020 | 30,0% | 16,7% | 14,0% | 13,7% | 9,7% | 9,7% | 1,3% [gh] | 4,9% | |
Política RealClear | 21 de febrero de 2020 | 19-21 de febrero de 2020 | 32,5% | 16,0% | 16,0% | 14,0% | 9,0% | 9,5% | 2,0% [gi] | 1,0% | |
CincoTreintaOcho | 21 de febrero de 2020 | hasta el 21 de febrero de 2020 [d] | 30,5% | 14,4% | 15,3% | 11,8% | 10,2% | 8,9% | 11,0% [gj] | - [gk] | |
Promedio | 31,0% | 15,7% | 15,1% | 13,2% | 9,6% | 9,4% | 4,7% [gl] | 2,0% | |||
Resultados del caucus de Nevada, primera alineación (22 de febrero de 2020) | 34,0% | 17,6% | 15,4% | 12,8% | 9,1% | 9,6% | 1,5% [g] | - |
Tabulación de encuestas individuales del Caucus Demócrata de Nevada 2020 | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fuente de la encuesta | Fecha (s) de administración | Tamaño de muestra [g] | Margen de error | Joe Biden | Cory Booker | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Amy Klobuchar | Beto O'Rourke | Bernie Sanders | Tom Steyer | Elizabeth Warren | Andrew Yang | Otro | Indeciso | |
Caucus de Nevada (primer voto de alineación) | 22 de febrero de 2020 | - | - | 17,6% | - | 15,4% | - | 9,6% | - | 34% | 9,1% | 12,8% | 0,6% | 1% [gn] | - | |
Datos para el progreso [4] [ir] | 19-21 de febrero de 2020 | 1010 (LV) | ± 2,8% | dieciséis% | - | 15% | - | 8% | - | 35% | 8% | dieciséis% | - | 2% [gp] | - | |
AtlasIntel | 19-21 de febrero de 2020 | 517 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 11% | - | 14% | - | 5% | - | 38% | 11% | 9% | - | 7% [gq] | 5% | |
Emerson College | 19-20 de febrero de 2020 | 425 (LV) | ± 4,7% | dieciséis% | - | 17% | - | 11% | - | 30% | 10% | 12% | - | 4% [gr] | - | |
La votación anticipada ocurrió en los caucus de Nevada [22] | ||||||||||||||||
Política a quemarropa | 13-15 de febrero de 2020 | 256 (LV) | ± 5,6% | 14,3% | - | 12,6% | - | 15,6% | - | 13% | 18,6% | 7,1% | - | 1,7% [gs] | 17,1% | |
Investigación de balizas / Tom Steyer | 12-15 de febrero de 2020 | 600 (LV) | - | 19% | - | 13% | - | 7% | - | 24% | 18% | 10% | - | 4% [gt] | 6% | |
Datos para el progreso [5] [gu] | 12-15 de febrero de 2020 | 766 (LV) | ± 3,4% | 14% | - | 15% | - | 9% | - | 35% | 10% | dieciséis% | - | 2% [gv] | - | |
WPA Intelligence / Las Vegas Review-Journal / AARP Nevada | 11-13 de febrero de 2020 | 413 (LV) | ± 4,8% | 18% | - | 10% | - | 10% | - | 25% | 11% | 13% | - | 5% [gw] | 8% | |
Primaria de New Hampshire ; Yang se retira de la carrera tras el cierre de las urnas | ||||||||||||||||
Booker se retira de la carrera | ||||||||||||||||
Universidad de Suffolk / USA Today [6] | 8-11 de enero de 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4,4% | 19% | 2% | 8% | - | 4% | - | 18% | 8% | 11% | 4% | 4% [gx] | 22% | |
MyersResearch / Servicios estratégicos / Yang 2020 [gy] | 6 al 8 de enero de 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 28% | 2% | 6% | - | - | - | 29% | 8% | 14% | 5% | 2% [gz] | 4% | |
Fox News | 5-8 de enero de 2020 | 635 | ± 4.0% | 23% | 3% | 6% | - | 2% | - | 17% | 12% | 12% | 4% | 13% [ha] | 6% | |
Harris se retira de la carrera | ||||||||||||||||
Noticias de YouGov / CBS | 6 al 13 de noviembre de 2019 | 708 (caravana) | ± 4,7% | 33% | 2% | 9% | 4% | 2% | - | 23% | 2% | 21% | 1% | 2% [hb] | - | |
Fox News | 10-13 de noviembre de 2019 | 627 | ± 4.0% | 24% | 1% | 8% | 4% | 2% | - | 18% | 5% | 18% | 3% | 4% [hc] | 10% | |
Encuesta de Emerson | 31 de octubre - 2 de noviembre de 2019 | 451 (LV) | ± 4,6% | 30% | 1% | 5% | 5% | 1% | - | 19% | 3% | 22% | 5% | 10% [hd] | - | |
Grupo Mellman / The Nevada Independent | 28 de octubre - 2 de noviembre de 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 29% | 1% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 19% | 4% | 19% | 3% | 3% [él] | 9% | |
O'Rourke se retira de la carrera | ||||||||||||||||
CNN / SSRS | 22-26 de septiembre de 2019 | 324 (LV) | ± 7,1% | 22% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 22% | 4% | 18% | 3% | 3% [hf] | 13% | |
Universidad de Suffolk / USA Today | 19-23 de septiembre de 2019 | 500 (LV) | - | 23% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 14% | 3% | 19% | 3% | 4% [hg] | 21% | |
Noticias de YouGov / CBS | 28 de agosto - 4 de septiembre de 2019 | 563 (LV) | ± 4,9% | 27% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 0% | 3% | 29% | 2% | 18% | 1% | 9% [hh] | - | |
Marketing de Gravis | 14–16 de agosto de 2019 | 382 (RV) | ± 5,0% | 25% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 2% | 0% | 10% | 6% | 15% | 2% | 13% [hola] | 9% | |
Investigación del cambio | 2 al 8 de agosto de 2019 | 439 (LV) | ± 4,7% | 26% | 0% | 7% | 10% | 1% | 2% | 22% | 3% | 23% | 1% | 5% [hj] | - | |
Consulta matutina | 1–21 de julio de 2019 | 749 (caravana) | ± 4.0% | 29% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 1% | 3% | 23% | 1% | 12% | 3% | 10% [hk] | - | |
Steyer anuncia su candidatura | ||||||||||||||||
Universidad de Monmouth | 6-11 de junio de 2019 | 370 (LV) | ± 5,1% | 36% | 2% | 7% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 13% | - | 19% | 2% | 3% [hl] | 8% | |
Investigación del cambio | 9-12 de mayo de 2019 | 389 (LV) | - | 29% | 2% | 13% | 11% | 1% | 4% | 24% | - | 12% | 1% | 4% [hm] | - | |
Biden anuncia su candidatura | ||||||||||||||||
Buttigieg anuncia su candidatura | ||||||||||||||||
Emerson College | 28-30 de marzo de 2019 | 310 (LV) | ± 5,5% | 26% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 2% | 10% | 23% | - | 10% | 3% | 9% [hn] | - |
Primarias de Carolina del Sur [ editar ]
La primaria demócrata de Carolina del Sur se llevó a cabo el 29 de febrero de 2020. [18]
Agregación de sondeo | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fuente de agregación de encuestas | Fecha de actualización | Fechas encuestadas | Joe Biden | Bernie Sanders | Tom Steyer | Pete Buttigieg | Elizabeth Warren | Amy Klobuchar | Tulsi Gabbard | Sin decidir [ho] |
270 para ganar | 28 de febrero de 2020 | 23-27 de febrero de 2020 | 35,8% | 20,2% | 13,4% | 10,0% | 8,2% | 5,0% | 2,6% | 4,8% |
Política RealClear | 28 de febrero de 2020 | 23-27 de febrero de 2020 | 39,7% | 24,3% | 11,7% | 11,3% | 6,0% | 5,7% | 2,3% | - [hp] |
CincoTreintaOcho | 28 de febrero de 2020 | hasta el 27 de febrero de 2020 [d] | 38,4% | 19,1% | 12,4% | 8.5% | 7,0% | 4,3% | 2,6% | 7,7% [hq] |
Promedio | 38,0% | 21,2% | 12,5% | 9,9% | 7,1% | 5,0% | 2,5% | 4,9% [h] | ||
Resultados primarios de Carolina del Sur (29 de febrero de 2020) | 48,7% | 19,8% | 11,3% | 8,2% | 7,1% | 3,1% | 1,3% | - |
Encuestas en enero y febrero de 2020 | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fuente de la encuesta | Fecha (s) de administración | Tamaño de muestra [g] | Margen de error | Joe Biden | Michael Bloomberg | Pete Buttigieg | Tulsi Gabbard | Amy Klobuchar | Bernie Sanders | Tom Steyer | Elizabeth Warren | Andrew Yang | Otro | Indeciso | |
Primarias de Carolina del Sur (voto popular) | 29 de febrero de 2020 | - | - | 48,65% | - | 8,2% | 1,26% | 3,13% | 19,77% | 11,34% | 7,07% | 0,2% | 0.38% [hs] | - | |
Atlas Intel | 25-28 de febrero de 2020 | 477 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | - | 8% | 2% | 4% | 24% | 12% | 7% | - | 2% | 6% | |
Emerson College | 26-27 de febrero de 2020 | 550 (LV) | ± 4,1% | 41% | - | 11% | 2% | 6% | 25% | 11% | 5% | - | - | - | |
Grupo Trafalgar | 26-27 de febrero de 2020 | 1.081 (LV) | ± 2,99% | 43,9% | - | 9,6% | 1,7% | 5,9% | 22,8% | 10,5% | 5,6% | - | - | - | |
Datos para el progreso | 23-27 de febrero de 2020 | 1416 (LV) | ± 2,6% | 34% | - | 13% | 3% | 5% | 25% | 13% | 7% | - | - | - | |
Investigación de cambios [7] / Correos y mensajería | 23-27 de febrero de 2020 | 543 (LV) | ± 5,1% | 28% | - | 11% | 5% | 4% | 24% | dieciséis% | 12% | - | - | 1% | |
Comunicaciones de estribor | 26 de febrero de 2020 | 1.102 (LV) | ± 2,82% | 40% | - | 9% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 12% | 9% | - | - | 12% | |
Décimo debate de las primarias demócratas | |||||||||||||||
Universidad de Monmouth | 23-25 de febrero de 2020 | 454 (LV) | ± 4,6% | 36% | - | 6% | 1% | 4% | dieciséis% | 15% | 8% | - | 0% | 15% | |
Universidad de Clemson | 17-25 de febrero de 2020 | 650 (LV) | ± 3,8% | 35% | - | 8% | 2% | 4% | 13% | 17% | 8% | - | - | 12% | |
Universidad de Carolina del Este | 23-24 de febrero de 2020 | 1,142 (LV) | ± 3,37% | 31% | - | 6% | 2% | 2% | 23% | 20% | 8% | - | - | 8% | |
Encuestas de políticas públicas | 23-24 de febrero de 2020 | 866 (LV) | ± 3,3% | 36% | - | 7% | 6% | 3% | 21% | 7% | 8% | - | - | 11% [ht] | |
Caucus de Nevada | |||||||||||||||
Noticias de YouGov / CBS | 20-22 de febrero de 2020 | 1.238 (LV) | ± 5,5% | 28% | - | 10% | 1% | 4% | 23% | 18% | 12% | - | 3% [hu] | 1% | |
Encuesta Marista / NBC News | 18-21 de febrero de 2020 | 539 (LV) | ± 6,0% | 27% | - | 9% | 3% | 5% | 23% | 15% | 8% | - | 2% [hv] | 9% | |
997 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 25% | - | 9% | 3% | 5% | 24% | 15% | 8% | - | 2% [hw] | 9% | |||
Universidad de Winthrop | 9-19 de febrero de 2020 | 443 (LV) | ± 4,7% | 24% | - | 7% | 1% | 4% | 19% | 15% | 6% | 1% [hx] | 2% [hy] | 22% | |
Universidad de Massachusetts Lowell | 12-18 de febrero de 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 7,5% | 23% | - | 11% | 4% | 9% | 21% | 13% | 11% | - | 4% [Hz] | 4% | |
Change Research / La fiesta de bienvenida | 12-14 de febrero de 2020 | 1015 (LV) | - | 23% | - | 15% | 1% | 8% | 23% | 20% | 9% | - | - | 1% | |
Universidad de Carolina del Este | 12-13 de febrero de 2020 | 703 (LV) | ± 4,3% | 28% | 6% | 8% | 1% | 7% | 20% | 14% | 7% | - | 0% | 8% | |
Primaria de New Hampshire ; Yang se retira de la carrera. | |||||||||||||||
Caucus de Iowa | |||||||||||||||
Análisis de Zogby | 31 de enero - 3 de febrero de 2020 | 277 (LV) | ± 5,9% | 28% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 1% | 0% [ia] | 8% | |
Universidad de Carolina del Este | 31 de enero - 2 de febrero de 2020 | 469 (LV) | ± 5,3% | 37% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 14% | 19% | 8% | 3% | 0% [ib] | 10% | |
Cambio de investigación / correo y mensajería | 26-29 de enero de 2020 | 651 (LV) | ± 4% | 25% | - | 7% | 3% | 2% | 20% | 18% | 11% | 3% | 1% [ic] | 10% | |
Booker se retira de la carrera | |||||||||||||||
Investigación de GQR / Unite the Country [id] | 9-13 de enero de 2020 | 600 (LV) | - | 36% [es decir] | - [si] | 5% [ig] | - [ih] | - [ii] | 15% [ij] | 12% [ik] | 10% [il] | - [im] | - [en] | - [io] | |
Fox News | 5-8 de enero de 2020 | 808 (caravana) | ± 3,5% | 36% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 14% | 15% | 10% | 2% | 3% [ip] | 11% |
Encuestas antes de enero de 2020 | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fuente de la encuesta | Fecha (s) de administración | Tamaño de muestra [g] | Margen de error | Joe Biden | Cory Booker | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Beto O'Rourke | Bernie Sanders | Tom Steyer | Elizabeth Warren | Otro | Indeciso |
Cambio de investigación / correo y mensajería | 6 al 11 de diciembre de 2019 | 392 (LV) | ± 4,9% | 27% | 5% | 9% | - | - | 20% | 5% | 19% | 13% [iq] | - |
Harris se retira de la carrera | |||||||||||||
YouGov / FairVote [8] | 22 de noviembre - 2 de diciembre de 2019 | 400 (LV) | ± 7,5% | 39% | 2% | 10% | 2% | - | 13% | 7% | 10% | 13% [ir] | 4% |
Universidad de Quinnipiac | 13-17 de noviembre de 2019 | 768 (LV) | ± 4,8% | 33% | 2% | 6% | 3% | - | 11% | 5% | 13% | 7% [es] | 18% |
Noticias de YouGov / CBS | 6 al 13 de noviembre de 2019 | 933 (caravana) | ± 4,2% | 45% | 2% | 8% | 5% | - | 15% | 2% | 17% | 6% [it] | - |
Universidad de Florida del Norte | 5 al 13 de noviembre de 2019 | 426 (LV) | - | 36% | 2% | 3% | 4% | - | 10% | 8% | 10% | 6% [iu] | 23% |
O'Rourke se retira de la carrera | |||||||||||||
Universidad de Monmouth | 16-21 de octubre de 2019 | 402 (LV) | ± 4,9% | 33% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 1% | 12% | 4% | dieciséis% | 7% [iv] | 15% |
Cambio de investigación / correo y mensajería | 15-21 de octubre de 2019 | 731 (LV) | ± 3,6% | 30% | 3% | 9% | 11% | 1% | 13% | 5% | 19% | 11% [iw] | - |
Estrategias de la estación de bomberos / Øptimus | 8-10 de octubre de 2019 | 607 (LV) | ± 3,7% | 32% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 8% | - | dieciséis% | 33% [ix] | - [iy] |
Noticias de YouGov / CBS | 3 al 11 de octubre de 2019 | 915 (RV) | ± 3,9% | 43% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 1% | dieciséis% | 2% | 18% | 6% [iz] | - |
Marketing de Gravis | 3 al 7 de octubre de 2019 | 516 (LV) | ± 4,3% | 34% | 6% | 0% | 4% | 2% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 10% [ja] | 19% |
Fox News | 29 de septiembre - 2 de octubre de 2019 | 803 (LV) | ± 3,5% | 41% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 10% | 4% | 12% | 8% [jb] | dieciséis% |
Universidad de Winthrop | 21-30 de septiembre de 2019 | 462 (RV) | ± 4,9% | 37% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 2% | 8% | 2% | 17% | 6% [jc] | 12% |
CNN / SSRS | 22-26 de septiembre de 2019 | 406 (LV) | ± 5,9% | 37% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 11% | 3% | dieciséis% | 4% [jd] | 10% |
Noticias de YouGov / CBS | 28 de agosto - 4 de septiembre de 2019 | 849 (RV) [je] | ± 4,3% | 43% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 1% | 18% | 1% | 14% | 9% [jf] | - |
Investigación del cambio | 9-12 de agosto de 2019 | 521 (LV) | ± 4,3% | 36% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 1% | dieciséis% | 1% | 17% | 7% [jg] | - |
Estrategias de la estación de bomberos / Øptimus | 23-25 de julio de 2019 | 554 (LV) | ± 3,8% | 31% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 0% | 9% | - | 12% | 8% [jh] | 24% |
Universidad de Monmouth | 18-22 de julio de 2019 | 405 (LV) | ± 4,9% | 39% | 2% | 5% | 12% | 1% | 10% | 2% | 9% | 3% [ji] | 17% |
Noticias de YouGov / CBS | 9-18 de julio de 2019 | 997 (RV) [jj] | ± 3,8% | 39% | 3% | 5% | 12% | 2% | 17% | 1% | 12% | 9% [jk] | - |
Fox News | 7 a 10 de julio de 2019 | 701 (LV) | ± 3,5% | 35% | 3% | 2% | 12% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 5% | 3% [jl] | 20% |
Steyer anuncia su candidatura | |||||||||||||
Investigación del cambio | 29 de junio - 4 de julio de 2019 | 421 (LV) | - | 27% | 6% | 6% | 21% | 1% | dieciséis% | 0% | 15% | 8% [jm] | - |
Investigación del cambio | 17-20 de junio de 2019 | 308 (LV) | - | 39% | 5% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 13% | 0% | 15% | 5% [jn] | - |
Investigación del cambio | 11-14 de junio de 2019 | 933 (LV) | ± 3,2% | 37% | 5% | 11% | 9% | 4% | 9% | - | 17% | 8% [jo] | - |
Noticias de YouGov / CBS | 31 de mayo - 12 de junio de 2019 | 552 (LV) | - | 45% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 18% | - | 8% | 8% [jp] | - |
Análisis de Zogby | 23-29 de mayo de 2019 | 183 (LV) | ± 7,2% | 36% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 13% | - | 12% | 4% [jq] | - |
Investigación de opinión telefónica * | 22-24 de mayo de 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 37% | 2% | 3% | 7% | - | 10% | - | 8% | - | 32% |
Investigación de Crantford | 14 al 16 de mayo de 2019 | 381 (LV) | ± 5,0% | 42% | 4% | 8% | 10% | - | 7% | - | 8% | - | - |
Investigación del cambio | 6 al 9 de mayo de 2019 | 595 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 2% | 15% | - | 8% | 5% [jr] | - |
Estrategias de la estación de bomberos / Øptimus | 30 de abril - 2 de mayo de 2019 | 568 (LV) | ± 4,5% | 48% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 12% | - | 5% | 1% [js] | 20% |
Biden anuncia su candidatura | |||||||||||||
Buttigieg anuncia su candidatura | |||||||||||||
Investigación del cambio | 31 de marzo - 4 de abril de 2019 | 744 (LV) | ± 3,6% | 32% | 9% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 14% | - | 6% | 12% [jt] | - |
- | 12% | 12% | 15% | dieciséis% | 24% | - | 11% | 12% [ju] | - | ||||
O'Rourke anuncia su candidatura | |||||||||||||
Emerson College | 28 de febrero - 2 de marzo de 2019 | 291 (LV) | ± 5,7% | 37% | 6% | 0% | 9% | 5% | 21% | - | 5% | 16% [jv] | - |
Investigación del cambio | 15-18 de febrero de 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 10% | - | 13% | 8% | 14% | - | 9% | 12% [jw] | - |
- | 28% | 1% | 35% | - | - | - | 20% | 18% [jx] | - | ||||
Sanders anuncia su candidatura | |||||||||||||
Warren anuncia su candidatura | |||||||||||||
Estrategias de la estación de bomberos / Øptimus | 31 de enero - 2 de febrero de 2019 | 557 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 5% | - | 12% | 2% | 8% | - | 4% | 2% [jy] | 31% |
Encuestas cara a cara | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fuente de la encuesta | Fecha (s) de administración | Tamaño de la muestra | Margen de error | Joe Biden | Pete Buttigieg | Bernie Sanders | Elizabeth Warren | Otro | Indeciso |
YouGov / FairVote [9] [jz] | 22 de noviembre - 2 de diciembre de 2019 | 400 (LV) | ± 7,5% | 73% | 27% | - | - | - | - |
66% | - | 34% | - | - | - | ||||
61% | - | - | 29% | [ka] | 6% | ||||
- | 39% | 61% | - | - | - | ||||
- | 36% | - | 64% | - | - | ||||
- | - | 54% | 46% | - | - | ||||
Investigación de Opinión Tel | 22-24 de mayo de 2019 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 71% | 10% | - | - | - | 19% |
70% | - | 15% | - | - | dieciséis% | ||||
67% | - | - | 15% | - | 18% |
Primarias de Alabama [ editar ]
La primaria demócrata de Alabama se llevó a cabo el 3 de marzo de 2020. [18]
Agregación de sondeo | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fuente de agregación de encuestas | Fecha de actualización | Fechas encuestadas | Joe Biden | Bernie Sanders | Michael Bloomberg | Elizabeth Warren | Tulsi Gabbard | Otro / Indeciso [a] | |||
270 para ganar | 3 de marzo de 2020 | 28 de febrero - 2 de marzo de 2020 | 44,5% | 21,0% | 18,0% | 11,0% | 1,0% | 4,5% | |||
Política RealClear | 3 de marzo de 2020 | Encuestas recientes insuficientes para proporcionar un promedio. | |||||||||
CincoTreintaOcho | 3 de marzo de 2020 | hasta el 2 de marzo de 2020 [d] | 40,2% | 18,4% | 15,9% | 10,9% | 0,5% | 14,1% | |||
Promedio | 42,35% | 19,7% | 16,95% | 10,95% | 0,75% | 9,3% | |||||
Resultados de las primarias de Alabama (3 de marzo de 2020) | 63,3% | 16,5% | 11,7% | 5,7% | 0,2% | 2,6% |
Tabulación de las encuestas individuales de las primarias demócratas de Alabama de 2020 | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fuente de la encuesta | Fecha (s) de administración | Tamaño de la muestra | Margen de error | Joe Biden | Michael Bloomberg | Cory Booker | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Beto O'Rourke | Bernie Sanders | Elizabeth Warren | Otro | Indeciso | |||
Buttigieg y Klobuchar se retiran de la carrera | ||||||||||||||||
Oscilante | 1–2 de marzo de 2020 | 949 (LV) | ± 5,0% | 42% | 18% | - | 3% | - | - | 20% | 10% | 8% [kb] | - | |||
Datos para el progreso | 28 de febrero - 2 de marzo de 2020 | 237 (LV) | ± 6,4% | 47% | 18% | - | - | - | - | 22% | 12% | 2% [kc] | - | |||
Booker se retira de la carrera | ||||||||||||||||
Harris se retira de la carrera | ||||||||||||||||
O'Rourke se retira de la carrera | ||||||||||||||||
Mono encuesta | 2 al 16 de julio de 2019 | 257 | ± 7,8% | 36% | - | 2% | 5% | 13% | 1% | 15% | 9% | 10% [kd] | - | |||
Investigación del cambio | 20-23 de marzo de 2019 | 1200 | ± 2,8% | 42% | - | 9% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 13% | 6% | 4% [ke] | - | |||
- | - | 14% | 4% | dieciséis% | 17% | 27% | 12% | 9% [kf] | - |
Primarias de Arkansas [ editar ]
La primaria demócrata de Arkansas se llevó a cabo el 3 de marzo de 2020. [18]
Agregación de encuestas | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fuente de agregación de encuestas | Fecha de actualización | Fechas encuestadas | Joe Biden | Michael Bloomberg | Bernie Sanders | Elizabeth Warren | Tulsi Gabbard | Otro / Indeciso [a] | |||
270 para ganar | 3 de marzo de 2020 | 6 de febrero a 2 de marzo de 2020 | 27,7% | 22,3% | 18,7% | 11,3% | 0,5% | 19,5% | |||
Política RealClear | 3 de marzo de 2020 | Encuestas recientes insuficientes para proporcionar un promedio. | |||||||||
CincoTreintaOcho | 3 de marzo de 2020 | hasta el 2 de marzo de 2020 [d] | 27,5% | 21,0% | 18,1% | 12,5% | 0,3% | 20,6% | |||
Promedio | 27,6% | 21,65% | 18,4% | 11,9% | 0,4% | 20,05% | |||||
Resultados primarios de Arkansas (3 de marzo de 2020) | 40,5% | 16,7% | 22,4% | 10,0% | 0,7% | 9,7% |
Tabulación de encuestas individuales de las Primarias Demócratas de Arkansas 2020 | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fuente de la encuesta | Fecha (s) de administración | Tamaño de muestra [g] | Margen de error | Joe Biden | Michael Bloomberg | Pete Buttigieg | Bernie Sanders | Elizabeth Warren | Otro | Indeciso | ||||||
Buttigieg y Klobuchar se retiran de la carrera | ||||||||||||||||
Oscilante | 1–2 de marzo de 2020 | 714 (LV) | ± 6,0% | 28% | 25% | 8% | 17% | 10% | 13% [kg] | - | ||||||
Datos para el progreso | 28 de febrero-2 de marzo de 2020 | 300 (LV) | ± 5,6% | 36% | 22% | 2% | 23% | 15% | 2% [kh] | - | ||||||
La campaña de progreso (D) [10] | 21-25 de febrero de 2020 | 209 (caravana) | ± 4,9% | 17% | 17% | 18% | 19% | 12% | 6% [ki] | 10% [kj] | ||||||
Hendrix College / Hablar de negocios y política | 6 al 7 de febrero de 2020 | 496 (LV) | ± 4,3% | 18,5% | 19,6% | 15,5% | 16,4% | 8,9% | 10,1% [kk] | 11% |
Primarias de California [ editar ]
La primaria demócrata de California se llevó a cabo el 3 de marzo de 2020. [18]
Agregación de sondeo | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fuente de agregación de encuestas | Fecha de actualización | Fechas encuestadas | Bernie Sanders | Joe Biden | Elizabeth Warren | Michael Bloomberg | Tulsi Gabbard | Otro / Indeciso [a] | |||
270 para ganar | 3 de marzo de 2020 | 20 de febrero - 1 de marzo de 2020 | 33,0% | 20,0% | 14,4% | 15,0% | 1,2% | 16,4% | |||
Política RealClear | 3 de marzo de 2020 | 28 de febrero - 2 de marzo de 2020 | 35,0% | 23,0% | 16,0% | 14,0% | 1,5% | 10,5% [kl] | |||
CincoTreintaOcho | 3 de marzo de 2020 | hasta el 2 de marzo de 2020 [d] | 31,2% | 21,7% | 14,9% | 14,7% | 0,7% | 16,8% | |||
Promedio | 33,1% | 21,6% | 15,1% | 14,6% | 1,1% | 14,5% | |||||
Resultados de las primarias de California (3 de marzo de 2020) | 36,0% | 27,9% | 13,2% | 12,1% | 0,6% | 10,2% |
Encuestas del 1 de enero al 3 de marzo de 2020 | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fuente de la encuesta | Fecha (s) de administración | Tamaño de muestra [g] | Margen de error | Joe Biden | Michael Bloomberg | Pete Buttigieg | Amy Klobuchar | Bernie Sanders | Tom Steyer | Elizabeth Warren | Andrew Yang | Otro | Indeciso | ||
Klobuchar se retira de la carrera. | |||||||||||||||
Oscilante | 1 al 2 de marzo de 2020 | 3.388 (LV) | ± 2,0% | 20,8% | 19,3% | 8,4% | 3,3% | 28,7% | 4,0% | 9,6% | - | 6,0% [km] | - | ||
Datos para el progreso | 28 de febrero - 2 de marzo de 2020 | 516 (LV) | ± 4,3% | 25% | 17% | 5% | 3% | 32% | - | dieciséis% | - | 1% [kn] | - | ||
AtlasIntel | 24 de febrero - 2 de marzo de 2020 | 727 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 26% | 15% | 3% | 1% | 34% | - | 15% | - | 2% [ko] | 4% | ||
Buttigieg se retira de la carrera. | |||||||||||||||
Política a quemarropa | 29 de febrero - 1 de marzo de 2020 | 1.220 (LV) | ± 4,1% | 22% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 34% | 1% | 14% | - | 1% [kp] | 9% | ||
Emerson College / Nexstar | 29 de febrero - 1 de marzo de 2020 | 545 (LV) | ± 4,1% | 21% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 38% | 2% | dieciséis% | - | 1% [kq] | - | ||
Primaria de Carolina del Sur ; Steyer se retira de la carrera luego del cierre de las urnas. | |||||||||||||||
Noticias de YouGov / CBS | 27-29 de febrero de 2020 | 1.411 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 19% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 31% | 3% | 18% | - | 4% [kr] | - | ||
Universidad de Suffolk | 26-29 de febrero de 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4,4% | 14% | dieciséis% | 7% | 5% | 35% | 3% | 12% | - | 3% [ks] | - | ||
YouGov / Hoover Institution / Universidad de Stanford | 26-28 de febrero de 2020 | 1.020 (LV) | - | 19% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 28% | 4% | 18% | - | 3% [kt] | - | ||
Política a quemarropa | 26-28 de febrero de 2020 | 2.276 (LV) | ± 2,9% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 3% | 34% | 3% | 14% | - | 1% [ku] | 10% | ||
40% [kv] | - | - | - | 50% | - | - | - | - | 11% | ||||||
- | 32% [kw] | - | - | 57% | - | - | - | - | 11% | ||||||
- | - | - | - | 46% [kx] | - | 36% | - | - | dieciséis% | ||||||
CNN / SSRS | 22-26 de febrero de 2020 | 488 (LV) | ± 5,2% | 13% | 12% | 7% | 6% | 35% | 3% | 14% | - | 3% [ky] | 8% | ||
Décimo debate de las primarias demócratas | |||||||||||||||
Política a quemarropa | 23-25 de febrero de 2020 | 2.098 (LV) | ± 3,0% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 4% | 34% | 3% | 13% | - | 2% [kz] | 13% | ||
Berkeley IGS / LA Times | 20-25 de febrero de 2020 | 3.002 (LV) | ± 2,0% | 8% | 12% | 11% | 6% | 34% | 2% | 17% | 1% | 2% [la] | 7% | ||
Caucus de Nevada | |||||||||||||||
Change Research / KQED News | 20-23 de febrero de 2020 | 1.069 (LV) | ± 3,4% | 12% | 6% | 11% | 5% | 37% | 3% | 20% | 4% [lb] | 3% [lc] | - | ||
Universidad de Massachusetts Lowell | 12-20 de febrero de 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 6,7% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 7% | 24% | 2% | dieciséis% | - | 7% [ld] | 6% | ||
Universidad de Monmouth | 16-19 de febrero de 2020 | 408 (LV) | ± 4,9% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 4% | 24% | 5% | 10% | - | 3% [le] | 13% | ||
36% [lf] | - | - | - | 44% | - | - | - | 15% [lg] | 5% | ||||||
- | 31% [lh] | - | - | 48% | - | - | - | 14% [li] | 6% | ||||||
- | - | 26% [lj] | - | 51% | - | - | - | 16% [lk] | 7% | ||||||
- | - | - | 24% [ll] | 54% | - | - | - | 16% [lm] | 6% | ||||||
Instituto de Políticas Públicas de California | 7 a 17 de febrero de 2020 | 573 (LV) | ± 5,7% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 5% | 32% | 3% | 13% | - | 2% [ln] | 8% | ||
SurveyUSA | 13-16 de febrero de 2020 | 520 (LV) | ± 4,8% | 15% | 21% | 12% | 6% | 25% | 3% | 9% | - | 1% [lo] | 9% | ||
YouGov / USC | 1 al 15 de febrero de 2020 | - | - | 21% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 29% | 2% | 20% | - | 2% [lp] | 9% [lq] | ||
Primaria de New Hampshire ; Yang se retira de la carrera luego del cierre de las urnas. | |||||||||||||||
Capitol Weekly | 6 al 9 de febrero de 2020 | 843 (LV) | - | 8% [lr] | 8% | 15% | 7% | 25% | 4% | 19% | 5% | 6% [ls] | 3% [lt] | ||
11% | 13% | 14% | 5% | 29% | 3% | dieciséis% | 4% | 5% [lu] | 1% [lv] | ||||||
Caucus de Iowa | |||||||||||||||
Change Research / KQED News | 25-27 de enero de 2020 | 1.967 (LV) | - | 15% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 30% | 2% | dieciséis% | 5% | 4% [lw] | 13% | ||
Berkeley IGS / LA Times | 15-21 de enero de 2020 | 2.895 (LV) | ± 2,5% | 15,0% | 6,0% | 7,2% | 4,9% | 26,3% | 1,8% | 19,6% | 3,9% | 3,6% [lx] | 11,7% | ||
SurveyUSA | 14-16 de enero de 2020 | 565 (LV) | ± 5,1% | 30% | 6% | 8% | 2% | 20% | 4% | 20% | 4% | 2% [ly] | 4% | ||
Booker se retira de la carrera. | |||||||||||||||
Instituto de Políticas Públicas de California / Mercury News | 3 al 12 de enero de 2020 | 530 (LV) | ± 6,5% | 24% | 1% | 6% | 4% | 27% | - | 23% | 3% | 5% [lz] | 7% | ||
Investigación Tulchin / USC Rossier / The Hill | 3 al 10 de enero de 2020 | 1.121 (LV) | - | 25% | 7% | 8% | 2% | 29% | 3% | 12% | 5% | 2% [ma] | 6% | ||
Capitol Weekly | 1 al 9 de enero de 2020 | 1.053 (LV) | - | 20% | 6% | 11% | 5% | 24% | 2% | 21% | 7% | 3% [mb] | - |
Encuestas antes del 1 de enero de 2020 | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fuente de la encuesta | Fecha (s) de administración | Tamaño de muestra [g] | Margen de error | Joe Biden | Cory Booker | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Beto O'Rourke | Bernie Sanders | Elizabeth Warren | Andrew Yang | Otro | Indeciso |
Change Research / KQED News | 6 al 10 de diciembre de 2019 | 862 (LV) | ± 3,3% | 19% | 3% | 12% | - | - | 26% | 23% | 4% | 13% [mc] | - |
CNN / SSRS | 4 al 8 de diciembre de 2019 | 508 (LV) | ± 5,2% | 21% | 3% | 9% | - | - | 20% | 17% | 6% | 12% [md] | 11% |
Capitol Weekly | 3 al 7 de diciembre de 2019 | 581 (LV) | - [yo] | 19% | 2% | 14% | - | - | 19% | 23% | 5% | 17% [mf] | 1% |
19% | 2% | 13% | 4% | - | 19% | 21% | 5% | 17% [mg] | 0% | ||||
Harris se retira de la carrera. | |||||||||||||
Berkeley IGS / LA Times | 21-27 de noviembre de 2019 | 1.252 (LV) | - | 14% | 1% | 12% | 7% | - | 24% | 22% | 3% | 12%[mh] | 9% |
SurveyUSA | November 20–22, 2019 | 558 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 28% | 3% | 8% | 10% | – | 18% | 13% | 5% | 11%[mi] | 5% |
Capitol Weekly | November 1–12, 2019 | 695 (LV) | – | 18% | 1% | 14% | 6% | – | 21% | 27% | 4% | 8%[mj] | 1% |
Public Policy Institute ofCalifornia | November 3–12, 2019 | 682 (LV) | – | 24% | 1% | 7% | 8% | – | 17% | 23% | 5% | 6%[mk] | 9% |
O'Rourke withdraws from the race. | |||||||||||||
Change Research | October 15–18, 2019 | 1,631 (LV) | – | 19% | 1% | 9% | 8% | 1% | 24% | 28% | 3% | 6%[ml] | – |
SurveyUSA | October 15–16, 2019 | 553 (LV) | ± 6.9% | 33% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 2% | 17% | 18% | 4% | 5%[mm] | 8% |
Capitol Weekly | October 1–14, 2019 | 590 (LV) | – | 21% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 0% | 15% | 35% | 3% | 9%[mn] | – |
Public Policy Institute ofCalifornia | September 16–25, 2019 | 692 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 22% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 1% | 21% | 23% | 3% | 7%[mo] | 9% |
Berkeley IGS/LA Times | September 13–18, 2019 | 2,272 | – | 20% | 1% | 6% | 8% | 3% | 19% | 29% | 2% | 5%[mp] | 8% |
Emerson College | September 13–16, 2019 | 424 | ± 4.7% | 26% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 26% | 20% | 7% | 4%[mq] | – |
SurveyUSA | September 13–15, 2019 | 547 | ± 4.8% | 27% | 2% | 3% | 13% | 2% | 18% | 16% | 7% | 4%[mr] | 7% |
Change Research/KQED | September 12–15, 2019 | 3,325 | ± 1.7% | 18% | 2% | 10% | 11% | 2% | 23% | 25% | 3% | 5%[ms] | – |
Capitol Weekly | September 1–13, 2019 | 599 | – | 18% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 2% | 21% | 29% | 4% | 5%[mt] | – |
Capitol Weekly | September 1–13, 2019 | 5,510 | – | 18% | 1% | 8% | 11% | 2% | 17% | 33% | 3% | 7%[mu] | – |
SurveyUSA | August 1–5, 2019 | 528 | ± 6.3% | 25% | 1% | 6% | 17% | 0% | 18% | 21% | 1% | 1%[mv] | 10% |
PPIC | July 14–23, 2019 | 766 | ± 4.4% | 11% | – | 5% | 19% | – | 12% | 15% | – | 14%[mw] | 25% |
YouGov/CBS News | July 9–18, 2019 | 1,514 | ± 2.9% | 24% | 1% | 6% | 23% | 1% | 16% | 19% | 1% | 9%[mx] | – |
Quinnipiac University | July 10–15, 2019 | 519 | ± 5.7% | 21% | 1% | 3% | 23% | 1% | 18% | 16% | 2% | 2%[my] | 10% |
Capitol Weekly | July 1–15, 2019 | 816 | – | 20% | 1% | 8% | 20% | 2% | 16% | 25% | 1% | 7%[mz] | – |
Change Research | July 9–11, 2019 | 1,609 | ± 2.5% | 17% | 1% | 8% | 23% | 2% | 20% | 22% | 2% | 5%[na] | – |
Swalwell withdraws from the race. | |||||||||||||
Capitol Weekly[23] | June 1–30, 2019 | 813 | – | 23% | 2% | 8% | 14% | 2% | 19% | 23% | 2% | 9%[nb] | – |
UC Berkeley | June 4–10, 2019 | 2,131 | ± 3.0% | 22% | 1% | 10% | 13% | 3% | 17% | 18% | 1% | 3%[nc] | 11% |
Capitol Weekly[23] | May 1–31, 2019 | 1,180 | – | 29% | 2% | 9% | 17% | 4% | 22% | 11% | 0% | 6%[nd] | – |
Change Research | May 25–28, 2019 | 1,649 | ± 2.4% | 30% | 1% | 12% | 15% | 3% | 23% | 12% | 1% | 2%[ne] | – |
Capitol Weekly[23] | April 15–30, 2019 | 1,204 | – | 20% | 2% | 19% | 17% | 4% | 20% | 10% | – | 9%[nf] | – |
Biden announces his candidacy. | |||||||||||||
Buttigieg announces his candidacy. | |||||||||||||
Change Research | April 6–9, 2019 | 2,003 | ± 2.2% | 21% | 3% | 9% | 19% | 10% | 22% | 8% | 1% | 7%[ng] | – |
– | 5% | 11% | 27% | 16% | 28% | 9% | 1% | 5%[nh] | – | ||||
Swalwell announces his candidacy. | |||||||||||||
Quinnipiac University | April 3–8, 2019 | 482 | ± 5.9% | 26% | 2% | 7% | 17% | 4% | 18% | 7% | 1% | 6%[ni] | 13% |
O'Rourke announces his candidacy. | |||||||||||||
Sanders announces his candidacy. | |||||||||||||
Change Research | February 9–11, 2019 | 948 | – | 26% | 3% | 1% | 26% | 8% | 20% | 7% | 0% | 7%[nj] | – |
– | 7% | 2% | 53% | – | – | 23% | 1% | 15%[nk] | – |
Colorado primary[edit]
The Colorado Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.[18]
Polling Aggregation | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated | Dates polled | BernieSanders | JoeBiden | ElizabethWarren | MichaelBloomberg | TulsiGabbard | Un- decided[a] | ||||
270 to Win | March 3, 2020 | Feb 24–Mar 2, 2020 | 29.3% | 16.3% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 1.0% | 22.1% | ||||
RealClear Politics | March 3, 2020 | Insufficient recent polling to supply an average. | ||||||||||
FiveThirtyEight | March 3, 2020 | until March 3, 2020[d] | 26.8% | 18.2% | 16.3% | 15.8% | 0.5% | 22.4% | ||||
Average | 28.0% | 17.3% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 0.8% | 22.1% | ||||||
Colorado primary results (March 3, 2020) | 37.0% | 24.6% | 17.6% | 18.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Colorado Democratic Primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[g] | Margin of error | MichaelBennet | JoeBiden | MichaelBloomberg | PeteButtigieg | KamalaHarris | JohnHickenlooper | BernieSanders | ElizabethWarren | AndrewYang | Other | Undecided | ||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Swayable | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 921 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | 20% | 19% | 12% | – | – | 29% | 12% | – | 7%[nl] | – | ||
Data for Progress | Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 | 464 (LV) | ± 4.2% | – | 18% | 16% | 8% | – | – | 32% | 21% | – | 5%[nm] | – | ||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Elucd | Feb 26–Mar 1, 2020 | 561 (LV) | ± 4.1% | – | 10% | 9% | 10% | – | – | 34% | 14% | – | 9%[nn] | 14% | ||
Magellan Strategies | Feb 24–25, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | – | 11% | 11% | 12% | – | – | 27% | 15% | – | 9%[no] | 15% | ||
Data for Progress | Feb 23–25, 2020 | 471 (LV) | ± 4.7% | – | 10% | 14% | 14% | – | – | 34% | 20% | – | 7%[np] | 1% | ||
New Hampshire primary; Yang and Bennet withdraw from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Emerson College | Aug 16–19, 2019 | 403 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 1% | 25% | – | 5% | 13% | – | 26% | 20% | 4% | 8%[nq] | – | ||
Hickenlooper withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling | Jul 12–14, 2019 | 519 (LV) | – | 5% | 22% | – | 7% | 9% | 7% | 15% | 19% | 0% | 14%[nr] | – |
Maine primary[edit]
The Maine Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.[18]
Polling Aggregation | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated | Dates polled | BernieSanders | JoeBiden | MichaelBloomberg | ElizabethWarren | TulsiGabbard | Undecided[a] | ||
270 to Win | Mar 3, 2020 | Feb 10–Mar 2, 2020 | 28.7% | 19.7% | 20.0% | 13.3% | 1.3% | 17.0% | ||
RealClear Politics | Mar 3, 2020 | Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 | 38.5% | 24.5% | 14.0% | 18.0% | –[ns] | 5.0% | ||
FiveThirtyEight | Mar 3, 2020 | until Mar 2, 2020 [d] | 31.1% | 21.7% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 0.7% | 19.6% | ||
Average | 32.8% | 22.0% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 1.0% | 11.9% | ||||
Maine primary results (March 3, 2020) | 32.4% | 33.4% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 0.9% | 5.9% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Maine Democratic Primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Michael Bloomberg | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Bernie Sanders | Elizabeth Warren | Andrew Yang | Other | Undecided | ||||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Swayable | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 209 (LV) | ± 9.0% | 22% | 28% | 10% | – | 27% | 11% | – | 3%[nt] | – | ||||
Change Research | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 507 (LV) | – | 24% | 10% | – | – | 43% | 16% | – | 7%[nu] | – | ||||
Data for Progress | Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 | 385 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 25% | 18% | 1% | – | 34% | 20% | – | 2%[nv] | – | ||||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
SocialSphere/Colby College | Feb 10–13, 2020 | 350 (LV) | – | 12% | 14% | 16% | – | 25% | 9% | 2% | 10%[nw] | 12% | ||||
Yang withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Maine People's Resource Center | Oct 14–21, 2019 | 728 (LV) | ± 3.63% | 26.8% | – | 9.1% | 5.0% | 15.4% | 22.1% | 1.7% | 11.4%[nx] | 4.4% | ||||
Public Policy Polling | Oct 11–13, 2019 | 366 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 19% | – | 9% | 4% | 12% | 31% | 3% | 20%[ny] | –[nz] | ||||
Gravis Marketing | Jun 24, 2019 | 243 | ± 6.3% | 25% | – | 8% | 2% | 15% | 17% | 5% | 15%[oa] | 11% |
Massachusetts primary[edit]
The Massachusetts Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.[18]
Polling Aggregation | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated | Dates polled | BernieSanders | ElizabethWarren | JoeBiden | MichaelBloomberg | TulsiGabbard | Others/ Undecided[ob] | |
270 to Win | March 3, 2020 | Until March 3, 2020 | 22.4% | 21.0% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 1.8% | 26.2% | |
FiveThirtyEight | March 3, 2020 | until March 3, 2020 [d] | 24.4% | 21.0% | 18.1% | 14.5% | 0.4% | 21.6% | |
Average | 23.4% | 21.0% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 1.1% | 23.9% | |||
Massachusetts primary results (March 3, 2020) | 26.6% | 21.4% | 33.4% | 11.7% | 0.7% | 6.1% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Massachusetts Democratic Primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[g] | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Michael Bloomberg | Cory Booker | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Amy Klobuchar | Beto O'Rourke | Deval Patrick | Bernie Sanders | Elizabeth Warren | Other | Undecided | |
Klobuchar withdraws from the race; endorses Biden | ||||||||||||||||
Swayable | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 917 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 17% | 18% | – | 11% | – | 5% | – | – | 27% | 15% | 8%[oc] | – | |
Data for Progress | Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 | 301 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 26% | 15% | – | 2% | – | 1% | – | – | 26% | 28% | 2%[od] | – | |
Buttigieg withdraws from the race; endorses Biden | ||||||||||||||||
Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBZ-TV | Feb 26–29, 2020 | 500 (LV) | - | 11.0% | 13.0% | – | 12.4% | – | 5.0% | – | – | 24.2% | 22.2% | 3.6%[oe] | 8.6% | |
WBUR/MassINC | Feb 23-26, 2020 | 426 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 9% | 13% | - | 14% | - | 6% | - | - | 25% | 17% | 9%[of] | 8% | |
UMass Amherst | Feb 18-24, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.9% | 12% | 9% | - | 14% | - | 7% | - | - | 25% | 23% | 8%[og] | 3% | |
Falchuk & DiNatale | Feb 16-18, 2020 | 453 (LV) | – | 13% | 13% | – | 13% | – | 14% | – | – | 17% | 16% | 5%[oh] | 8% | |
University of Massachusetts Lowell | Feb 12-19, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 6.1% | 14% | 12% | – | 15% | – | 9% | – | – | 21% | 20% | 6%[oi] | 4% | |
Patrick withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Falchuk & DiNatale | Jan 27-30, 2020 | 334 (LV) | – | 16% | 8% | – | 6% | – | 7% | – | 3% | 12% | 23% | 7%[oj] | – | |
Booker withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Bloomberg announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Patrick announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
WBUR | Oct 16–20, 2019 | 456 | ± 4.6% | 18% | – | 0% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 0% | – | 13% | 33% | 7%[ok] | 15% | |
Suffolk University | Sep 3–5, 2019 | 500 | - | 26% | – | 1% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 1% | – | 8% | 24% | 6%[ol] | 25% | |
Moulton withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Suffolk University | Jun 5–9, 2019 | 370 | ± 5.1% | 22% | – | 1% | 8% | 5% | 0% | 1% | – | 6% | 10% | 5%[om] | 42% | |
Biden announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Moulton announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Buttigieg announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Emerson College | Apr 4–7, 2019 | 371 | ± 5.0% | 23% | – | 2% | 11% | 7% | 2% | 8% | – | 26% | 14% | 8%[on] | – | |
O'Rourke announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Sanders announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Klobuchar announces her candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Warren announces her candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Booker announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Harris announces her candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
YouGov/UMass Amherst | Nov 7–14, 2018 | 655 | – | 19% | – | 3% | – | 6% | 3% | 10% | 6% | 14% | 11% | 1%[oo] | 27% |
Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Minnesota primary[edit]
The Minnesota Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.[18]Amy Klobuchar lead in pre-election polling, but withdrew from the race the night before the election and endorsed Joe Biden (who went on to win Minnesota).
Polling Aggregation | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated | Dates polled | AmyKlobuchar | BernieSanders | ElizabethWarren | JoeBiden | MichaelBloomberg | TulsiGabbard | Un- decided[a] | |||
270 to Win | Mar 2, 2020 | Feb 20–22, 2020 | 28.0% | 22.0% | 13.5% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 19.5% | |||
FiveThirtyEight | Mar 2, 2020 | until Mar 2, 2020[d] | 24.4% | 26.2% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 17.2% | |||
Average | 26.2% | 24.1% | 14.0% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 18.3% | |||||
Minnesota Primary results (March 3, 2020) | 5.6% | 29.9% | 15.4% | 38.6% | 8.3% | 0.3% | 1.8% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Minnesota Democratic Primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[g] | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Michael Bloomberg | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Amy Klobuchar | Beto O'Rourke | Bernie Sanders | Elizabeth Warren | Other | Undecided | |||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Swayable | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 1,472 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 20% | 14% | 4% | – | 21% | – | 27% | 8% | 6%[op] | – | |||
Data for Progress | Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 | 650 (LV) | ± 3.84% | 27% | 16% | – | – | 2% | – | 32% | 21% | 1%[oq] | – | |||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Mason-Dixon/Star Tribune/MPR News Minnesota | Feb 17–20, 2020 | 500(LV) | ± 4.5% | 8% | 3% | 3% | – | 29% | – | 23% | 11% | 2%[or] | 21% | |||
University of Massachusetts Lowell | Feb 12–19, 2020 | 450(LV) | ± 6.4% | 9% | 9% | 10% | – | 27% | – | 21% | 16% | 4%[os] | 4% | |||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
St. Cloud State University | Oct 14-Nov 1, 2019 | 177 (LV) | – | 15% | – | 2% | – | 15% | – | 12% | 15% | – | – | |||
Kaiser Family Foundation | Sep 23–Oct 15, 2019 | 249 | – | 14% | – | 7% | 1% | 15% | 1% | 13% | 25% | 5%[ot] | 21% | |||
Change Research | Jun 8–12, 2019 | 772 | ± 3.7% | 20% | – | 11% | 4% | 16% | 3% | 19% | 21% | 5%[ou] | – |
North Carolina primary[edit]
The North Carolina Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.[18]
Polling Aggregation | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date Updated | Dates polled | JoeBiden | BernieSanders | MichaelBloomberg | ElizabethWarren | TulsiGabbard | Other/ Undecided[a] | |||
270 to Win | March 3, 2020 | February 21–March 2, 2020 | 27.8% | 25.8% | 17.0% | 11.6% | 0.8% | 17.0% | |||
RealClear Politics | March 3, 2020 | February 27–March 2, 2020 | 36.7% | 23.3% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 1.0% | 14.0% | |||
FiveThirtyEight | March 3, 2020 | until March 2, 2020[d] | 34.5% | 22.1% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 0.2% | 17.5% | |||
Average | 33.0% | 23.7% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 0.7% | 16.2% | |||||
North Carolina primary results (March 3, 2020) | 43.0% | 24.1% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 0.5% | 8.9% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 North Carolina Democratic primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[g] | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Michael Bloomberg | Cory Booker | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Bernie Sanders | Elizabeth Warren | Andrew Yang | Other | Undecided | |||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Spry Strategies/Civitas | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 543 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 45% | 11% | – | 3% | – | 18% | 7% | – | 6%[ov] | 11% | |||
Swayable | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 1,209 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 18% | – | 4% | – | 23% | 10% | – | 10%[ow] | – | |||
Data for Progress | Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 | 334 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 36% | 18% | – | 3% | – | 27% | 14% | – | 3%[ox] | – | |||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Elucd | Feb 26–Mar 1, 2020 | 657 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 25% | 15% | – | 6% | – | 26% | 12% | – | 6%[oy] | 10% | |||
East Carolina University | Feb 27–28, 2020 | 499 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 29% | 14% | – | 4% | – | 25% | 11% | – | 9%[oz] | 9% | |||
High Point University | Feb 21–28, 2020 | 274 (LV) | – | 14% | 20% | – | 8% | – | 28% | 12% | – | 13%[pa] | 7% | |||
472 (RV) | – | 14% | 18% | – | 8% | – | 31% | 11% | – | 11%[pb] | 7% | |||||
Spry Strategies/Civitas | Feb 26–27, 2020 | 581 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 27% | 16% | – | 4% | – | 19% | 11% | – | 10%[pc] | 15% | |||
Marist College | Feb 23–27, 2020 | 568 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 24% | 15% | – | 7% | – | 26% | 11% | – | 8%[pd] | 7% | |||
974 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 22% | 15% | – | 7% | – | 27% | 11% | – | 9%[pe] | 8% | |||||
Data for Progress | Feb 23–27, 2020 | 536 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 25% | 18% | – | 10% | – | 27% | 11% | – | 8%[pf] | – | |||
Public Policy Polling | Feb 23–24, 2020 | 852 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 23% | 17% | – | 9% | – | 20% | 11% | – | 8%[pg] | 11%[ph] | |||
Meredith College | Feb 16–24, 2020 | 430 (LV) | – | 17.9% | 17.0% | 0.7% | 10.0% | – | 19.5% | 10.9% | – | 7.6%[pi] | 16.5%[pj] | |||
Spry Strategies/Civitas | Feb 21–23, 2020 | 561 (LV) | ± 3.75% | 20% | 20% | – | 3% | – | 20% | 9% | – | 13%[pk] | 14% | |||
University of Massachusetts Lowell | Feb 12–18, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 16% | 19% | – | 10% | – | 23% | 13% | – | 13%[pl] | 6% | |||
SurveyUSA/WRAL News | Feb 13–16, 2020 | 698 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 20% | 22% | – | 11% | – | 22% | 8% | – | 7%[pm] | 11% | |||
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls | ||||||||||||||||
High Point University | Jan 31–Feb 6, 2020 | 225 (LV) | – | 24% | 16% | 0% | 8% | – | 20% | 11% | 3% | 9%[pn] | 8% | |||
399 (RV) | – | 19% | 13% | 1% | 6% | – | 25% | 12% | 4% | 8%[po] | 12% | |||||
Public Policy Polling | Feb 4–5, 2020 | 604 (LV) | – | 25% | 14% | – | 9% | – | 16% | 12% | 5% | 7%[pp] | 13%[pq] | |||
Booker withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling | Jan 10–12, 2020 | 509 (LV) | – | 31% | 8% | 1% | 6% | – | 18% | 15% | 5% | 6%[pr] | 11%[ps] | |||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Bloomberg launches his campaign | ||||||||||||||||
Fox News | Nov 10–13, 2019 | 669 | ± 3.5% | 37% | – | 2% | 6% | 4% | 14% | 15% | 2% | 8%[pt] | 10% | |||
HighPoint University | Nov 1–7, 2019 | 347[pu] | ± 6.4% | 33% | – | 2% | 4% | 5% | 18% | 13% | 2% | 6%[pv] | 10% | |||
1,049[pw] | ± 3.6% | 18% | – | 2% | 4% | 4% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 7%[px] | 23% | |||||
Siena Research/New York Times | Oct 13–26, 2019 | 324 | – | 29% | – | 1% | 1% | 1% | 13% | 15% | 0% | 3%[py] | 32% | |||
High Point University | Sep 13–19, 2019 | 348 (A) | – | 31% | – | 4% | 3% | 6% | 20% | 15% | 4% | 3%[pz] | 9% | |||
SurveyUSA/Civitas | Aug 1–5, 2019 | 534 | ± 6.1% | 36% | – | 1% | 5% | 8% | 15% | 13% | 1% | 2%[qa] | 17% | |||
Emerson College | May 31 – Jun 3, 2019 | 397 | ± 4.9% | 39% | – | 1% | 8% | 5% | 22% | 15% | 1% | 7%[qb] | – |
Oklahoma primary[edit]
The Oklahoma Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.[18]
Polling Aggregation | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated | Dates polled | JoeBiden | BernieSanders | MichaelBloomberg | ElizabethWarren | TulsiGabbard | Other/ Undecided[a] | |||
270 to Win | March 3, 2020 | February 17–March 2, 2020 | 28.0% | 23.7% | 16.0% | 12.3% | 1.5% | 18.5% | |||
RealClear Politics | March 3, 2020 | Insufficient recent polling to supply an average. | |||||||||
FiveThirtyEight | March 3, 2020 | until March 2, 2020[d] | 30.6% | 22.1% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 1.1% | 18.9% | |||
Average | 29.3% | 22.9% | 14.85% | 12.95% | 1.3% | 18.7% | |||||
Oklahoma primary results (March 3, 2020) | 38.7% | 25.4% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 1.7% | 6.9% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Oklahoma Democratic primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Michael Bloomberg | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Amy Klobuchar | Bernie Sanders | Elizabeth Warren | Other | Undecided | ||||
Buttigieg and Klobuchar withdraw from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Swayable | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 472 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 38% | 11% | 1% | – | 1% | 26% | 13% | 9%[qc] | – | ||||
Data for Progress | Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 35% | 19% | – | – | – | 28% | 16% | 2%[qd] | – | ||||
SoonerPoll | Feb 17–21, 2020 | 409 | 4.84% | 21% | 20% | 10% | – | 7% | 13% | 9% | 2%[qe] | 19% | ||||
Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associated | Feb 10–13, 2020 | 172 (LV) | – | 12% | 20% | 1% | – | 6% | 14% | 8% | 21%[qf] | 9% | ||||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
SoonerPoll | Jul 17–27, 2019 | 152 | – | 26% | – | 6% | 8% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 11%[qg] | 34% |
Tennessee primary[edit]
The Tennessee Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.[18]
Polling Aggregation | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated | Dates polled | JoeBiden | BernieSanders | MichaelBloomberg | ElizabethWarren | TulsiGabbard | Other/ Undecided[a] | |||
270 to Win | March 3, 2020 | February 28–March 2, 2020 | 31.0% | 27.0% | 18.5% | 12.0% | 0.5% | 11.0% | |||
RealClear Politics | March 3, 2020 | Insufficient recent polling to supply an average. | |||||||||
FiveThirtyEight | March 3, 2020 | until March 2, 2020[d] | 29.0% | 24.7% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 0.2% | 18.1% | |||
Average | 30.0% | 25.85% | 17.1% | 12.15% | 0.35% | 14.55% | |||||
Tennessee primary results (March 3, 2020) | 41.7% | 25.0% | 15.5% | 10.4% | 0.4% | 7.0% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Tennessee Democratic Primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Michael Bloomberg | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Bernie Sanders | Elizabeth Warren | Other | Undecided | |||||
Buttigieg and Klobuchar withdraw from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Swayable | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 1,527 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 28% | 17% | 8% | – | 27% | 9% | 11%[qh] | – | |||||
Data for Progress | Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 | 368 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 34% | 20% | 2% | – | 27% | 15% | 3%[qi] | – | |||||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
SurveyMonkey | Jul 2–16, 2019 | 128 | ± 11.2% | 33% | – | 6% | 12% | 13% | 18% | 11%[qj] | – |
Texas primary[edit]
The Texas Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.[18]
Polling Aggregation | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated | Dates polled | BernieSanders | JoeBiden | MichaelBloomberg | ElizabethWarren | TulsiGabbard | Other/ Undecided[a] | |
270 to Win | Mar 2, 2020 | Feb 17-Mar 1, 2020 | 30.2% | 25.6% | 16.8% | 13.6% | 1.0% | 12.8% | |
RealClear Politics | Mar 2, 2020 | Feb 27-Mar 1, 2020 | 29.5% | 28.0% | 18.0% | 14.5% | 2.0% | 8.0% | |
FiveThirtyEight | March 3, 2020 | until March 2, 2020 [d] | 28.2% | 25.5% | 16.5% | 13.3% | 0.4% | 16.1% | |
Average | 29.0% | 26.5% | 17.1% | 13.8% | 0.9% | 12.6% | |||
Texas primary results (March 3, 2020) | 30.0% | 34.5% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 0.4% | 9.3% |
Polling from January 1, 2020 to March 3, 2020 | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[g] | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Michael Bloomberg | Pete Buttigieg | Amy Klobuchar | Bernie Sanders | Elizabeth Warren | Andrew Yang | Other | Undecided | ||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||
Swayable | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 1,378 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 27% | 20% | 5% | 3% | 28% | 12% | – | 6%[qk] | – | ||
Data for Progress | Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 30% | 20% | 4% | 3% | 28% | 15% | – | 1%[ql] | – | ||
AtlasIntel | Feb 24-Mar 2, 2020 | 486 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 25% | 16% | 5% | 3% | 35% | 9% | – | 3%[qm] | 4% | ||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||
Emerson College/Nexstar | Feb 29-Mar 1, 2020 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 26% | 16% | 5% | 4% | 31% | 14% | – | 5%[qn] | – | ||
Elucd | Feb 26-Mar 1, 2020 | 833 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 20% | 14% | 7% | 5% | 31% | 13% | – | – | 11% | ||
YouGov/CBS News | Feb 27–29, 2020 | 635 (LV) | ± 6.2% | 26% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 30% | 17% | – | 2%[qo] | – | ||
Marist College | Feb 23–27, 2020 | 556 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 34% | 10% | – | 2%[qp] | 9% | ||
1,050 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 18% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 35% | 8% | – | 3%[qq] | 9% | ||||
Data for Progress | Feb 23–27, 2020 | 513 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 21% | 21% | 9% | 5% | 30% | 13% | – | 2%[qr] | – | ||
CNN/SSRS | Feb 22–26, 2020 | 387 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 20% | 18% | 8% | 3% | 29% | 15% | – | 0% | 5%[qs] | ||
Latino Decisions/Univision/University of Houston | Feb 21–26, 2020 | 527 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 20% | 20% | 6% | 2% | 26% | 11% | – | 7%[qt] | 6% | ||
University of Texas at Tyler | Feb 17–26, 2020 | 586 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 19% | 21% | 8% | 4% | 29% | 10% | – | 2%[qu] | 5% | ||
Public Policy Polling/Progress Texas | Feb 24–25, 2020 | 1,045 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 31% | –[qv] | 11% | 7% | 25% | 17% | – | 4%[qw] | 5%[qx] | ||
24% | 17% | 10% | 4% | 24% | 14% | – | 2%[qy] | 5%[qz] | ||||||
Nevada caucuses | ||||||||||||||
University of Massachusetts Lowell | Feb 12–18, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 5.9% | 20% | 18% | 7% | 9% | 23% | 14% | – | 6%[ra] | 3% | ||
YouGov/University of Houston | Feb 6-18, 2020 | 1,352 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 20% | 12% | 11% | 7% | 20% | 17% | – | 8%[rb] | 5% | ||
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune | Jan 31-Feb 9, 2020 | 575 (LV) | ± 4.09% | 22% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 24% | 15% | 6% | 13%[rc] | – | ||
University of Texas At Tyler/Dallas News | Jan 21–30, 2020 | 372 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 34% | 16% | 4% | 3% | 18% | 17% | 3% | 5%[rd] | – | ||
Data for Progress[11][A] | Jan 16–21, 2020 | 615 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 26% | 7% | 10% | 4% | 20% | 14% | 3% | 3%[re] | 12% | ||
Texas Lyceum | Jan 10–19, 2020 | 401 (LV) | ± 4.89% | 28% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 26% | 13% | 0% | 5%[rf] | 7% | ||
Booker withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||
Castro withdraws from the race |
Polling before January 2020 | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[g] | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Cory Booker | Pete Buttigieg | Julian Castro | Kamala Harris | Amy Klobuchar | Beto O'Rourke | Bernie Sanders | Elizabeth Warren | Andrew Yang | Other | Undecided | |
CNN/SSRS | Dec 4–8, 2019 | 327 (LV) | ± 6.6% | 35% | 2% | 9% | 3% | – | 1% | – | 15% | 13% | 3% | 11%[rg] | 9% | |
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Bloomberg announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
University of Texas at Tyler | Nov 5–14, 2019 | 427 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 28% | 1% | 8% | 3% | 5% | 2% | – | 18% | 19% | 2% | 4%[rh] | – | |
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
University of Texas/Texas Tribune | Oct 18–27, 2019 | 541 | ± 4.2% | 23% | 1% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 14% | 12% | 18% | 4% | 4%[ri] | 5% | |
University of Texas at Tyler | Sep 13–15, 2019 | 474 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 28% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 0% | 19% | 17% | 11% | 1% | 5%[rj] | – | |
Texas Tribune | Aug 29–Sep 15, 2019 | 550 | ± 4.2% | 26% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 1% | 14% | 12% | 18% | 3% | 4%[rk] | 6% | |
Quinnipiac University | Sep 4–9, 2019 | 456 | ± 5.5% | 28% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 12% | 12% | 18% | 1 | 1%[rl] | 12% | |
Univision/UH | Aug 31– Sep 6, 2019 | 1004 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 20% | 3% | 1% | 12% | 5% | – | 19% | 13% | 12% | 1% | 4%[rm] | 10% | |
Ragnar Research | Sep 3–5, 2019 | 600 | ± 3.9% | 23% | 1% | 6% | 2% | 7% | – | 12% | 12% | 15% | –[rn] | 7%[ro] | 18% | |
Climate Nexus | Aug 20–25, 2019 | 639 | – | 24% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 7% | – | 21% | 12% | 12% | 1% | 5%[rp] | 9% | |
TEXAS LYCEUM | Aug 16–25, 2019 | 358 | ± 5.2% | 24% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 18% | 13% | 15% | 2% | 8%[rq] | 2% | |
Emerson College | Aug 1–3, 2019 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 28% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 5% | <1% | 19% | 16% | 14% | 3% | 5%[rr] | – | |
YouGov/CBS News | Jul 9–18, 2019 | 910 | ± 4.2% | 27% | 0% | 4% | 4% | 12% | 1% | 17% | 12% | 16% | 1% | 6%[rs] | – | |
YouGov/University of Texas | May 31 – Jun 9, 2019 | 483 | ± 5.0% | 23% | 1% | 8% | 3% | 5% | 1% | 15% | 12% | 14% | 0% | 8%[rt] | 7% | |
Quinnipiac University | May 29 – Jun 4, 2019 | 407 | ± 5.8% | 30% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 4% | <1% | 16% | 15% | 11% | 1% | 5%[ru] | 8% | |
Change Research | May 30 – Jun 3, 2019 | 1,218 | ± 2.8% | 24% | 1% | 8% | 2% | 8% | 1% | 27% | 13% | 12% | 1% | 2%[rv] | – | |
Emerson College | Apr 25–28, 2019 | 342 | ± 5.3% | 23% | 1% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 22% | 17% | 7% | 3% | 11%[rw] | – | |
Biden announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Change Research | Apr 18–22, 2019 | 1,578 | ± 2.5% | 20% | 2% | 15% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 25% | 19% | 5% | 1% | 2%[rx] | – | |
– | 4% | 21% | 5% | 8% | 1% | 33% | 23% | 5% | 0% | 0%[ry] | – |
Utah primary[edit]
The Utah Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.[18]
Polling Aggregation | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated | Dates polled | BernieSanders | JoeBiden | MichaelBloomberg | ElizabethWarren | TulsiGabbard | Other/ Undecided[a] | |
270 to Win | March 3, 2020 | Feb 22–March 2, 2020 | 26.3% | 21.7% | 18.7% | 13.3% | 1.5% | 20.0% | |
FiveThirtyEight | March 3, 2020 | Until March 2, 2020[d] | 26.3% | 20.0% | 18.2% | 14.6% | 1.3% | 20.9% | |
Average | 26.3% | 20.9% | 18.5% | 14.0% | 1.4% | 20.5% | |||
Utah primary results (March 3, 2020) | 36.1% | 18.4% | 15.4% | 16.2% | 0.8% | 13.0% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Utah Democratic Primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[g] | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Michael Bloomberg | Pete Buttigieg | Amy Klobuchar | Bernie Sanders | Elizabeth Warren | Andrew Yang | Other | Undecided | ||||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Swayable | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 143 (LV) | ± 9.0% | 27% | 29% | 7% | 6% | 22% | 6% | – | 2%[rz] | – | ||||
Data for Progress | Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 | 622 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 23% | 17% | 7% | 3% | 29% | 19% | – | 2%[sa] | – | ||||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
HarrisX/University of Utah/Deseret News | Feb 22–26, 2020 | 298 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 6% | 19% | 18% | 4% | 28% | 15% | – | 1%[sb] | 8% | ||||
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Salt Lake Tribune/Suffolk | Jan 18–22, 2020 | 132 (LV) | ± 8.5% | 12% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 27% | 14% | 5% | 4%[sc] | 21% |
Vermont primary[edit]
The Vermont Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.[18]
Polling Aggregation | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated | Dates polled | BernieSanders | ElizabethWarren | JoeBiden | MichaelBloomberg | TulsiGabbard | Other/ Undecided[a] | |||
270 to Win | March 3, 2020 | February 4–March 2, 2020 | 52.0% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 1.0% | 12.0% | |||
RealClear Politics | March 3, 2020 | Insufficient recent polling to supply an average. | |||||||||
FiveThirtyEight | March 3, 2020 | until March 2, 2020[d] | 53.0% | 14.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 0.9% | 12.6% | |||
Average | 52.5% | 14.1% | 10.55% | 9.6% | 0.95% | 12.3% | |||||
Vermont primary results (March 3, 2020) | 50.6% | 12.5% | 21.9% | 9.4% | 0.8% | 4.8% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Vermont Democratic Primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[g] | Margin of error | JoeBiden | MichaelBloomberg | PeteButtigieg | AmyKlobuchar | BernieSanders | ElizabethWarren | Other | Un- decided | |||||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Swayable | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 147 (LV) | ± 11.0% | 11% | 16% | 5% | 2% | 48% | 17% | 2%[sd] | – | |||||
Data for Progress | Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 | 236 (LV) | ± 6.9% | 16% | 8% | 1% | – | 57% | 16% | 2%[se] | – | |||||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Vermont Public Radio | Feb 4–10, 2020 | 332 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 4% | 51% | 13% | 2%[sf] | 7% |
Virginia primary[edit]
The Virginia Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.[18]
Polling Aggregation | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated | Dates Polled | JoeBiden | BernieSanders | MichaelBloomberg | ElizabethWarren | TulsiGabbard | Un- decided[a] | ||
270 to Win | March 3, 2020 | Until March 3, 2020 | 28.8% | 20.0% | 17.3% | 10.3% | 0.7% | 23.9%[sg] | ||
RealClear Politics | March 3, 2020 | Until March 3, 2020 | 44.0% | 24.5% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 0.0% | 2.5% | ||
FiveThirtyEight | Mar 3, 2020 | until Mar 3, 2020 [d] | 39.9% | 21.0% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 0.5% | 13.1% | ||
Average | 37.6% | 21.8% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 0.4% | 13.2% | ||||
Virginia primary results (March 3, 2020) | 53.3% | 23.1% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 0.9% | 2.2% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Virginia Democratic Primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[g] | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Michael Bloomberg | Cory Booker | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Amy Klobuchar | Beto O'Rourke | Bernie Sanders | Elizabeth Warren | Other | Un- decided | ||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Swayable | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 1,435 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 20% | – | 4% | – | 3% | – | 20% | 11% | 6%[sh] | – | ||
AtlasIntel | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 545 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 11% | – | 1% | – | 1% | – | 28% | 10% | 3%[si] | 4% | ||
Change Research | Mar 1–2, 2020 | 510 (LV) | – | 45% | 10% | – | – | – | 4% | – | 25% | 13% | 3%[sj] | – | ||
Data for Progress | Feb 28–Mar 2, 2020 | 327 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 39% | 18% | – | – | – | – | – | 24% | 17% | 1%[sk] | – | ||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Data for Progress | Feb 23 – 25, 2020 | 499 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 19% | 17% | – | 12% | – | 5% | – | 28% | 17% | 2%[sl] | – | ||
Monmouth University | Feb 13 – 16, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 18% | 22% | – | 11% | – | 9% | – | 22% | 5% | 1%[sm] | 11% | ||
51%[sn] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 38% | – | 4%[so] | 7% | ||||||
– | 47%[sp] | – | – | – | – | – | 41% | – | 5%[sq] | 7% | ||||||
– | – | – | 42%[sr] | – | – | – | 44% | – | 7%[ss] | 7% | ||||||
– | – | – | – | – | 42%[st] | – | 45% | – | 6%[su] | 7% | ||||||
Christopher Newport University | Feb 3 – 23, 2020 | 561 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 22% | 13% | – | 8% | – | 5% | – | 17% | 8% | 6%[sv] | 16%[sw] | ||
Booker withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Bloomberg announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
University of Mary Washington | Sep 3 – 15, 2019 | 882 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 23% | – | 1% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 9% | 9% | 46%[sx] | – | ||
Hampton University | May 29 – Jun 6, 2019 | 1,126 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 36% | – | 2% | 11% | 7% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 13% | 10%[sy] | – | ||
Change Research | Apr 26–30, 2019 | 551 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 41% | – | 3% | 12% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 20% | 10% | 5%[sz] | – |
Idaho primary[edit]
The Idaho Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 10, 2020.[18]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[g] | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Tulsi Gabbard | Bernie Sanders | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Swayable | Mar 8–9, 2020 | 833 (LV) | ± 7% | 52% | 2% | 37% | 9% | – |
Data for Progress | Mar 7–9, 2020 | 329 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 51% | 2% | 47% | – | – |
Michigan primary[edit]
The Michigan Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 10, 2020.[18]
Polling aggregation | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated | Dates polled | JoeBiden | BernieSanders | TulsiGabbard | Other/ Undecided[ta] | |
270 to Win | Mar 10, 2020 | Mar 4–9, 2020 | 57.0% | 32.3% | 1.3% | 9.4% | |
RealClear Politics | Mar 10, 2020 | Mar 4–9, 2020 | 55.7% | 33.3% | 1.3% | 9.7% | |
FiveThirtyEight | Mar 10, 2020 | until Mar 9, 2020[tb] | 55.3% | 31.9% | 1.2% | 11.6% | |
Average | 56.0% | 32.5% | 1.3% | 10.2% | |||
Michigan primary results (March 10, 2020) | 52.9% | 36.4% | 0.6% | 10.1% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Michigan Democratic primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[g] | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Michael Bloomberg | Cory Booker | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Amy Klobuchar | Beto O'Rourke | Bernie Sanders | Elizabeth Warren | Andrew Yang | Other | Undecided | |
Swayable | Mar 9, 2020 | 3,126 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 62% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 28% | – | – | 10%[tc] | – | |
AtlasIntel | Mar 7–9, 2020 | 528 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 3% | – | – | – | – | – | 40% | 1% | – | 3%[td] | 5% | |
Data for Progress | Mar 7–9, 2020 | 320 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 59% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 38% | – | – | 2%[te] | – | |
Mitchell Research & Communications | Mar 8, 2020 | 602 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 54% | 1% | – | 1% | – | 1% | – | 33% | 3% | – | 3%[tf] | 5% | |
Target Insyght | Mar 8, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 65% | 2% | – | – | – | 1% | – | 24% | 3% | – | 3%[tg] | 1% | |
Concord Public Opinion Partners/The Welcome Party | Mar 7–8, 2020 | 305 (LV) | – | 54% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 23% | – | – | 1%[th] | 22% | |
YouGov/Yahoo News | Mar 6–8, 2020 | –(RV)[ti] | ± 5.8% | 54% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 42% | – | – | – | – | |
Monmouth University | Mar 5–8, 2020 | 411 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 51% | 3% | – | <1% | – | <1% | – | 36% | 1% | – | 7%[tj] | 2% | |
ROI Rocket | Mar 4–8, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 55% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 45% | – | – | – | – | |
The Progress Campaign (D)[12] | Mar 3–7, 2020 | 417 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 51% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 44% | – | – | 1% | 4%[tk] | |
EPIC-MRA/Detroit Free Press | Mar 4–6, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 51% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 27% | – | – | 9%[tl] | 13%[tm] | |
Warren withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Bloomberg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
GlenGariff Group Inc./Detroit News/WDIV-TV | Feb 28 – Mar 2, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 29% | 11% | – | 6% | – | 3% | – | 23% | 7% | – | 6%[tn] | 16% | |
South Carolina primary; Steyer withdraws from the race after close of polls | ||||||||||||||||
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison | Feb 11–20, 2020 | 662 (LV) | – | 16% | 13% | – | 11% | – | 8% | – | 25% | 13% | – | – | 14%[to] | |
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls | ||||||||||||||||
Baldwin Wallace University/OaklandUniversity/Ohio Northern University | Jan 8–20, 2020 | 477 (RV) | – | 27% | 9.1% | – | 6.3% | – | 1.9% | – | 21.6% | 13.6% | 3.5% | 5.3%[tp] | 10.6% | |
Booker withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Bloomberg announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Emerson College | Oct 31 – Nov 3, 2019 | 454 | ± 4.6% | 34% | – | 3% | 8% | 3% | 0% | – | 28% | 19% | 2% | 3%[tq] | – | |
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Siena Research/New York Times | Oct 13–26, 2019 | 203 | – | 30% | – | 0% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 17% | 21% | 1% | 1%[tr] | 23% | |
Kaiser Family Foundation | Sep 23 – Oct 15, 2019 | 208 (LV) | – | 19% | – | 1% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 15% | 25% | 1% | 0%[ts] | 27% | |
Denno Research | Sep 21–24, 2019 | 217 | – | 27% | – | 1% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 12% | 23% | 1% | 4%[tt] | 23%[tu] | |
Climate Nexus | Jul 14–17, 2019 | 324 (LV) | – | 35% | – | 2% | 4% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 16% | 14% | 1% | 2%[tv] | 13%[tw] | |
Zogby Analytics | May 23–29, 2019 | 268 | ± 6.0% | 27% | – | 1% | 9% | 7% | 1% | 4% | 18% | 8% | 2% | 5%[tx] | – | |
Denno Research | May 8–10, 2019 | 235 | – | 37% | – | 3% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 16% | 9% | 0% | 4%[ty] | 23% | |
Biden announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Buttigieg announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
O'Rourke announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Emerson College | Mar 7–10, 2019 | 317 | ± 5.5% | 40% | – | 3% | 0% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 23% | 11% | – | 4%[tz] | – |
Mississippi primary[edit]
The Mississippi Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 10, 2020.[18]
Polling aggregation | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated | Dates polled | JoeBiden | BernieSanders | TulsiGabbard | Other/ Undecided[a] | |
270toWin | March 10, 2020 | March 4–9, 2020 | 72.5% | 25.0% | 0.5% | 2.0% | |
FiveThirtyEight | March 10, 2020 | until March 9, 2020[d] | 70.7% | 23.4% | 0.4% | 5.5% | |
Average | 71.6% | 24.2% | 0.5% | 3.7% | |||
Mississippi primary results (March 10, 2020) | 81.1% | 14.8% | 0.4% | 3.7% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Mississippi Democratic primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[g] | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Cory Booker | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Bernie Sanders | Elizabeth Warren | Other | Undecided | |||||
Swayable | Mar 8–9, 2020 | 1,247 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 68% | – | – | – | 28% | – | 4%[ua] | – | |||||
Data for Progress | Mar 4–7, 2020 | 340 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 77% | – | – | – | 22% | – | 1%[ub] | – | |||||
Warren withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Bloomberg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Booker withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
NBC News/SurveyMonkey | Jul 2–16, 2019 | 282 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 47% | 3% | 3% | 8% | 21% | 7% | 5%[uc] | 3% | |||||
Chism Strategies/Millsaps College | Jun 20–21, 2019 | 523 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 50% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 6%[ud] | 21% |
Missouri primary[edit]
The Missouri Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 10, 2020.[18]
Polling aggregation | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated | Dates polled | JoeBiden | BernieSanders | TulsiGabbard | Other/ Undecided[a] |
270 to Win | March 10, 2020 | March 4–9, 2020 | 57.6% | 34.4% | 2.7% | 5.3% |
RealClear Politics | March 10, 2020 | March 4–9, 2020 | 61.0% | 30.7% | 2.5% | 5.8% |
FiveThirtyEight | March 10, 2020 | until March 9, 2020[d] | 60.3% | 32.6% | 2.5% | 4.6% |
Average | 59.6% | 32.6% | 2.6% | 5.2% | ||
Missouri primary results (March 10, 2020) | 60.1% | 34.6% | 0.7% | 4.6% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Missouri Democratic primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[g] | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Michael Bloomberg | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Amy Klobuchar | Beto O'Rourke | Bernie Sanders | Elizabeth Warren | Other | Undecided | |||
Swayable | Mar 9, 2020 | 2,037 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 57% | – | – | – | – | – | 36% | – | 8%[ue] | – | |||
Øptimus | Mar 7–9, 2020 | 402 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 68% | – | – | – | – | – | 29% | – | 3%[uf] | – | |||
Data for Progress | Mar 4–7, 2020 | 348 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 62% | – | – | – | – | – | 32% | 4% | 2%[ug] | – | |||
Warren withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout | Mar 4–5, 2020 | 1,040 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | – | – | – | – | – | 31% | – | 10%[uh] | 6% | |||
Emerson Polling/Nexstar | Mar 4–5, 2020 | 425 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 48% | – | – | – | – | – | 44% | – | 8%[ui] | <6% | |||
Bloomberg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
The Progress Campaign (D)[13] | Feb 16–23, 2020 | 294 (RV) | ± 5.1% | 29% | 14% | 13% | – | 4% | – | 23% | 12% | 4%[uj] | – | |||
Americana Analytics | Feb 20–21, 2020 | 1,198 (LV) | ± 2.83% | 22% | 17% | 11% | – | 9% | – | 11% | 10% | 1%[uk] | 17% | |||
Remington Research Group | Jan 22–23, 2020 | 1,460 (LV) | – | 39% | 14% | 6% | – | 8% | – | 7% | 9% | 3%[ul] | 14% | |||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Show Me Victories | Sept 13–16, 2019 | 400 | ± 5% | 34% | – | 10% | 9% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 22% | 8%[um] | – | |||
Remington Research Group | Jul 10–11, 2019 | 1,122 | – | 43% | – | 5% | 13% | – | 1% | 4% | 15% | – | 19% |
North Dakota caucus[edit]
The North Dakota Democratic caucus is scheduled to take place on March 10, 2020.[18]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[g] | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Tulsi Gabbard | Bernie Sanders | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Swayable | Mar 7–9, 2020 | 383 (LV) | ± 9% | 65% | 0% | 31% | 4% | – |
Washington primary[edit]
The Washington Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 10, 2020.[18]
Polling aggregation | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated | Dates polled | JoeBiden | BernieSanders | TulsiGabbard | Un- decided[un] | |
270 to Win | Mar 10, 2020 | Feb 15 – Mar 9, 2020 | 33.5% | 34.0% | 1.3% | 34.7% | |
RealClear Politics | Mar 9, 2020 | No averages at this time | |||||
FiveThirtyEight | Mar 10, 2020 | until Mar 9, 2020[d] | 39.8% | 37.1% | 1.4% | 21.7% | |
Average | 36.65% | 36.55% | 1.35% | 28.2% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Washington Democratic primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[g] | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Michael Bloomberg | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Jay Inslee | Amy Klobuchar | Bernie Sanders | Elizabeth Warren | Andrew Yang | Other | Undecided | ||
Swayable | Mar 9, 2020 | 1,840 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | – | – | – | – | – | 37% | – | – | 25%[uo] | – | ||
Data for Progress | Mar 7–9, 2020 | 497 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 49% | – | – | – | – | – | 43% | 6% | – | 2%[up] | – | ||
Survey USA/KING-TV | Mar 4–6, 2020 | 550 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 36% | – | – | – | – | – | 35% | 10% | – | 13%[uq] | 5% | ||
Warren withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Data for Progress | Mar 4–5, 2020 | 737 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | – | – | – | – | – | 44% | 5%[ur] | – | 3%[us] | – | ||
Bloomberg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Elway Research/Cascade Public Media | Feb 15–18, 2020 | 404 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 10% | 15% | 9% | – | – | 11% | 21% | 11% | 0% | 2%[ut] | 22% | ||
Yang withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Survey USA/KING-TV | Jan 26–28, 2020 | 536 (LV) | ± 6.2% | 21% | 12% | 8% | – | – | 3% | 26% | 16% | 4% | 2%[uu] | 7% | ||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Inslee withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Zogby Analytics | Jul 22 – Aug 1, 2019 | 1,265 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 19% | – | 5% | 9% | 6% | 1% | 18% | 14% | 2% | 11%[uv] | 16% |
Arizona primary[edit]
The Arizona Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 17, 2020.[18]
Polling aggregation | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated | Dates polled | JoeBiden | BernieSanders | TulsiGabbard | Other/ Undecided[a] |
270 to Win | Mar 17, 2020 | Mar 3–16, 2020 | 50.6% | 29.4% | 1.0% | 19.0% |
RealClear Politics | Mar 17, 2020 | Mar 6–15, 2020 | 51.7% | 33.7% | 1.0% | 13.6% |
FiveThirtyEight | Mar 17, 2020 | until Mar 16, 2020[d] | 51.6% | 26.9% | 1.1% | 20.4% |
Average | 51.3% | 30.0% | 1.0% | 17.7% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Arizona Democratic primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[g] | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Michael Bloomberg | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Bernie Sanders | Elizabeth Warren | Andrew Yang | Other | Undecided | ||||
Swayable | Mar 16, 2020 | 1,167 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 53% | – | – | – | 29% | – | – | 19%[uw] | – | ||||
Marist/NBC News | Mar 10–15, 2020 | 523 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 53% | – | – | – | 36% | – | – | 8%[ux] | 3% | ||||
913 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 50% | – | – | – | 37% | – | – | 9%[uy] | 5% | ||||||
Monmouth University | Mar 11–14, 2020 | 373 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 51% | 5% | 3% | – | 31% | 3% | – | 2%[uz] | 5% | ||||
Latino Decisions/Univision/Arizona State University | Mar 6–11, 2020 | 541 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 57%[va] | – | – | – | 38%[va] | – | – | – | 5%[va] | ||||
51% | – | – | – | 34% | – | – | 6%[vb] | 8% | ||||||||
Bloomberg and Warren withdraw from the race | ||||||||||||||||
OH Predictive Insights | Mar 3–4, 2020 | 398 (LV) | ± 4.91% | 45% | 12% | – | – | 17% | 13% | – | 4%[vc] | 9% | ||||
Buttigieg and Klobuchar withdraw from the race | ||||||||||||||||
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls | ||||||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
OH Predictive Insights | Oct 31 – Nov 8, 2019 | 260 (LV) | ± 6.08% | 29% | – | 9% | 5% | 16% | 18% | 4% | 19%[vd] | – | ||||
Emerson Polling | Oct 25–28, 2019 | 339 | ± 5.2% | 28% | – | 12% | 4% | 21% | 21% | 5% | 7%[ve] | – | ||||
Siena Research/New York Times | Oct 13–26, 2019 | 209 | – | 24% | – | 5% | 3% | 16% | 15% | 1% | 1%[vf] | 31% | ||||
Change Research | Sep 27–28, 2019 | 396 (LV) | – | 15% | – | 13% | 4% | 19% | 35% | 8% | 7%[vg] | – | ||||
Bendixen&Amandi | Sep 9–12, 2019 | 250 | ± 4.3% | 29% | – | 5% | 4% | 18% | 24% | 2% | 8%[vh] | 10% | ||||
Zogby Analytics | May 23–29, 2019 | 197 | ± 7.0% | 35% | – | 6% | 4% | 16% | 10% | 0% | 11%[vi] | – |
Florida primary[edit]
The Florida Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 17, 2020.[18]
Polling Aggregation | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated | Dates polled | JoeBiden | BernieSanders | TulsiGabbard | Other/ Undecided[a] | |
270 to Win | Mar 17, 2020 | Mar 5–16, 2020 | 65.5% | 23.0% | 1.8% | 9.7% | |
RealClear Politics | Mar 17, 2020 | Mar 6–12, 2020 | 64.7% | 25.7% | 2.0% | 7.6% | |
FiveThirtyEight | Mar 17, 2020 | until Mar 16, 2020 [d] | 63.8% | 24.7% | 1.4% | 10.1% | |
Average | 64.7% | 24.5% | 1.7% | 9.1% |
Polling from February 12, 2020 to March 17, 2020 | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[g] | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Michael Bloomberg | Pete Buttigieg | Amy Klobuchar | Bernie Sanders | Elizabeth Warren | Other | Un- decided | ||
Swayable | Mar 16, 2020 | 4,035 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 64% | – | – | – | 25% | – | 12%[vj] | – | ||
AtlasIntel | Mar 14–16, 2020 | 532 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 67% | – | – | – | 27% | – | 4%[vk] | 2% | ||
Point Blank Political | Mar 11–13, 2020 | 3,165 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 61%[va] | – | – | – | 32%[va] | – | – | 7% | ||
57% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 29% | 4% | 1%[vl] | 5% | ||||||
Emerson College/Nexstar | Mar 11–12, 2020 | 434 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 65% | – | – | – | 27% | – | 2%[vm] | 6% | ||
Gravis Marketing | Mar 10–12, 2020 | 516 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 66% | – | – | – | 25% | – | – | 9% | ||
ROI Rocket | Mar 6–12, 2020 | 877 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 67% | – | – | – | 27% | – | –[vn] | –[vn] | ||
Latino Decisions/Univision | Mar 6–12, 2020 | 531 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 67%[va] | – | – | – | 32%[va] | – | – | 2% | ||
63% | – | – | – | 25% | – | 8%[vo] | 4% | ||||||
University of North Florida | Mar 5–10, 2020 | 1,502 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 66% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 22% | 2% | 1%[vp] | 7% | ||
St Pete Polls/FloridaPolitics.com | Mar 6–8, 2020 | 2,480 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 69% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 14% | 1% | 0%[vq] | 9% | ||
Point Blank Political | Mar 6–8, 2020 | 3,376 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 61%[va] | – | – | – | 32%[va] | – | – | 7% | ||
55% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 29% | 4% | 2%[vr] | 7% | ||||||
Florida Atlantic University | Mar 5–7, 2020 | 399 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 61% | – | – | – | 25% | – | 3%[vs] | 10% | ||
Bloomberg and Warren withdraw from the race | |||||||||||||
St Pete Polls/FloridaPolitics.com | Mar 4, 2020 | 1,882 (LV) | ± 2.3% | 61% | 14% | 1% | 1% | 12% | 5% | 0%[vt] | 6% | ||
Buttigieg and Klobuchar withdraw from the race | |||||||||||||
St Pete Polls | Feb 25–26, 2020 | 2,788 (LV) | ± 1.9% | 34% | 25% | 8% | 4% | 13% | 5% | 1%[vu] | 10% | ||
Saint Leo University | Feb 17–22, 2020 | 342 (LV) | – | 25% | 25% | 11% | 5% | 17% | 7% | 4%[vv] | 7% | ||
Florida Southern College | Feb 17–21, 2020 | 313 (LV) | ± 5.54% | 22% | 23% | 9% | 5% | 18% | 12% | 1%[vw] | 9% | ||
St Pete Polls | Feb 18–19, 2020 | 2,412 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 27% | 32% | 8% | 7% | 11% | 5% | 2%[vx] | 10% | ||
Tel Opinion Research/Politico/Let’s Preserve the American Dream | Feb 13–18, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 20% | 26% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 7% | 5%[vy] | 16% | ||
St Pete Polls | Feb 12–13, 2020 | 3,047 (LV) | ± 1.8% | 26% | 27% | 11% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 1%[vz] | 11% |
Polling before February 11, 2020 | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[g] | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Michael Bloomberg | Cory Booker | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Amy Klobuchar | Beto O'Rourke | Bernie Sanders | Elizabeth Warren | Andrew Yang | Other | Un- decided |
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls | |||||||||||||||
St. Pete Polls | Jan 27–28, 2020 | 2,590 (LV) | ± 1.9% | 41% | 17% | – | 6% | – | 5% | – | 9% | 7% | 2% | 2%[wa] | 10% |
Tel Opinion Research/Let’s Preserve the American Dream/Politico | Jan 21–23, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 41%[wb] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 21% | 18% | – | – | 20% |
29% | 4% | – | 4% | – | 4% | – | 17% | 12% | 2% | 2%[wc] | 28% | ||||
Booker withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||
Florida Atlantic University | Jan 9–12, 2020 | 494 | ± 4.4% | 42% | 7% | 3% | 3% | – | 6% | – | 16% | 10% | 5% | 5%[wd] | 4%[we] |
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||
Bloomberg announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||
Siena College/New York Times | Oct 13–26, 2019 | 650 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 27% | – | 0% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 13% | 19% | 0% | 1%[wf] | 29% |
Tel Opinion Research | Sep 15–18, 2019 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.54% | 43% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10% | 26% | – | – | 18% |
37% | – | – | 5% | 6% | – | – | 9% | 18% | 2% | – | 20% | ||||
24% | – | – | 2% | 3% | – | – | 5% | 11% | 1% | 3%[wg] | 49% | ||||
Florida Atlantic University | Sep 12–15, 2019 | 407 | ± 4.9% | 34% | – | 1% | 5% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 14% | 24% | 2% | 8%[wh] | 6% |
St. Pete Polls | Jun 22–23, 2019 | 2,022 | ± 2.2% | 47% | – | 3% | 8% | 6% | – | 2% | 8% | 12% | – | 7% | 6% |
Change Research | Jun 16–17, 2019 | 1,130 | ± 2.9% | 33% | – | 2% | 15% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 20% | 15% | 3% | 2%[wi] | – |
Quinnipiac University | Jun 12–17, 2019 | 417 | ± 5.8% | 41% | – | 1% | 8% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 14% | 12% | <1% | 1%[wj] | 12% |
Climate Nexus | Jun 7–11, 2019 | 676 | ± 2.6% | 32% | – | 2% | 6% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 16% | 10% | 2% | 9%[wk] | 14% |
Zogby Analytics | May 23–29, 2019 | 228 | ± 6.5% | 34% | – | 2% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 18% | 7% | 1% | 6%[wl] | – |
Florida Atlantic University | May 16–19, 2019 | 403 | ± 4.9% | 39% | – | 1% | 9% | 7% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 12% | 1% | 14%[wm] | – |
Tel Opinion Research* | May 8, 2019 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 39% | – | 1% | 3% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 16% | 5% | – | – | 28% |
Biden announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
Buttigieg announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
Tel Opinion Research* | Mar 21, 2019 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 37% | – | 2% | – | 4% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 6% | – | – | 31% |
O'Rourke announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
Bendixen & Amandi International | Mar 1–4, 2019 | 300 | – | 26% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 11% | 4% | 0% | 0%[wn] | 46% |
Sanders announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
Warren announces her candidacy | |||||||||||||||
Booker announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||||
Harris announces her candidacy | |||||||||||||||
Saint Leo University | May 25–31, 2018 | – | – | 21% | – | 3% | – | 4% | – | – | 11% | 7% | – | 34%[wo] | 17% |
Illinois primary[edit]
The Illinois Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 17, 2020.[18]
Polling aggregation | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated | Dates polled | JoeBiden | BernieSanders | TulsiGabbard | Un- decided[a] | |||||
270toWin | Mar 17, 2020 | Mar 7–16, 2020 | 58.6% | 30.2% | 2.0% | 9.2% | |||||
RealClear Politics | Mar 17, 2020 | Mar 10–12, 2020 | 60.0% | 30.5% | –[wp] | 9.5% | |||||
FiveThirtyEight | Mar 17, 2020 | until Mar 16, 2020[d] | 61.5% | 26.6% | 1.5% | 10.4% | |||||
Average | 60.0% | 29.1% | 1.8% | 9.1% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Illinois Democratic primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[g] | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Michael Bloomberg | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Amy Klobuchar | Bernie Sanders | Elizabeth Warren | Other | Undecided | ||||
Swayable | Mar 16, 2020 | 1,861 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 63% | – | – | – | – | 28% | – | 10%[wq] | – | ||||
Emerson College/Nexstar | Mar 11–12, 2020 | 567 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 57% | – | – | – | – | 36% | – | 2%[wr] | 6% | ||||
Gravis Marketing | Mar 10–12, 2020 | 549 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 63% | – | – | – | – | 25% | – | – | 12% | ||||
ROI Rocket | Mar 6–12, 2020 | 960 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 57% | – | – | – | – | 34% | – | –[vn] | –[vn] | ||||
Victory Research | Mar 7–9, 2020 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 2.83% | 55% | – | – | – | – | 36% | – | 1%[ws] | 8% | ||||
Ogden & Fry/Northwest Side GOP Club | Mar 8, 2020 | 457(LV) | ± 4.58% | 64% | – | – | – | – | 32% | – | 4%[wt] | –[wu] | ||||
55% | – | – | – | – | 26% | – | 2%[wv] | 16% | ||||||||
Buttigieg, Klobuchar, Bloomberg, and Warren withdraw from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Victory Research | Feb 17–19, 2020 | 1,200(LV) | ± 2.83% | 20.3% | 14.5% | 11.4% | – | 6.3% | 25.6% | 6.6% | 4.4%[ww] | 10.9% | ||||
Southern Illinois University | Feb 10–17, 2020 | 475 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 14% | 17% | 13% | – | 8% | 22% | 6% | 2%[wx] | 17% | ||||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Victory Research | Nov 27 – Dec 1, 2019 | 1,500 (RV) | ±2.83% | 23.2% | 3.6% | 15.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 15.0% | 17.4% | 12.3%[wy] | 6.9% | ||||
Victory Research | Jul 26–29, 2019 | 1,200 | ± 2.83% | 36.1% | – | 9.3% | 8.6% | 1.7% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 9.2%[wz] | 7.3% |
Wisconsin primary[edit]
The Wisconsin Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on April 7, 2020.[18]
Polling aggregation | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated | Dates polled | JoeBiden | BernieSanders | Other/ Undecided[a] | ||||||
270 to Win | April 5, 2020 | March 6–29, 2020 | 55.3% | 37.0% | 7.7% | ||||||
RealClear Politics | April 5, 2020 | March 6–29, 2020 | 55.3% | 37.0% | 7.7% | ||||||
FiveThirtyEight | April 5, 2020 | until March 29, 2020 [d] | 51.6% | 36.0% | 12.4% | ||||||
Average | 54.1% | 36.7% | 9.2% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Wisconsin Democratic Primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[g] | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Michael Bloomberg | Cory Booker | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Amy Klobuchar | Bernie Sanders | Elizabeth Warren | Andrew Yang | Other | Un- decided | ||
Marquette University Law School[14] | Mar 24–29, 2020 | 394 (LV) | ± 5.9% | 62% | – | – | – | – | – | 34% | – | – | – | 4%[xa] | ||
Public Policy Polling | Mar 10–11, 2020 | 898(LV) | – | 55% | – | – | – | – | – | 39% | – | – | 3%[xb] | 3% | ||
YouGov/Yahoo News | Mar 6–8, 2020 | –(RV)[ti] | ± 6.4% | 49% | – | – | – | – | – | 38% | – | – | – | – | ||
Buttigieg, Klobuchar, Bloomberg, and Warren withdraw from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Marquette University Law School | Feb 19–23, 2020 | 490 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 15% | 17% | – | 13% | – | 11% | 29% | 9% | – | 2%[xc] | 4% | ||
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison | Feb 11–20, 2020 | 428 (LV) | – | 13% | 13% | – | 12% | – | 9% | 30% | 12% | – | – | 11%[xd] | ||
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls | ||||||||||||||||
Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland University/Ohio Northern University | Jan 8–20, 2020 | 464 (RV) | – | 21.8% | 8.4% | – | 7.7% | – | 3% | 28.4% | 14.7% | 2.2% | 2.5%[xe] | 10.9% | ||
Booker withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Marquette University Law School[15] | Jan 8–12, 2020 | 358 (LV) | ± 6.3% | 23% | 6% | 1% | 15% | – | 4% | 19% | 14% | 6% | 3%[xf] | 9% | ||
Fox News | Jan 5–8, 2020 | 671 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 23% | 7% | 3% | 9% | – | 4% | 21% | 13% | 3% | 6%[xg] | 10% | ||
Marquette University Law School[16] | Dec 3–8, 2019 | 358 (LV) | ± 6.3% | 23% | 3% | 4% | 15% | – | 3% | 19% | 16% | 3% | 3%[xh] | 11% | ||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Bloomberg announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Marquette University Law School | Nov 13–17, 2019 | 801 (RV) | – | 30% | – | 3% | 13% | 2% | 3% | 17% | 15% | 2% | 6%[xi] | 10% | ||
Siena Research/New York Times | Oct 13–26, 2019 | 292 | – | 23% | – | 1% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 20% | 25% | 2% | 2%[xj] | 19% | ||
Kaiser Family Foundation | Sep 23 – Oct 15, 2019 | 274 (LV) | – | 17% | – | 2% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 10% | 22% | 2% | 1%[xk] | 35% | ||
Fox News | Sep 29 – Oct 2, 2019 | 663 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 28% | – | 2% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 17% | 22% | 2% | 5%[xl] | 9% | ||
Marquette University Law School | Aug 25–29, 2019 | 444 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 28% | – | 1% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 20% | 17% | 2% | 5%[xm] | 13% | ||
Change Research | Aug 9–11, 2019 | 935 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 20% | – | 1% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 24% | 29% | 2% | 5%[xn] | – | ||
Change Research | Jun 29 – Jul 4, 2019 | 1261 (LV) | – | 18% | – | 3% | 15% | 17% | 1% | 19% | 19% | 1% | 6%[xo] | – | ||
Zogby Analytics | May 23–29, 2019 | 238 (LV) | ± 6.4% | 28% | – | 2% | 7% | 7% | 3% | 13% | 14% | 0% | 2%[xp] | – | ||
Biden announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Zogby Analytics | Apr 15–18, 2019 | 485 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 24% | – | 4% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 20% | 6% | 1% | 11%[xq] | 14% | ||
Buttigieg announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
Emerson College | Mar 15–17, 2019 | 324 (LV) | ± 5.4% | 24% | – | 2% | 1% | 5% | 4% | 39% | 14% | 1% | 10%[xr] | – |
Ohio primary[edit]
The Ohio Democratic primary was originally scheduled to take place on March 17, 2020.[18] Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, the primary was delayed. Initially, the Governor suggested the primary be held on June 2, 2020,[24] however, further deliberations resulted in the legislature and Governor agreeing on suspending in-person voting, and selecting a mail-in ballot deadline of April 28, 2020.[25]
Polling Aggregation | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated | Dates polled | JoeBiden | BernieSanders | Other/ Undecided[a] | |
270 to Win | Mar 16, 2020 | Mar 10–13, 2020 | 57.5% | 35.0% | 7.5% | |
RealClear Politics | Mar 16, 2020 | Mar 10–13, 2020 | 57.5% | 35.0% | 7.5% | |
FiveThirtyEight | Mar 16, 2020 | until Mar 13, 2020 [d] | 58.7% | 32.3% | 9.0% | |
Average | 57.9% | 34.1% | 8.0% |
Tabulation of individual polls of the 2020 Ohio Democratic primary | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[g] | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Michael Bloomberg | Cory Booker | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Bernie Sanders | Elizabeth Warren | Andrew Yang | Other | Undecided | |||
Sanders suspends his campaign: Politico Story | ||||||||||||||||
Swayable | Mar 16, 2020 | 2,027 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 66% | – | – | – | – | 24% | – | – | 10%[xs] | – | |||
Marist/NBC News | Mar 10–13, 2020 | 486 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 58% | – | – | – | – | 35% | – | – | 4%[xt] | 4% | |||
830 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 56% | – | – | – | – | 36% | – | – | 4%[xu] | 4% | |||||
Emerson College/Nexstar | Mar 11–12, 2020 | 464 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 57% | – | – | – | – | 35% | – | – | 1%[xv] | 7% | |||
ROI Rocket | Mar 6–12, 2020 | 880 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 61% | – | – | – | – | 33% | – | – | –[vn] | –[vn] | |||
Warren withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Bloomberg withdraws from the race: NYT Story | ||||||||||||||||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race: NYT Story | ||||||||||||||||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race: NYT Story | ||||||||||||||||
South Carolina primary; Steyer withdraws from the race after close of polls | ||||||||||||||||
New Hampshire primary; Yang and Bennet withdraw from the race after close of polls | ||||||||||||||||
Iowa Caucuses | ||||||||||||||||
Baldwin Wallace University/OaklandUniversity/Ohio Northern University | Jan 8–20, 2020 | 428 (RV) | – | 32.1% | 10.1% | – | 6.1% | – | 20.8% | 10.7% | 2.1% | 5.7%[xw] | 9.8% | |||
Booker withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Williamson withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Castro withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Bloomberg announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Ryan withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
Climate Nexus | Oct 1–7, 2019 | 443 (LV) | – | 32% | – | 3% | 5% | 6% | 13% | 21% | 3% | 17%[xx] | –[note 1] | |||
Emerson | Sep 29 – Oct 2, 2019 | 353 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 29% | – | 0% | 5% | 7% | 27% | 21% | 3% | 5%[xy] | 2% | |||
Quinnipiac | Jul 17–22, 2019 | 556 | ± 5.1% | 31% | – | 1% | 6% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 1% | 6%[xz] | 11% | |||
Zogby Analytics | May 23–29, 2019 | 222 | ± 6.6% | 29% | – | 3% | 6% | 5% | 19% | 12% | 3% | 6%[ya] | – |
Kansas primary[edit]
The Kansas Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on May 2, 2020.[18]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[g] | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Tulsi Gabbard | Bernie Sanders | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sanders suspends campaign | ||||||||
Gabbard withdraws from the race | ||||||||
Public Policy Polling | Mar 10–11, 2020 | 550 (LV) | – | 59% | 3% | 35% | – | 4% |
Oregon primary[edit]
The Oregon Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on May 19, 2020.[18]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Bernie Sanders | Joe Biden | Undecided | Beto O'Rourke | Kamala Harris | Elizabeth Warren | Cory Booker | Andrew Yang | Pete Buttigieg | Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sanders suspends his campaign | |||||||||||||
Gabbard withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Warren withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Yang withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Booker withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Zogby Analytics | Mar 18–19, 2019 | 238 | ± 6.4% | 27% | 26% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 7% [yb] |
Delaware primary[edit]
The Delaware Democratic primary was scheduled to take place on April 28, 2020,[18] but was delayed due to the COVID-19 pandemic, and will instead occur on June 2, 2020.[26]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Cory Booker | Pete Buttigieg | Tulsi Gabbard | Kamala Harris | Bernie Sanders | Elizabeth Warren | Andrew Yang | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sanders suspends his campaign | |||||||||||||
Gabbard withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Buttigieg, Klobuchar, Bloomberg, and Warren withdraw from the race | |||||||||||||
Booker withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Data For Progress | Nov 15–25, 2019 | 481 (LV) | –[yc] | 35% | 3% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 13% | 11% | 1% | 10%[yd] | 15% |
Indiana primary[edit]
The Indiana Democratic primary was scheduled to take place on May 5, 2020,[18] but was delayed due to the COVID-19 pandemic, and will instead occur on June 2, 2020.[27]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Beto O'Rourke | Bernie Sanders | Elizabeth Warren | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sanders suspends his campaign | |||||||||||
Warren withdraws from the race | |||||||||||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | |||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | |||||||||||
We Ask America | Apr 29–May 5, 2019 | 280 | ± 5.9% | 33% | 20% | 3% | 2% | 23% | 2% | 1%[ye] | 15% |
Maryland primary[edit]
The Maryland Democratic primary was scheduled to take place on April 28, 2020,[18] but was delayed due to the COVID-19 pandemic, and will instead occur on June 2, 2020.[28]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[g] | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Michael Bloomberg | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Amy Klobuchar | Bernie Sanders | Elizabeth Warren | Other | Undecided | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Buttigieg, Klobuchar, Bloomberg, and Warren withdraw from the race | |||||||||||||||
Gonzales Research & Media Services | Feb 22–28, 2020 | 331 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 19% | 15% | 5% | – | 4% | 23% | 8% | – | 27% | |||
Goucher College | Feb 13–19, 2020 | 371 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 18% | 16% | 7% | – | 6% | 24% | 6% | 4%[yf] | 18% | |||
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||||
Goucher College | Sept 13–19, 2019 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 33% | – | 5% | 6% | 1% | 10% | 21% | 9%[yg] | 15% |
Montana primary[edit]
The Montana Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2020.[18]Polls with a sample size of <100 are marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[g] | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Steve Bullock | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Beto O'Rourke | Bernie Sanders | Elizabeth Warren | Andrew Yang | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls | |||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Bullock withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Montana State University Billings | Oct 7-16, 2019 | 40 (LV) | – | 15% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 40% | No voters | 2%[yh] | 25% |
New Mexico primary[edit]
The New Mexico democratic primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2020.[18]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[g] | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Michael Bloomberg | Cory Booker | Pete Buttigieg | Tulsi Gabbard | Amy Klobuchar | Bernie Sanders | Elizabeth Warren | Andrew Yang | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sanders suspends his campaign | ||||||||||||||
Gabbard withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||
Buttigieg, Klobuchar, Bloomberg, and Warren withdraw from the race | ||||||||||||||
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls | ||||||||||||||
Booker withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||
Emerson Polling | Jan 3–6, 2020 | 447 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 27% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 28% | 8% | 10% | 11%[yi] | - |
Pennsylvania primary[edit]
The Pennsylvania Democratic primary was scheduled to take place on April 28, 2020,[18] but was delayed due to the COVID-19 pandemic, and is instead scheduled for June 2, 2020.[29]
Polling Aggregation | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated | Dates polled | JoeBiden | BernieSanders | Other/ Undecided[a] | ||||||
270 to Win | Mar 18, 2020 | Feb 11–Mar 8, 2020 | 39.5% | 28.0% | 32.5% | ||||||
RealClear Politics | Feb 23, 2020 | Jan 20–Feb 20, 2020 | 39.5% | 28.0% | 32.5% | ||||||
FiveThirtyEight | Mar 8, 2020 | until Feb 20, 2020[d] | 54.4% | 29.3% | 16.3% | ||||||
Average | 44.5% | 28.4% | 27.1% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[g] | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Michael Bloomberg | Cory Booker | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Beto O'Rourke | Bernie Sanders | Elizabeth Warren | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sanders suspends his campaign | |||||||||||||
Gabbard withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
YouGov/Yahoo News | Mar 6–8, 2020 | –(RV)[ti] | ± 5.1% | 59% | – | – | – | – | – | 31% | – | – | – |
Warren withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Bloomberg withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison | Feb 11–20, 2020 | 537 (LV) | – | 20% | 19% | – | 12% | – | – | 25% | 9% | 5%[yj] | 10%[yk] |
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race after close of polls | |||||||||||||
Franklin & Marshall College | Jan 20–26, 2020 | 292 (RV) | ± 9.0% | 22% | 7% | – | 6% | – | – | 15% | 14% | 18%[yl] | 19% |
Baldwin Wallace University/OaklandUniversity/Ohio Northern University | Jan 8-20, 2020 | 502 (RV) | – | 31.3% | 9.1% | – | 6.5% | – | – | 20.5% | 11.5% | 8.8%[ym] | 11% |
Booker withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Sestak withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Bloomberg announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
O'Rourke withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Franklin & Marshall College | Oct 21–27, 2019 | 226 (RV) | ± 8.9% | 30% | – | 1% | 8% | 1% | <1% | 12% | 18% | 15%[yn] | 16% |
Siena Research/New York Times | Oct 13–26, 2019 | 304 | – | 28% | – | 0% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 14% | 16% | 3%[yo] | 30% |
Kaiser Family Foundation | Sep 23-Oct 15, 2019 | 246 (LV) | – | 27% | – | 1% | 3% | 4% | No voters | 14% | 18% | 5%[yp] | 29% |
Susquehanna Polling and Research Inc. | Sep 30 – Oct 6, 2019 | 307 (RV) | ± 5.6% | 17% | – | 0% | 8% | 1% | 0% | 6% | 9% | 7%[yq] | 52% |
Franklin & Marshall College | Jul 29 – Aug 4, 2019 | 295 | ± 8.7% | 28% | – | 2% | 6% | 8% | 1% | 12% | 21% | 3%[yr] | 19% |
Zogby Analytics | May 23–29, 2019 | 246 | ± 6.3% | 46% | – | 2% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 15% | 8% | 2%[ys] | – |
Quinnipiac University | May 9–14, 2019 | 431 | ± 6.2% | 39% | – | 5% | 6% | 8% | 2% | 13% | 8% | 3%[yt] | 12% |
Biden announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Buttigieg announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Muhlenberg College | Apr 3–10, 2019 | 405 | ± 5.5% | 28% | – | 3% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 16% | 8% | 9%[yu] | 20% |
Emerson College | Mar 26–28, 2019 | 359 | ± 5.1% | 39% | – | 4% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 20% | 11% | 10%[yv] | – |
Georgia primary[edit]
The Georgia Democratic primary was originally scheduled to take place on March 24, 2020,[18] but was delayed due to the COVID-19 pandemic, first to May 19, 2020,[30] and then further delayed to June 9, 2020.[31]
Polling aggregation | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated | Dates Polled | JoeBiden | BernieSanders | Undecided[a] | ||||
FiveThirtyEight | Mar 14, 2020 | until Feb 13, 2020[d] | 67.3% | 30.1% | 2.6% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Michael Bloomberg | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Bernie Sanders | Elizabeth Warren | Andrew Yang | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sanders suspends his campaign | ||||||||||||
The Progress Campaign (D) | Mar 12–21, 2020 | 913 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 63% | – | – | – | 34% | – | – | – | 2.3%[yw] |
University of Georgia | Mar 4–14, 2020 | 807 | ± 3.4% | 66% | – | – | – | 22% | – | – | 1%[yx] | 11% |
Warren withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||
Bloomberg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||
Landmark | Feb 12, 2020 | 500 | ± 4.3% | 32% | 14% | 5% | – | 14% | 4% | – | 6%[yy] | 26% |
Yang withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||
SurveyUSA | Nov 15–18, 2019 | 536 | ± 5.2% | 36% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 17% | 14% | – | 5% | 9% |
Climate Nexus | Nov 4–10, 2019 | 457 | ± 3.6% | 31% | – | 4% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 2% | 11%[yz] | 19% |
Landmark | Sep 18–21, 2019 | 500 | ± 4.1% | 41% | – | 5% | 6% | 8% | 17% | 2% | 6%[za] | 15% |
Change Research | Sep 7–11, 2019 | 755 | ± 3.6% | 33% | – | 7% | 7% | 17% | 22% | 3% | 10%[zb] | – |
SurveyMonkey | Jul 2–16, 2019 | 402 | ± 6.4% | 31% | – | 5% | 15% | 12% | 13% | 4% | 11%[zc] | 9% |
New York primary[edit]
The New York Democratic primary was scheduled to take place on April 28, 2020,[18] but was delayed due to the COVID-19 pandemic, and is instead scheduled for June 23, 2020.[32]
Polling aggregation | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated | Dates polled | JoeBiden | BernieSanders | Other/ Undecided[a] | ||||||
FiveThirtyEight | Mar 18, 2020 | until Mar 18, 2020 [d] | 51.7% | 28.9% | 21.4% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[g] | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Michael Bloomberg | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Amy Klobuchar | Bernie Sanders | Elizabeth Warren | Other | Un- decided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sanders suspends his campaign | ||||||||||||
Gabbard withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||
Buttigieg, Klobuchar, Bloomberg, and Warren withdraw from the race | ||||||||||||
Siena College Research Institute | Feb 16–20, 2020 | 315 (RV) | – | 13% | 21% | 9% | – | 9% | 25% | 11% | 1%[zd] | 11% |
Iowa caucus is held | ||||||||||||
Civis Analytics/Data For Progress | Jan 13–19, 2020 | 845 (LV) | – | 30% | 17% | 7% | – | 2% | 17% | 14% | 15%[ze] | – |
Harris withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||
Siena College | Nov 12–18, 2019 | 797 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 24% | – | 5% | 3% | 1% | 13% | 14% | 12%[zf] | 29%[zg] |
Siena College | Oct 6–10, 2019 | 340 (RV) | ± 6.5% | 21% | – | 4% | 4% | 1% | 16% | 21% | 10%[zh] | 24%[zi] |
de Blasio withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||
Siena College* | Sep 8–12, 2019 | 359 (RV) | ± 6.1% | 22% | – | 3% | 4% | 1% | 15% | 17% | 4%[zj] | 34% |
Gillibrand withdraws from the race |
Head-to-head polls[edit]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[g] | Margin of error | Bill de Blasio | Kirsten Gillibrand | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Siena College | Jun 2–6, 2019 | 385 | – | 25% | 56% | 11% | 8% |
New Jersey primary[edit]
The New Jersey Democratic primary was scheduled to take place on June 2, 2020,[18] but was delayed due to the COVID-19 pandemic, and is instead scheduled for July 7, 2020.[33]
Polling aggregation | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Source of poll aggregation | Date updated | Dates polled | JoeBiden | BernieSanders | Undecided[a] | ||||
FiveThirtyEight | Mar 8, 2020 | until Feb 18, 2020[d] | 35.5% | 30.5% | 34.0% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Michael Bloomberg | Cory Booker | Pete Buttigieg | Kamala Harris | Beto O'Rourke | Bernie Sanders | Elizabeth Warren | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Warren withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Bloomberg withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Super Tuesday | |||||||||||||
Klobuchar withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
South Carolina primary; Steyer withdraws from the race after close of polls | |||||||||||||
Nevada caucuses | |||||||||||||
FDU[17] | Feb 12–16, 2020 | 357 (RV) | – | 16% | 23% | – | 10% | – | – | 25% | 8% | 7%[zk] | 11% |
New Hampshire primary; Yang withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Iowa caucuses | |||||||||||||
Emerson College | Jan 16–19, 2020 | 388 | ± 4.9% | 28% | 9% | – | 6% | – | – | 25% | 15% | 16%[zl] | – |
Booker withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Harris withdraws from the race | |||||||||||||
Bloomberg announces his candidacy | |||||||||||||
Monmouth University | Sep 12–16, 2019 | 713 | ± 3.7% | 26% | – | 9% | 6% | 6% | 0% | 18% | 20% | 7%[zm] | 8% |
Change Research | Aug 16–20, 2019 | 1176 | ± 2.9% | 26% | – | 5% | 12% | 8% | 2% | 21% | 23% | 3%[zn] | – |
Connecticut primary[edit]
The Connecticut Democratic primary was scheduled to take place on April 28, 2020,[18] but was delayed due to the COVID-19 pandemic, first to June 2, 2020,[34] and then further delayed to August 11, 2020.[35]
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[g] | Margin of error | Joe Biden | Bernie Sanders | Pete Buttigieg | Elizabeth Warren | Other | Undecided | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sanders suspends his campaign | ||||||||||||
GreatBlue Research/Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant | Mar 24–Apr 3, 2020 | – (RV)[zo] | – | 52.0% | 32.5% | – | – | 1.4%[zp] | 14.1% | |||
GreatBlue Research/Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant | Feb 24–Mar 12, 2020 | 383 (RV) | – | 42.1% | 24.5% | – | – | 19.5%[zq] | 13.8% | |||
Warren withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||
Buttigieg withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||
GreatBlue Research/Sacred Heart University/Hartford Courant[18] | Dec 16, 2019–Jan 2, 2020 | 348 (RV) | – | 33.0% | 19.3% | 11.2% | 17.8% | 3.4%[zr] | 15.2% |
Notes[edit]
- ^ The poll did not provide separate information for this entry, so it is grouped under 'other'.
- Partisan clients
- ^ By the time of the sampling period, Data for Progress had endorsed the Elizabeth Warren 2020 presidential campaign
- Additional candidates
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
- ^ Gabbard with 1.8%; Bloomberg with 1.3%; Bennet with 0.5%; Patrick not reported
- ^ Gabbard with 1.5%; Bloomberg with 1.0%; Bennet and Patrick not reported
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad FiveThirtyEight aggregates polls with a trendline regression of polls rather than a strict average of recent polls.
- ^ Gabbard and Bloomberg with 1.2%; Bennet with 0.4%; Patrick with 0.1%
- ^ Gabbard with 1.5%; Bloomberg with 1.2%; Bennet with 0.3%; Patrick with 0.0%
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ After reallocation of delegates from candidates estimated to not clear the viability threshold in each precinct
- ^ Bloomberg with 2%
- ^ a b c d e Data not yet released, but all other candidates each have <5%
- ^ If the contest came down to Biden and Sanders
- ^ Bloomberg and Delaney with 1%; Bennet and Patrick with 0%
- ^ Bloomberg with 2%; Bennet and Patrick with 0%; others with 2%
- ^ Re-allocating support to second choice for candidates receiving <15% of first choice votes
- ^ Bennet with 1%; Delaney with 0%
- ^ Bennet and Delaney with 0%
- ^ Bloomberg with <1%
- ^ If only the four candidates listed were viable in the voters' caucus sites
- ^ "None of these/won't caucus" with 1%
- ^ If only the six candidates listed were viable in the voters' caucus sites
- ^ "None of these/won't caucus" with <1%
- ^ Bennet with 1%; Delaney and Patrick with 0%; other with <1%; "no one" with 0%
- ^ Bloomberg and Delaney with 1%; Bennet and Patrick with 0%
- ^ Reported as "Unsure"
- ^ Delaney with 1%; Bennet and Patrick with 0%; Someone Else with 1%
- ^ Patrick with 0.2%; Bennet and Delaney with 0.0%; "Other/Please Specify" with 0.4%; "Don't Know/Refused" with 13%
- ^ If voters could choose only one of Biden, Buttigieg, Sanders or Warren
- ^ Delaney and Patrick with 1%; Bennet with 0%
- ^ If the field is narrowed to these top four candidates
- ^ Listed as "don't know/refused"
- ^ Bloomberg with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, and Patrick with 0%
- ^ Bennet, Bloomberg and Delaney with 1%; Patrick with 0%
- ^ Delaney with 1%; Bennet and Patrick with 0%; someone else with 1%
- ^ Bennet and Delaney with 0%
- ^ Bennet and Bloomberg with 1%; Delaney and Patrick with 0%
- ^ Not listed separately from "others"
- ^ Trump with 5%; "others" with 2%
- ^ If the only viable candidates to caucus for were the four listed in this poll
- ^ "None of these/wouldn't vote" with 2%
- ^ Booker with 4%, Bennet and Delaney with <1%, Patrick with 0%, Other with <1%
- ^ Booker with 3%; Bloomberg with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney, Patrick and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 1%
- ^ Booker with 2%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney, Patrick and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 1%
- ^ Includes "refused"
- ^ Booker with 3%; Castro with 1%; Delaney, Bloomberg, Bennet, Williamson with 0%
- ^ Booker with 4%; Bloomberg with 2%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney, Patrick and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 2%
- ^ Bennet, Bloomberg, Booker, Bullock, Castro and Williamson with 1%; Delaney, Messam, Patrick and Sestak with 0%
- ^ Booker with 3%; Bloomberg with 2%; Bennet with 1%; Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Sestak and Williamson with 0%; none with 2%
- ^ Booker, Bullock, and Castro with 1%, Messam, Delaney, Bennet, Williamson, and Sestak with 0%, "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ Booker with 2%; Bullock and Castro with 1%; Bennet, Bloomberg, Delaney, and Williamson with <1%; Sestak with 0%
- ^ Castro with 1%; Bennet, Booker, Bullock, Delaney, O'Rourke and Ryan with 0%
- ^ Bennett, Booker, Bullock and Castro with 1%; Delaney, Messam, Sestak and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Yang with 3%; Gabbard and Steyer with 2%; Delaney with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Messam, Sestak and Williamson with 0%
- ^ As evidenced by Sestak being listed in second choices but not first preferences and the lack of an 'other' column in the first preferences topline
- ^ Steyer with 3%; Gabbard and Yang with 2%; Bennet with 1%; Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Ryan and Williamson with 0%; Messam and Sestak with no voters[ba]
- ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 3%; Yang with 1%; Delaney, Ryan and Williamson with 0%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Messam and Sestak with no voters; refused with 0%
- ^ Yang with 5%; Bullock with 4%; Gabbard and Steyer with 2%; Bennet and Williamson with 1%; Castro with 0%; Delaney, Messam, Ryan and Sestak with no voters; everyone else with 4%
- ^ a b The poll did not announce this result separately; it is listed as part of 'Other'.
- ^ Yang with 1%; a different Democratic candidate, don't know, or refused with 25%
- ^ Steyer with 3%; Bennet, Gabbard, Williamson, and Ryan with 1%, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Messam, Sestak, and Yang with 0%; "someone else" with 0%
- ^ Gabbard, Steyer, and Yang with 2%, Bullock, Castro, and Delaney with 1%, Bennet, de Blasio, Ryan, Sestak, and Williamson with 0%; "none of these" with 2%
- ^ Steyer with 3%; Yang with 2%; Bullock, Castro, Delaney and Gabbard with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Messam, Ryan, Sestak and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 4%; Yang with 3%; Steyer with 2%; Ryan and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Castro and Delaney with 0%
- ^ Steyer with 2%; Castro, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Messam, Ryan, Sestak and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 2%
- ^ Bullock, Gabbard, and Steyer with 2%; Bennet, Castro, and Yang with 1%; Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Messam, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Steyer with 3%; Gillibrand and Yang with 2%; Bullock, Delaney, Gabbard, and Hickenlooper with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Inslee, O'Rourke, and Williamson with <1%; de Blasio, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, and Sestak with 0%
- ^ Castro and Steyer with 2%; Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, and Sestak with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Gabbard, Gravel, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Williamson, and Yang with 0%
- ^ Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Inslee, Swalwell, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Moulton, Ryan, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Williamson, and Yang with 1%; Hickenlooper, Inslee, Ryan, and Swalwell with <1%; Messam and Moulton with 0%; others with <1%
- ^ Bennet, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, and Yang with 1%; Bullock, de Blasio, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Sestak, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%; others with 1%
- ^ Delaney with 2%; Castro, Gabbard, Gravel, Moulton, and Yang with 1%; Bullock, de Blasio, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Bennet, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Inslee, and Yang with 1%; Bullock, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with <1%; de Blasio and Messam with 0%
- ^ Yang with 2%; Abrams, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Swalwell with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Ryan, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Delaney with 2%; Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, and Yang with 1%; Castro and Inslee with 0%
- ^ Castro with 2%; Delaney, Gillibrand, Ryan, Swalwell, and Yang with 1%; Bullock, de Blasio, Gabbard, and Inslee with <1%; Bennet, Hickenlooper, McAuliffe, Messam, Moulton, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Delaney with 3%; Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Inslee, Swalwell, and Yang with 1%; Bullock, Hickenlooper, and Williamson with <1%; Bennet and McAuliffe with 0%; others with <1%
- ^ Castro, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, and Inslee with 1%; Gillibrand and Yang with 0%; others with 4%
- ^ Poll sponsored by End Citizens United
- ^ Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, and Inslee with 1%; Bloomberg, de Blasio, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Holder, Swalwell, Williamson, and Yang with <1%
- ^ Gillibrand with 1%
- ^ Brown with 4%; Castro with 2%; Delaney and Gillibrand with 1%; Gabbard and Yang with 0%; others with 8%
- ^ Kennedy with 5%; Clinton with 4%; Brown with 2%; Bloomberg, Castro, Cuomo, Delaney, Gillibrand, Kerry, and Swalwell with 1%; Holder, McAuliffe, Schultz, and Steyer with 0%
- ^ Bloomberg with 3%; Brown, Castro, Delaney, and Hickenlooper with 1%; Bullock, Garcetti, Gillibrand, Holder, Inslee, Steyer, Swalwell, and Yang with <1%
- ^ Brown with 3%; Bloomberg and Kerry with 2%; Delaney with 1%; Garcetti with 0%; others with <1%
- ^ Gillibrand and Holder with 2%; Avenatti and Delaney with 1%; Bullock, Garcetti, Landrieu, and Patrick with <1%; others with 1%
- ^ Poll sponsored by O'Say Can You See PAC, the PAC that supported O'Malley in 2016
- ^ O'Malley with 18%; Cuomo with 8%; Castro and Sandberg with 4%; Gillibrand with 3%; Schultz with 1%
- ^ Patrick with 0.8%; Bennet with 0.6%; Bloomberg with 0.5%
- ^ Patrick with 1.0%; Bennet with 0.3%; Bloomberg not reported
- ^ Bloomberg with 2.3%; Patrick with 0.7%; Bennet with 0.5%
- ^ Bloomberg with 0.9%; Patrick with 0.8%; Bennet with 0.5%
- ^ Patrick with 0.4%; Bennet with 0.3%; Booker with 0.1%; Boyd, Burke, Bullock, Castro, De La Fuente III, Delaney, Dunlap, Ellinger, Gleib, Greenstein, Harris, Hewes, Koos, Kraus, Krichevsky, Moroz, Sloan, Sestak, Thistle, Torgesen, Wells and Williamson with 0.0%; other (write-in candidates) with 1.5%
- ^ Patrick with 0.4%; Bennet with 0.3%; Booker with 0.1%; Boyd, Burke, Bullock, Castro, De La Fuente III, Delaney, Dunlap, Ellinger, Gleib, Greenstein, Harris, Hewes, Koos, Kraus, Krichevsky, Moroz, Sloan, Sestak, Thistle, Torgesen, Wells and Williamson; other (write-in candidates) with 1.5%
- ^ By the time of this poll, Data for Progress, which has worked with both the Sanders and Warren campaigns, had endorsed Warren
- ^ Bennet, Bloomberg and Patrick with 1%; other with 2%
- ^ Bennet and Patrick with 1%; "someone else" with 2%
- ^ Patrick with 1%; Bennet with 0%
- ^ Patrick with 1%; Bennet with 0%; other with 2%; refused with 0%
- ^ Not yet released
- ^ Not yet released
- ^ Not yet released
- ^ Not yet released
- ^ Bennet and Bloomberg with 0%; Patrick with no voters; other with 1%
- ^ Patrick with 1%; Bennet with 0%; "someone else" with 3%
- ^ Bennet and Patrick with 0%; "Other" with 3%
- ^ Bennet with 1%; Patrick with no voters; other with 2%
- ^ Patrick with 1%; Bennet with 0%; "someone else" with 2%
- ^ Bloomberg with 1%; others with 1%
- ^ Patrick and Bennet with 0%; "someone else" with 3%
- ^ Bennet with 1%; Patrick with 0%; "Other" with 3%
- ^ Bennet and Patrick with 1%; "another candidate" with 3%
- ^ Bloomberg with 2%; Patrick and Bennet with 0%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ Patrick and Bennet with 0%; "someone else" with 3%
- ^ Bennet and Patrick with 1%; "Other" with 2%
- ^ Patrick and Bennet with 1%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ Bennet and Patrick with 0%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ Bennet with 1%; Patrick with <1%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ If the primary came down to the five candidates listed in this poll
- ^ "None of these/won't vote" with 3%
- ^ If the primary came down to the four candidates listed in this poll
- ^ "None of these/won't vote" with 3%
- ^ Patrick and Bennet with 0%; "someone else" with 2%
- ^ Bennet and Patrick with 0%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ Patrick with 1%; Bennet with 0%; "someone else" with 2%
- ^ Bennet and Patrick with 1%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ Bennet and Patrick with 0%; "someone else" with 4%
- ^ Bennet and Patrick with 0%; "someone else" with 2%
- ^ Bloomberg with 2%; Bennet and Patrick with <1%
- ^ Bloomberg with 2%; Bennet with 1%; Patrick with no voters; other with 2%
- ^ Patrick with 1%; Bennet and Delaney with 0%
- ^ Bennet, Delaney, and Patrick with 0%; "Other" with 2%
- ^ Bloomberg (explicitly as a write in) and Patrick with 2%; Bennet with 1%; "Other" with 3%; Delaney not reported
- ^ Bloomberg with 3%; Bennet with 2%; Delaney and Patrick with 0%; "Other" with 2%
- ^ Bennet and Patrick with 1%; Delaney with <1%
- ^ Bloomberg and Delaney with 1%; Bennet and Patrick with 0%
- ^ Bloomberg and Patrick with 1%; Bennet with <1%; Delaney with 0%; some other candidate with 2%; would not vote with <1%
- ^ Listed as "Don't know/refused"
- ^ Bennet and Patrick with 1%; Delaney with 0%
- ^ Delaney with 1%; Bennet and Patrick with no voters; "someone else" with 6%
- ^ Bloomberg with 4%; Bennet, Delaney, Patrick and Williamson with no voters; other with 1%
- ^ Sponsored by a presidential candidate's campaign
- ^ Booker with 2%; "someone else" with 1%
- ^ Bennet with 2%; Booker with 1%; Delaney and Williamson with 0%; Patrick and "Someone else" with 0%
- ^ If the primary came down to the seven candidates listed in this poll
- ^ "None of these" with 3%; Booker with 2%
- ^ If the primary came down to the four candidates listed in this poll
- ^ "None of these" with 5%
- ^ Booker with 2%; Patrick with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney, and Williamson with 0%; "Someone else" with 0%
- ^ Steyer with 3%; Bloomberg with 2%; Williamson with 1%; Bennet with <1%; Castro and Delaney with 0%; someone else with 2%; would not vote with 3%
- ^ Includes "refused"
- ^ Steyer with 3%; Bloomberg and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro and Delaney and Sestak and with 0%; someone else with 2%
- ^ Steyer with 2%; Bullock, Castro and Delaney with 1%; Bennet, Sestak and Williamson with 0%; others with 2%; refused with 1%
- ^ Steyer with 5%; Delaney and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Steyer with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Messam, Sestak, Williamson with 0%, "Someone else" with 2%
- ^ Steyer with 3%; Bennet and Castro, with 1%, Bullock, Delaney, Messam, Sestak, Williamson with 0%
- ^ Steyer with 3%; Sestak with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney and other with 0%
- ^ Steyer with 1%; Castro with 0% and Williamson with 0%; other with 3%
- ^ a b c The poll did not announce this result separately; it is listed as part of 'Other'.
- ^ Steyer with 4%; Ryan with 1%, Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Messam, Sestak, and Williamson with 0%; "someone else" with 0%
- ^ Steyer with 2%; "Other" with 1%; Castro with 0%; Delaney, Bullock, Bennet and Williamson with less than 1%
- ^ Steyer with 2%; Williamson with 1%; Castro, Delaney and Ryan with <1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Messam and Sestak with 0%; "no one" with 1%;
- ^ Steyer with 2%; de Blasio, Delaney, and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Messam, Ryan and Sestak with 0%
- ^ Castro with 1%; others with 2%
- ^ Delaney with 3%; Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Messam, Ryan, and Sestak with 0%; someone else with 3%
- ^ Steyer with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Messam, Ryan, Sestak, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Steyer with 4%; Castro with 2%; Gillibrand and Inslee with 1%
- ^ Bennet with 2%; Delaney, Gillibrand, Williamson, and Steyer with 1%; others with 0%
- ^ Castro, Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, and Steyer with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Gravel, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Sestak, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Bennet, Delaney, Gillibrand, and Williamson with 1%; de Blasio, Inslee, Moulton, Ryan, and Steyer with 0%
- ^ Williamson with 2%; Gillibrand with 1%; Inslee with 0%
- ^ Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Castro, Delaney, Inslee, Moulton, Ryan, and Swalwell with 0%
- ^ Gillibrand, Gravel, Inslee, and Moulton with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Hickenlooper, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Delaney, Gravel, and Inslee with 1%; Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Gillibrand and Hickenlooper with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Delaney, Gravel, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%; others with 1%
- ^ Hickenlooper and Ryan with 1%; Bullock, Delaney, Gillibrand, and Williamson with <1%; Bennet, Castro, de Blasio, Gravel, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, and Swalwell with 0%
- ^ Delaney with 2%; Moulton, and Ryan with 1%; Abrams, Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Delaney with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%; others with 0%
- ^ Ryan with 2%; Gillibrand, Messam, and Swalwell with 1%; Castro, Delaney, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Williamson with 0%; others with 0%
- ^ Delaney, Gillibrand, and Hickenlooper with 1%; Inslee with 0%; others with 6%
- ^ Bloomberg, Brown, and Gillibrand with 1%; Delaney and Hickenlooper with 0%; others with 3%
- ^ Bloomberg with 2%; Brown, Delaney, and Gillibrand with 1%; Castro with 0%; others with 5%
- ^ Gillibrand with 3%; Bloomberg with 2%; Castro with 1%; others with 3%
- ^ Gillibrand with 0%
- ^ Kennedy with 9%; Clinton with 3%; Bloomberg, Kerry, and Klobuchar with 2%; Brown, Bullock, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Ojeda, and Steyer with 1%; Castro, Cuomo, Delaney, Holder, Inslee, McAuliffe, Schultz, and Swalwell with 0%
- ^ Kennedy with 7%; Holder with 2%; O'Malley with 1%; Delaney, Gillibrand, and Hickenlooper with 0%; others with 2%
- ^ Gillibrand and McAuliffe with 2%
- ^ Gillibrand with 3%; McAuliffe with 2%; others with 1%
- ^ Kennedy with 3%; O'Malley with 2%; Gillibrand and Hickenlooper with 1%; Ryan with 0%; others with 2%
- ^ Gillibrand with 2%; O'Malley with 1%; others with 4%
- ^ O'Malley with 3%; Hickenlooper and Zuckerberg with 2%; Gillibrand, and Ryan with 1%; Delaney with 0%; others with 5%
- ^ Gabbard with 1.3%; Bloomberg not reported
- ^ Gabbard with 2.0%; Bloomberg not reported
- ^ Bloomberg with 9.1%; Gabbard with 1.9%
- ^ Individual candidate numbers add up to more than 100%
- ^ Bloomberg with 3.0%; Gabbard with 1.7%
- ^ Uncommitted with 0.4%; Gabbard with 0.3%; Yang with 0.6%; Bennet and Patrick with 0.1%; Delaney with 0.0%
- ^ Uncomitted with 0.4%; Gabbard with 0.3%; Bennet and Delaney with 0.1%; Patrick with 0%
- ^ By the time of this poll, Data for Progress, which has worked with both the Sanders and Warren campaigns, had endorsed Warren
- ^ Gabbard with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 3%; "other" with 4%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; someone else with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 1.7%
- ^ others with 4%
- ^ By the time of this poll, Data for Progress, which has worked with both the Sanders and Warren campaigns, had endorsed Warren
- ^ Gabbard with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 0%; Other with 5%
- ^ Delaney and Gabbard with 1%; Patrick with 0%; Bennet and Williamson with no voters; other with 0%; refused with 2%
- ^ Sponsored by a presidential candidate's campaign
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; "someone else" with 1%
- ^ Bloomberg and Gabbard with 2%; Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, and Patrick with 0%; others with 0%; none with 8%
- ^ Castro with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Delaney, Gabbard, Messam, Sestak, and Williamson with 0%; "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Castro with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Delaney, Messam, Sestak and Williamson with 0%; others with 1%; none with 2%
- ^ Bennet, Castro, and Gabbard with 1%; Bullock, Delaney, Sestak and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 7%
- ^ Castro, Gabbard and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Delaney and Sestak with 0%
- ^ Gabbard, Ryan, and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, and Sestak with 0%
- ^ Bennet, Bullock, Castro and Gabbard with 1%; de Blasio, Delaney, Messam, Ryan, Sestak and Williamson with 0%; "refused" with 1%
- ^ Castro with 2%; de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Ryan, and Sestak with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Messam, and Williamson with 0%; others with 2%
- ^ Bennet, de Blasio, and Gabbard with 2%; Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Gillibrand, Inslee, Ryan, and Williamson with 1%
- ^ Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, and Inslee with 1%; Bennet, Booker, Bullock, Hickenlooper, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Castro with 2%; Bullock, de Blasio, and Ryan with 1%; others with 4%
- ^ Castro, Gabbard, and Williamson with 1%; Bullock, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, and Ryan with <1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Delaney, Gillibrand, Gravel, Moulton, and Swalwell with 0%
- ^ Abrams, Castro, Gabbard, and Swalwell with 1%; Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Ryan with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Castro and Gillibrand with 1%; Hickenlooper and Inslee with 0%; others with 6%
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined; Bloomberg included as write-in votes are not permitted in SC primaries
- ^ Candidate percentages add up to more than 100%
- ^ Bloomberg 10.3%; Write-in votes are not permitted in SC primaries; this appears to be based on trendline regression
- ^ Bloomberg only in 538, so no average can be made
- ^ Bennet with 0.14%; Booker with 0.12%; Delaney with 0.07%; Patrick with 0.05%
- ^ Reported as "Someone else/Undecided"
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%
- ^ "Other" with 2%
- ^ "Other" with 2%
- ^ Accumulated responses until he withdrew; name not included afterwards.
- ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Bennet and Patrick were included until they withdrew; Bennet received no voters; Patrick accumulated few enough to round down to 0%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 4%
- ^ Bennet and Patrick with 0%
- ^ Bennet and Patrick with 0%
- ^ Delaney with 1%; Bennet and Patrick with 0%
- ^ The poll's sponsor, Unite the Country, is a pro-Biden super PAC.
- ^ data from 538.com
- ^ not released
- ^ data from 538.com
- ^ not released
- ^ not released
- ^ data from 538.com
- ^ data from 538.com
- ^ data from 538.com
- ^ not released
- ^ not released
- ^ not released
- ^ Booker with 2%; Bennet, Delaney, Patrick, and Williamson with 0%; "None of the above" with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 4%; Bloomberg with 3%; Klobuchar and Yang with 2%; Patrick and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Castro and Delaney with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 4%; Yang with 3%; Bloomberg and Klobuchar with 2%; Delaney and Patrick with 1%; Bennet, Sestak and Williamson with 0%; Bullock and Castro with no voters
- ^ Yang with 4%; Gabbard, Klobuchar and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Messam, Patrick and Sestak with 0%
- ^ Bullock, Delaney, Gabbard, and Klobuchar with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Messam, Sestak, Williamson, and Yang with 0%; someone else with 2%
- ^ Bloomberg, Gabbard, Klobuchar, Williamson and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Messam and Sestak with 0%; someone else with 1%
- ^ Klobuchar and Yang with 2%; Castro, Delaney and Gabbard with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Ryan, Sestak and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Yang with 4%; Gabbard and Klobuchar with 3%; Bennet with 1%; Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Ryan and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Yang with 2%
- ^ The poll did not announce this result separately; it is listed as part of 'Other'.
- ^ Bennet, Klobuchar, Ryan, Williamson, and Yang with 1%; Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Messam, and Sestak with 0%; "someone else" with 0%
- ^ Bullock, Klobuchar and Yang with 2%; Castro, Delaney, Gabbard and Williamson with 1%; Bennet and Ryan with 0%
- ^ Bennet, Gabbard, Ryan, Williamson and Yang with 1%; Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Klobuchar, and Messam with < 0.5%; Sestak with 0%; someone else with 3%
- ^ Yang with 2%; Gabbard, Klobuchar, Castro and "Someone else" with 1%; Delaney, Sestak and Bennet with 0%; Bullock, Messam, Ryan and Williamson with less than 0.5%
- ^ Bennet, Klobuchar, Gabbard, and Williamson with 1%; Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Ryan, and Yang with 0%
- ^ poll results among likely voters of this RV sample
- ^ de Blasio, Bullock, Delaney, Gabbard, Klobuchar, Ryan, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Messam, Sestak and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Castro, Delaney, Klobuchar, Ryan, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Gillibrand, Inslee, Messam, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Yang with 1%; "A different Democratic candidate" with 7%
- ^ Bennet and Klobuchar with 1%; Castro, de Blasio, Gabbard, Gillibrand, and Inslee with <1%; Bullock, Delaney, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Sestak, Williamson, and Yang with 0%
- ^ poll results among likely voters of this RV sample
- ^ Delaney, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Klobuchar, Ryan, Williamson, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Messam, Moulton, and Sestak with 0%
- ^ Delaney, Williamson, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Klobuchar, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, and Sestak with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Hickenlooper, Williamson, and Yang with 1%; Gravel, Inslee, Moulton, Ryan, and Swalwell with 0%
- ^ Yang with 2%; Bullock, de Blasio, and Ryan with 1%; Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Klobuchar, Messam, Moulton, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Yang with 3%; de Blasio, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Klobuchar, and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, and Swalwell with 0%
- ^ Gillibrand, Gravel, Klobuchar, Messam, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%; others with 3%
- ^ Gillibrand with 2%; Castro, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, and Inslee with 1%; Delaney, Klobuchar, and Yang with 0%
- ^ Yang with 2%; Abrams, Klobuchar, and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Ryan, and Swalwell with 0%
- ^ Klobuchar with 1%
- ^ Abrams with 7%; Castro, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Klobuchar, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Gabbard, Inslee, McAuliffe, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Castro, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, and Klobuchar with 2%; Delaney, Inslee, Messam, and Yang with 1%; Gabbard and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Gillibrand with 3%; Bloomberg and Gabbard with 2%: Brown and Klobuchar with 1%; Castro, and Delaney with 0%; others with 8%
- ^ Brown and Holder with 2%; Bloomberg, Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Klobuchar, Swalwell, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Cuomo, de Blasio, Delaney, McAuliffe, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Klobuchar with 5%; Castro with 4%; Delaney with 3%; Gabbard and Williamson with 2%; Gillibrand and Yang with 1%
- ^ Klobuchar with 1%; Gillibrand with 0%
- ^ But for the Biden vs Warren matchup, 'undecided' and 'other' voters are not included in the listed percentages for this poll.
- ^ Would not vote with 4%
- ^ Steyer with 2%; Klobuchar with 1%; Gabbard with 0%; "Other" with 5%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%
- ^ Sestak with 3%; Bennet with 2%; de Blasio, Bullock, Delaney, Williamson, and Yang with 1%; Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Klobuchar, Messam, Moulton, and Ryan with 0%
- ^ Castro, Klobuchar, Moulton, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Cuomo, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Klobuchar with 2%; Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Yang with 1%; Messam and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Klobuchar with 7%; Steyer with 1%; Gabbard with 0%; "Other" with 5%
- ^ Klobuchar and Gabbard with 1%
- ^ Klobuchar with 6%
- ^ Listed as "undecided/would not vote"
- ^ Klobuchar with 4.8%; Yang with 2%; "someone else" with 3.3%
- ^ includes Buttigieg with 6.0%; Klobuchar with 4.0%; Steyer not averaged
- ^ Gabbard with 0.1%; "Other" with 5.9%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; "Someone else" with 3%
- ^ Gabbard with 3%
- ^ Gabbard with 3%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%
- ^ If only the two candidates for which percentages are listed could be voted for
- ^ If only the two candidates for which percentages are listed could be voted for
- ^ If only the two candidates for which percentages are listed could be voted for
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%; "None/No one" with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; "Others" with 1%
- ^ Included in poll despite being withdrawn because he is still on the ballot.
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Castro with 1%; Bennet, Williamson, Patrick, Sestak, Delaney, Greenstein, Ellinger, Boyd, and De La Fuente with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 4%; "Another candidate" with 3%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ If only the two candidates for which percentages are listed could be voted for
- ^ "Already voted" with 10%; "neither" with 5%
- ^ If only the two candidates for which percentages are listed could be voted for
- ^ "Already voted" with 10%; "neither" with 4%
- ^ If only the two candidates for which percentages are listed could be voted for
- ^ "Already voted" with 10%; "neither" with 6%
- ^ If only the two candidates for which percentages are listed could be voted for
- ^ "Already voted" with 10%; "neither" with 6%
- ^ Tulsi Gabbard 1%; someone else 1%
- ^ "Some other Democrat" with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%
- ^ "someone else/skipped"
- ^ Answers listed in this row are for the question, "If electability wasn't a concern, who would you support?"
- ^ Gabbard with 3%; Booker with 2%; Williamson with 1%; Patrick with 0%
- ^ Listed as "no response"
- ^ Gabbard with 3%; Booker, Patrick and Williamson with 1%; Delaney with 0%
- ^ Listed as "no response"
- ^ Gabbard with 4%; Bennet, Delaney and Patrick with <1%
- ^ Gabbard with 1.4%; Bennet with 0.9%; Booker with 0.8%; "All others" with 0.5%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; others with 0%
- ^ someone else (included Bloomberg) 6%
- ^ Booker and "someone else" with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Booker with 1%; Delaney, Patrick and Williamson with 0%; no response with 0%
- ^ Bloomberg, Castro and Gabbard with 3%; Steyer with 2%; Klobuchar and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Delaney and Patrick with 0%
- ^ Bloomberg with 5%; Gabbard and Klobuchar with 2%; Castro and Steyer with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Patrick, and Williamson with 0%; "None/No one" with 1%
- ^ The top row presents results which exclude Kamala Harris as an option.
- ^ Bloomberg with 5%; Gabbard and Klobuchar with 4%; Castro with 2%; Steyer and Williamson with 1%; Delaney and Patrick with 0%
- ^ Bloomberg with 5%; Gabbard and Klobuchar with 4%; Castro, Steyer and Williamson with 1%; Delaney with 0%; Patrick with no voters
- ^ Klobuchar with 3%; Bloomberg with 2%; Bennet, Castro, Gabbard, Steyer with 1%, Bullock, Delaney, Patrick, Sestak and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Bloomberg and Steyer with 3%; Gabbard with 2%; Castro and Klobuchar with 1%; Patrick with 0%; others with 1%
- ^ Gabbard and Klobuchar with 3%; Steyer and Williamson with 1%; Castro and Delaney with 0%
- ^ Klobuchar and Steyer with 1%; other with 4%
- ^ Gabbard and Klobuchar with 2%; Steyer and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Messam, Ryan, and Sestak with 0%
- ^ Castro, Gabbard, Klobuchar, Steyer, and some other Democrat with 1%
- ^ Castro and Gabbard with 2%; Klobuchar, Steyer and Williamson with 1%; de Blasio and Ryan with 0%; no response with 2%
- ^ Castro with 2%; Klobuchar and Steyer with 1%; someone else with 3%
- ^ Klobuchar with 2%; Bennet, Castro and Gabbard with 1%; Bullock, de Blasio, Delaney, Messam, Ryan, Sestak, Steyer and Williamson with 0%;
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Castro and Steyer with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Delaney, Klobuchar, Messam, Ryan, Sestak and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 1%
- ^ Castro with 2%; Klobuchar with 1%; someone else with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Castro, Klobuchar and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Delaney, Messam, Ryan, Sestak and Steyer with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Castro, Klobuchar and Williamson with 1%; Steyer with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 3%; Castro, Klobuchar, Steyer and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Delaney and Ryan with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%
- ^ "Anyone" with 2%; "None of them" with 5%; "Others" with 7%
- ^ Bennet, Castro, Gabbard, Gravel, Klobuchar, Steyer, Williamson with 1%; Bullock, de Blasio, Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, and Sestak with 0%
- ^ Castro and Inslee with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Klobuchar, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Sestak, Steyer, and Williamson with <1%, others with <1%
- ^ Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Inslee, Klobuchar, & Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Delaney, Hickenlooper, Ryan, Swalwell & Steyer with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Castro, Klobuchar & Inslee with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Delaney, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Messam, Ryan, Sestak, Steyer & Williamson with 0%
- ^ Gabbard & Hickenlooper with 2%; Bennet, Gillibrand & Klobuchar with 1%; Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Delaney, Inslee, Moulton, Ryan & Williamson with 0%
- ^ Castro and Klobuchar with 1%; Bullock, Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Castro, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Klobuchar, Ryan & Swalwell with 1%; Bullock, de Blasio, Gabbard, Inslee & Williamson with 0%
- ^ Castro and Gabbard with 1%; Abrams, Bennet, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Klobuchar, Inslee, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Klobuchar with 3%; Inslee with 2%; Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Ryan & Swalwell with 1%; Castro with 0%
- ^ Castro with 2%; Abrams, Gabbard, Inslee, Klobuchar, and Swalwell with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Messam, Ryan, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Castro with 2%; Gabbard, Klobuchar, and Ryan with 1%; Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Castro and Klobuchar with 2%; Gabbard and Inslee with 1%; Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Messam, and Williamson with <1%; others with <1%
- ^ Castro with 2%; Brown, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Holder, and Klobuchar with 1%; Bloomberg, Bullock, Cuomo, Delaney, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Castro with 6%; Gabbard with 4%; Delaney and Gillibrand with 2%; Williamson with 1%
- ^ Klobuchar with 4%; Gabbard and Steyer with 0%; "Other" with 3%
- ^ Klobuchar with 3%; Gabbard with 2%
- ^ Klobuchar with 5%; "Others" with 4%
- ^ Klobuchar with 6%; Gabbard and Steyer with 1%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ Klobuchar with 6%; Gabbard with 1%
- ^ Booker with 2%; de Blasio, Gabbard, O'Rourke, Ryan , Williamson, and "Someone else" with 1%; Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Gillibrand, Inslee, Klobuchar, Messam, Moulton, Sestak and Steyer with 0%
- ^ O’Rourke with 1%; Booker, Castro, Inslee, de Blasio, Gabbard, Klobuchar, Ryan, Steyer, Williamson, Bullock, Delaney, Gillibrand, Gravel, Messam, Moulton, and Sestak with 0%
- ^ Gabbard not averaged
- ^ Klobuchar with 2%; Steyer with 0%; Gabbard with no voters; "Other" with 1%
- ^ Not yet released
- ^ Klobuchar and Gabbard with 1%
- ^ Klobuchar with 4%; Gabbard with 3%; Steyer with 2%; Bennet with 1%; Patrick and "Someone else" with no voters
- ^ "Other" with 6.5%; Booker with 2.7% and O'Rourke with 2.2%
- ^ Booker with 2%; Castro and O'Rourke with 1%; "someone else/undecided" with 16%
- ^ The poll did not announce this result separately; it is listed as part of 'Other'.
- ^ Ryan with 4%; Booker and Williamson with 3%; Bennet with 2%; Gillibrand, O'Rourke, and Swalwell with 1%; Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Gabbard, Hickenlooper Inslee, and Klobuchar with 0%
- ^ Calculated by subtracting polled candidates from 100%
- ^ Steyer with 4%; Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with 3%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%
- ^ Steyer with 2.4%; Gabbard with 0.8%; refused with 0.4%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; Steyer with 2%; Would not vote with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 4%; Steyer with 3%
- ^ Gabbard with 3%; Steyer with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 3%; Steyer with 2%; "Another candidate" with 1%
- ^ Steyer with 4%; Yang with 3%; Booker with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Delaney, Steyer and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Messam, Ryan, Sestak, and Williamson with 0%; others with 2%; would not vote with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Bennet, Bullock and Yang with 1%; de Blasio, Castro, Delaney, Messam, Ryan, Sestak, Steyer and Williamson with 0%; refused with 1%
- ^ Gabbard, Moulton, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Delaney, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Klobuchar, Messam, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%; others with 1%
- ^ Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, and Yang with 1%; Gillibrand and Inslee with 0%; others with 5%
- ^ Moulton with 1%
- ^ Steyer with 1%; Gabbard with 0%; "Other" with 5%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%
- ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 4%; Steyer and "Another Candidate" with 0%
- ^ Yang with 4%; Booker with 1%; Steyer, Castro, and Refused to answer with 0%; Someone else not reported
- ^ Yang with 2%; Booker, Castro, and Inslee with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Klobuchar with 3%; "Another Candidate" with 3%
- ^ Klobuchar with 4%; Steyer with 1%; Gabbard with 0%; "Other" with 5%
- ^ Klobuchar with 2%; Gabbard with 1%
- ^ Klobuchar with 6%
- ^ Klobuchar with 5%; Steyer with 3%; Gabbard with 1%
- ^ Klobuchar and Steyer with 4%; Booker and Patrick with 2%; Gabbard with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney, Williamson, and Yang with 0%
- ^ Steyer with 4%; Klobuchar with 3%; Booker with 2%; Gabbard and Patrick with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney, Williamson, and Yang with 0%
- ^ Klobuchar with 5%; "Another Candidate" with 5%
- ^ Klobuchar with 5%; Steyer with 2%; Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with <1%
- ^ Klobuchar with 5%; Steyer with 2%; Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ Klobuchar with 6%; Gabbard and Steyer with 1%
- ^ Klobuchar with 4%; Steyer with 3%; Gabbard with 1%
- ^ Support listed for "someone else/undecided"
- ^ Klobuchar with 4.0%; Gabbard with 0.9%; Yang with 0.7%; Steyer, Bennet, Patrick, and Williamson with 0.5%; Castro and Delaney with 0.0%
- ^ "No preference" with 3.7%; "Don't know" with 11.2%; "No answer/Refused" with 1.6%
- ^ Klobuchar with 6%; "Another Candidate" with 7%
- ^ Klobuchar with 7%; Gabbard and Steyer with 3%
- ^ Klobuchar with 5%; others with 2%
- ^ Steyer with 4%; Klobuchar with 3%; Gabbard with 2%; Castro, Delaney and Patrick with 0%
- ^ Steyer and Klobuchar with 3%; Gabbard and Patrick with 1%; Castro and Delaney with 0%
- ^ Klobuchar with 5% and Steyer with 2%
- ^ Support listed for "someone else/undecided"
- ^ Klobuchar and Steyer with 3%
- ^ Support listed for "someone else/undecided"
- ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 2%; Bennet, Bullock and Klobuchar with 1%; Castro, Delaney, Messam, Sestak and Williamson with 0%; others with 1%; none with 3%
- ^ Democrats only
- ^ Klobuchar with 3%; Steyer with 2%; Gabbard with 1%; refused with 6%
- ^ All adults
- ^ Gabbard with 4%; Klobuchar with 2%; Steyer with 1%; refused with 21%
- ^ O'Rourke with 2%; Gabbard with 1%; others with 0%
- ^ Castro, Klobuchar, and O'Rourke with 1%
- ^ Castro, and Gabbard with 1%; O'Rourke with 0%
- ^ O'Rourke with 3%; de Blasio, Gillibrand, Klobuchar, and Ryan with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%; others with 2%
- ^ Steyer and Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with 7%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with <1%, Patrick with <1% and Steyer with 1%
- ^ "Likely not voting" with 14%; "other candidates" with 7%
- ^ Booker and Bennet with 2%; Inslee, O'Rourke, Gillibrand, Bullock, Delaney, Hickenlooper, and Williamson with 1%
- ^ Klobuchar with 6%; Steyer with 1%; Gabbard with no voters; "Other" with 4%
- ^ Klobuchar with 2%; Gabbard with 1%
- ^ Bennet with 2%; Booker, Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Klobuchar, Messam, Moulton, and O'Rourke with 1%; de Blasio, Bullock, Delaney, Gravel, Inslee, Ryan, Sestak, Williamson, and Yang with 0%
- ^ Steyer with 3%; Gabbard with no voters; "Other" with 3%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 3%; Steyer with 2%
- ^ Steyer with 1%; Gabbard with 0%; "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ Steyer and Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with <1%
- ^ Steyer with 2%; Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with <1%
- ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 1%
- ^ None/No one 1%; No opinion 4%
- ^ Steyer with 2%; Gabbard and Patrick with 1%; Bennet with 0%; "Other" with 3%
- ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 1%
- ^ Respondents were asked who they would vote for if Bloomberg were not a candidate.
- ^ Steyer with 3%; Gabbard with 1%
- ^ Reported as "Someone else/Undecided"
- ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 1%
- ^ Reported as "Someone else/Undecided"
- ^ Gabbard with 4%; Steyer with 2%; "Another candidate" with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 3%; Steyer with 1%; "No one/None of them" with 4%
- ^ Steyer with 3%; Gabbard with 2%; others with 8%
- ^ Steyer with 2%; Bennet, Delaney and Gabbard with 1%; Patrick with <1%
- ^ Steyer with 2%; Bennet with 1%; De La Fuente, Delaney, Gabbard and Patrick with 0%
- ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 2%; Booker with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Patrick and Williamson with 0%; "none of the above" with 4%
- ^ Bloomberg with 5%; Steyer with 2%; Bennet, Gabbard, and Patrick with 1%; Delaney and Williamson with 0%; "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ Steyer with 2%; Gabbard, Sestak and Williamson with 1%; Delaney with 0; Bennet, Bullock, and Messam with no voters
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Steyer and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Delaney, Messam and Sestak with 0%
- ^ Bennet, Bullock, Delaney, Messam and Steyer with 1%; de Blasio, Gabbard, Ryan, Sestak, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Ryan and Williamson with 1%; rest with 0%
- ^ Delaney with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Gabbard, Messam, Ryan, Sestak, Steyer and Williamson with 0%; would not vote with 1%
- ^ Steyer, Gabbard, Bennet, Delaney with 1%; Rest with 0%
- ^ Not listed separately
- ^ Gabbard with 4%
- ^ Gabbard, Ryan, Steyer, Delaney and Williamson with 1%; rest with 0%
- ^ Bullock with 2%; Gabbard, Ryan, Bennet, McAuliffe, Moulton, Williamson with 1%; rest with 0%
- ^ Bennet, Gabbard, Messam, Ryan with 1%; de Blasio, Gillibrand, Sestak, Steyer, and Williamson with <1%; "someone else" with 1%
- ^ Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, and Ryan with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Sestak, Steyer, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 3%; Delaney, Gillibrand, Inslee, and Swalwell with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Hickenlooper, Messam, Moulton, Ryan and Williamson with 0%; others with 1%
- ^ Delaney with 2%; Hickenlooper, Ryan, and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, de Blasio, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, and Swalwell with <1%
- ^ Abrams with 2%; Bennet, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, McAuliffe, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Delaney, Gillibrand, Gravel and Hickenlooper with 1%; Messam, Ryan, Swalwell and Williamson with 0%; "someone else" with 7%
- ^ Abrams and Swalwell with 1%; Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Ryan with 0%
- ^ Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Ryan and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 1%; "Other" with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%
- ^ Not specified in release
- ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 0%; Steyer with no voters; "Other" with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%
- ^ Yang with 2%; Gabbard with 1%
- ^ Compared to the other figures, this might be unusually high
- ^ Steyer with 3%; Gabbard with 0%; "Other" with 3%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with 2%
- ^ Not yet released
- ^ Gabbard with 1%
- ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; Steyer with 0%
- ^ If only the two candidates for which percentages are listed could be voted for
- ^ "Already voted" with 1%; "neither" with 3%
- ^ If only the two candidates for which percentages are listed could be voted for
- ^ "Already voted" with 1%; "neither" with 4%
- ^ If only the two candidates for which percentages are listed could be voted for
- ^ "Already voted" with 1%; "neither" with 6%
- ^ If only the two candidates for which percentages are listed could be voted for
- ^ "Already voted" with 1%; "neither" with 5%
- ^ Andrew Yang with 5%; Steyer with 1%; Michael Bennet with 0%
- ^ Undecided with 13%; Don't know/Refused with 3%
- ^ Yang with 2%; Castro with 1%; Non-voter/no answer with 43%
- ^ Castro with 2%; Bullock, Gillibrand, and Yang with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with <1%; Messam with 0%; others with 5%
- ^ Castro with 2%; Abrams, Swalwell, and Yang with 1%; Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Inslee, Ryan, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
- ^ FiveThirtyEight aggregates polls with a trendline regression of polls rather than a strict average of recent polls.
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with 9%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%
- ^ Steyer with 1%; "Someone else" with 2%
- ^ Steyer with 0%; "Other" with 1%; "Uncommitted" with 3%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%
- ^ a b c Part of a 1,750 registered voter poll of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; Steyer with 0%; "Uncommitted" with 6%
- ^ Listed as "undecided/would not vote"
- ^ "Other" with 9%
- ^ "Declined" with 13%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; Bennet, Booker, Delaney, Steyer, and Williamson with 0%; Castro and Sestak with no voters; "Refused" with 5%
- ^ "Not sure/other" with 14%
- ^ Steyer with 1.7%; Delaney with 1.6%; Bennet with 0.8%; Gabbard with 0.7%; Patrick with 0.5%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Sestak, and Williamson with 0%; Someone else with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; others with 0%
- ^ Castro and Steyer with no voters; someone else with 0%
- ^ Bennet with 2%; Gabbard, Delaney with 1%; Bullock, Castro, Messam, Ryan, Sestak, Steyer and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Labelled as "Other/unsure"
- ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Sestak and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Labelled as "Other/unsure"
- ^ Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, and Hickenlooper with 1%; Inslee with 0%
- ^ Bennet, Gabbard, Gillibrand, and Swalwell with 1%; Castro, Delaney, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Williamson, and Yang with 0%
- ^ Gillibrand and Hickenlooper with 1%; Castro, Gabbard, and Inslee with 0%; others with 3%
- ^ Gabbard with 0%; "Other" with 4%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%
- ^ Bennet with 3%; Williamson with 2%; Gillibrand, Inslee, and Klobuchar with 1%; Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Messam, Moulton, O'Rourke, Ryan, and Yang with 0%
- ^ Bennet, de Blasio, Delaney, Klobuchar, O'Rourke, and Swalwell with 1%; Bullock, Hickenlooper, Williamson, and Yang with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 3%; "Other" with 5%
- ^ Gabbard with 3%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%
- ^ "Other" with 10%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; "Someone else/undecided" with 6%
- ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 2%
- ^ Steyer with 1%; Gabbard with 0%
- ^ Yang with 2%; Steyer with 1%
- ^ Booker and Yang with 1%; Castro with <1%; rest with 0%; Someone else with 6%
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; Other with 24%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%
- ^ "Some Other Democrat" with 13%
- ^ Estimated early vote share; respondents in the poll who indicated Warren as their first choice but that they had not yet voted were assigned to their indicated second choice.
- ^ Gabbard with 3%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; Delaney with 0%; Steyer, Bennet, Patrick, and Booker with no voters; "other" with 1%
- ^ Steyer with 2%; Gabbard with 0%; "Some Other Democrat" with 0%
- ^ Castro, Gillibrand, and O'Rourke with 2%; Booker, Delaney, Gabbard, and Hickenlooper with 1% ; Someone else with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with 18%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with 7%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; "Other" with 7%
- ^ Gabbard and Klobuchar with 1%; "Other" with <1%
- ^ a b c d e f g h i In a two-person race
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; "Other" with 5%
- ^ "Another Candidate" with 4%
- ^ Booker, Castro and Klobuchar with 2%; Bennet, Gabbard, O'Rourke and Steyer with 1%; Delaney with 0%; Bullock and Williamson with no voters; other with 7%
- ^ Gabbard, Klobuchar and O'Rourke with 2%; Sestak with 1%; Bennet, Booker, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Steyer and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 2%
- ^ Klobuchar with 1%; Booker, Gabbard and O'Rourke with 0%; others with 0%
- ^ O'Rourke with 3%; Booker, Castro, Gabbard and Klobuchar with 1%; Steyer with 0%
- ^ O'Rourke with 4%; Castro, Klobuchar and Williamson with 1%; someone else with 1%
- ^ Booker, Castro, Delaney, and O'Rourke with 2%; Gabbard, Gillibrand, and Hickenlooper with 1%; Inslee and Klobuchar with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; "Other" with 10%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; "Other" with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; Steyer with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%
- ^ a b c d e f Not yet released
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; "Other" with 6%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; Yang with <1%
- ^ Steyer with 0%
- ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 3%
- ^ Steyer with 0%
- ^ Steyer with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Steyer with 1%; "None of these" with 1%
- ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 0%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ Steyer with 2%
- ^ Steyer with 2%; Gabbard, Bennet, and Yang with 1%
- ^ Steyer with 1%
- ^ Steyer with 2%
- ^ If only Biden, Sanders and Warren remained as candidates
- ^ Steyer with 2%
- ^ Steyer with 2%; Bennet, Delaney, and Gabbard 1%; Patrick with 0%
- ^ Listed as "someone else/unsure"
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; others with 0%
- ^ Listed as others
- ^ Messam with 3%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Gabbard and Ryan with 1%; Castro, Delaney, Sestak, Steyer and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Castro and Messam with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Moulton, Ryan, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Bennet, Bullock, Castro, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with <1%; others with 1%
- ^ Delaney with 2%; Bennet, de Blasio, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Ryan, and Swalwell with 1%; Bullock, Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Messam, Moulton, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Gabbard and Gillibrand with 2%; Castro, and Inslee with 1%; Delaney and Hickenlooper with 0%
- ^ Castro with 2%; Gillibrand, Gravel, and Moulton with 1%; Delaney, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Ryan, Swalwell, and Williamson with 0%; others with 9%
- ^ Brown, Castro, Delaney, Gillibrand, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, and Inslee with 0%
- ^ Winfrey with 17%; Holder with 5%; Brown with 3%; Cuomo, Gillibrand, and Murphy with 2%; Bullock, Landrieu, Patrick, and McAuliffe with 1%; others with 2%
- ^ Gabbard not averaged
- ^ Gabbard with 3%; "Other" with 7%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 4%
- ^ Result after "Undecided" is ruled out as an option.
- ^ Gabbard with 2%
- ^ Steyer with 3.4%; Gabbard with 1.0%
- ^ Steyer and Yang with 1%; someone else with 1%
- ^ Patrick with 2.4%; Booker with 2.3%; Steyer with 1.8%; Castro with 1.6%; Yang with 1.0%; Gabbard with 0.9%; Williamson with 0.8%; Bennet with 0.6%; Bullock with 0.5%; Sestak with 0.3%; Delaney with 0.1%
- ^ O'Rourke with 2.1%; Booker with 1.4%; Gillibrand with 1.0%; Steyer with 0.8%; Inslee with 0.7%; Castro with 0.6%; de Blasio with 0.4%; Bullock, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, Ryan, Williamson and Yang with 0.3%; Gravel with 0.2%; Moulton and Sestak with 0.1%; Delaney and Messam with 0.0%
- ^ Don't know with 2%; Refused to answer with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 3%
- ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%
- ^ "Not sure/other" with 11%
- ^ Gabbard with 0.8%; Patrick with 0.6%; Bennet and Delaney with 0.4%; Steyer with 0.3%
- ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 1%; Patrick and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 1%; Bennet and Delaney not reported
- ^ Gabbard and Steyer with 2%; Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, and Patrick with 0%; none of the above with 1%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney, Patrick, Steyer and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 1%; would not vote with 1%
- ^ Bullock, Steyer, Williamson, someone else, Would not vote, and Refused with 1%; Bennet, Castro, and Delaney with 0%
- ^ Gabbard and O'Rourke with 1%; others with 0%
- ^ O'Rourke with 1%; Steyer with 0%; Castro with no voters; other with 0%
- ^ Bullock, Gabbard and O'Rourke with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Ryan, Sestak, Steyer, Williamson and Other with <1%; Castro and Messam with 0%; None of the above with 1%
- ^ "Someone else", Bullock, Gillibrand, O'Rourke, Steyer with 1%; Bennet, Gabbard, Delaney, Castro, Ryan and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; Inslee, O'Rourke, Steyer, and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Messam, and Sestak with 0%
- ^ Gabbard and O'Rourke with 2%; Castro, Delaney, Gillibrand and Inslee with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell and Williamson with 0%; Messam and Sestak with no voters
- ^ Castro, Gabbard, Gillibrand, and O'Rourke with 1%; Delaney, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Yang with 0%
- ^ O'Rourke with 5%; Hickenlooper with 2%; Castro, Gillibrand, and Yang with 1%; Delaney, Gabbard, and Inslee with 0%; others with 2%
- ^ O'Rourke with 6%; Gillibrand with 1%; Castro, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, and Inslee with 0%; others with 3%
- ^ Gabbard with 6%; "Other" with 4%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; "Other" with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; "Other" with 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%
- ^ Steyer with 2.2%; Klobuchar with 1.5%; Bennet with 0.8%; Gabbard with 0.5%; Delaney with 0.4%; Patrick with 0.3%
- ^ Ryan with 2%; Castro, Delaney, O'Rourke, Steyer and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Gabbard, Klobuchar, Messam and Sestak with 0%; Other/Unsure with 10%
- ^ O'Rourke with 2%; Delaney, Gabbard, and Bullock with 1%; Ryan, Bennett, Klobuchar, Sestak, Steyer, Castro, and Messam with 0%
- ^ Castro, Gabbard, Klobuchar, O'Rourke, Ryan, and Steyer with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Bullock, Delaney, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, and Sestak with 0%
- ^ O'Rourke with 2%; Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, and Klobuchar with 1%; Castro and Inslee with 0%
- ^ Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and McAuliffe with 1%
- ^ Not reported by source
- ^ Bloomberg, Delaney, Klobuchar and Williamson with 1%
- ^ Booker with 1%; Klobuchar with <1%; others with <1%
- ^ Gabbard with <1%; Steyer with 0%; "Refused" with 4%
- ^ Booker, Delaney, O'Rourke, and Yang with 1%; Castro, Gabbard, Other with <1%; Refused to answer with 5%
- ^ Klobuchar with 2%
- ^ Steyer with 1%; Bennet, Delaney, Patrick, and Williamson with 0%; someone else with 10%
- ^ Klobuchar with 5%; "Others" not reported separately
- ^ contains also "others"
- ^ Yang and Klobuchar with 5%; "Other" with 2%; "None" with 6%
- ^ Klobuchar and Yang with 2.5%; Bennet with 1.2%; Steyer with 1%; Gabbard with 0.9%; Delaney with 0.4%; Patrick with 0.3%
- ^ Bennet, Gabbard and Klobuchar with 2%; Yang with 1%; Bullock with <1%; none with 8%; other with 0%
- ^ Yang with 2%; Klobuchar with 1%; others with 0%
- ^ Yang with 2%; Klobuchar and Steyer with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Delaney, Gabbard, Messam, O'Rourke, Ryan, Sestak and Williamson with no voters; refused with 1%
- ^ Bennet with 2%; Klobuchar with 1%; Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Messam, Ryan, Sestak, Steyer, Williamson and Yang with 0%; someone else/none with 3%; refused to answer with 1%
- ^ Bullock, Gabbard, and "Other" with 1%
- ^ Castro, Gillibrand, and Yang with 1%; Delaney, Gabbard, Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Klobuchar with 0%
- ^ Klobuchar with 1%; Bennet, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Hickenlooper, Inslee, Messam, Moulton, Ryan, Swalwell, Williamson, and Yang with <1%; others with 2%
- ^ Klobuchar with 3%; others with 6%
- ^ Gabbard with 3%; Gillibrand with 2%; Castro and Yang with 1%; Hickenlooper, Inslee, and Klobuchar with 0%; others with 4%
- ^ Listed as "other/undecided"
- ^ Gabbard with 1%
- ^ Klobuchar with 3%; Steyer with 2%; Gabbard with 1%
- ^ Booker and Williamson with 2%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Klobuchar, and Steyer with 1%; Sestak with 0%
- ^ Booker with 2%; Gabbard, Klobuchar, O'Rourke, and Williamson with 1%; Bennet, Castro, and Steyer with 0%
- ^ O'Rourke with 3%; Booker, Gabbard, and Williamson with 2%; Castro and Klobuchar with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Delaney, Messam, and Steyer with 0%
- ^ Castro with 3%; Booker, Bullock, and Klobuchar with 2%; O'Rourke and Ryan with 1%; Bennet, de Blasio, Delaney, Gabbard, Gillibrand, Gravel, Hickenlooper, Messam, Moulton, Sestak, and Williamson with 0%
- ^ Gabbard with 1%; Steyer with 0%
- ^ Steyer and Yang with 4%; Bennet with 2%; Delaney, Gabbard, and Patrick with 1%
- ^ Booker and Yang with 2%; Bennet, Castro, and Gabbard with 1%; Bullock, Delaney, Messam, Patrick, Sestak, Steyer and Williamson with 0%; others with 4%
- ^ also includes "refused"
- ^ Yang with 3%; Booker, and O'Rourke with 1%; de Blasio and Gabbard with <1%; other with 4%
- ^ also includes "refused"
- ^ Gabbard and Yang with 1%; Booker, de Blasio, Castro and O'Rourke with less than 1%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ Klobuchar with 3%, Steyer with 2%, Gabbard with 0%, someone else at 1%
- ^ Yang with 6%, Klobuchar with 3%, Gabbard with 3%, Delaney with 2%, someone else at 2%
- ^ Gabbard with 2%; de Blasio, Klobuchar and Yang with 1%; Bennet, Bullock, Castro, O’Rourke, Ryan, Steyer and Williamson with <1%
- ^ Gabbard, Steyer, and Yang with 1%
- ^ Not specified in release.
- ^ Other with 1.4%
- ^ Other with 19.5%
- ^ Other with 3.4%
References[edit]
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- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq Putnam, Josh. "The 2020 Presidential Primary Calendar". Frontloading HQ. Retrieved June 24, 2019.
- ^ Shepard, Steven; Schneider, Elena (February 1, 2020). "Des Moines Register poll scrapped after apparent mishap". Politico. Archived from the original on February 2, 2020. Retrieved February 1, 2020.
- ^ Lerer, Lisa; Martin, Jonathan; Grynbaum, Michael M. (February 1, 2020). "Des Moines Register Poll of Iowa Caucusgoers Abruptly Shelved". The New York Times. Archived from the original on February 2, 2020. Retrieved February 2, 2020.
- ^ Clare Malone [@ClareMalone] (February 4, 2020). "We can confirm the final results of the unreleased Iowa Poll: Sanders 22% Warren 18% Buttigieg 16% Biden 13%" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ "Important Election Dates & Deadlines in Nevada". Rock the Vote. February 2, 2018. Archived from the original on March 20, 2020. Retrieved January 7, 2020.
- ^ a b c Aaron Bycoffe, Ritchie King and Dhrumil Mehta. "California Polls". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved 2019-09-01.
- ^ McKenzie Caldwell (March 17, 2020). "Ohio primary election will now be held June 2". The Times-Gazette. Retrieved March 17, 2020.
- ^ Tobias, Andrew J. (March 25, 2020). "Ohio lawmakers sets all-mail primary election through April 28; legal challenge still possible". cleveland. Cleveland Plain Dealer.
- ^ Chase, Randall (March 24, 2020). "Delaware presidential primary delayed because of coronavirus". AP NEWS.
- ^ Sikich, Chris (March 20, 2020). "Governor is moving Indiana primary election to June 2". Indianapolis Star. Retrieved March 20, 2020.
- ^ Alice Miranda Ollstein; Zach Montellaro (March 17, 2020). "Maryland postpones April 28 primary election over coronavirus". Politico. Retrieved March 17, 2020.
- ^ Levy, Marc; Scolforo, Mark (March 25, 2020). "Pennsylvania lawmakers vote to delay primary election". AP NEWS. Retrieved March 25, 2020.
- ^ Bluestein, Greg (March 14, 2020). "Georgia delays presidential primary due to coronavirus pandemic". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Retrieved March 14, 2020.
- ^ Mark Niesse (April 9, 2020). "Georgia primary delayed again to June 9 during coronavirus emergency". The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Retrieved April 9, 2020.
- ^ Meg Cunningham (March 28, 2020). "New York presidential primary postponed amid record numbers of coronavirus cases". ABC News. Retrieved March 28, 2020.
- ^ Friedman, Matt (April 8, 2020). "Murphy officially delays New Jersey primary to July 7: 'I don't want a Wisconsin'". Politico. Retrieved April 9, 2020.
- ^ Sullivan, Kate (March 19, 2020). "Connecticut governor says primaries moved to June". CNN. Retrieved March 19, 2020.
- ^ Ken Dixon (April 17, 2020). "Connecticut's presidential primary will be delayed further by coronavirus: August 11". Connecticut Post. Retrieved April 17, 2020.
See also[edit]
Wikimedia Commons has media related to Statewide opinion polling for the 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries. |
- Nationwide opinion polling for the 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2020 Democratic National Convention
- Opinion polling for the 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries
- Nationwide opinion polling for the 2020 United States presidential election
- Statewide opinion polling for the 2020 United States presidential election
External links[edit]
- Primary poll tracker from FiveThirtyEight