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Este artículo es una colección de encuestas estatales para las elecciones presidenciales de Estados Unidos de 2016 . Las encuestas que se enumeran aquí proporcionan datos iniciales sobre las encuestas de opinión entre el candidato demócrata , el candidato republicano , el candidato libertario y el candidato verde . Antes de las convenciones de los partidos, los presuntos candidatos se incluían en las urnas. La votación estatal no se lleva a cabo en todos los estados para la elección debido a varios factores. Por lo general, se realizan más encuestas en estados que se consideran estados indecisosa medida que se presta más atención a los resultados. Para determinar un empate estadístico, el margen de error proporcionado por la fuente de sondeo se aplica al resultado de cada candidato.

Encuesta más reciente [ editar ]

Inmediatamente antes de las elecciones, Hillary Clinton tenía una ventaja de votos entre los estados encuestados recientemente. Las encuestas estatales con resultados fuera del margen de error mostraron 213 votos electorales potenciales para Clinton y 162 votos electorales potenciales para Donald Trump. En 14 estados y dos distritos del Congreso (150 votos electorales), los resultados de Clinton y Trump estuvieron dentro del margen de error. Para los dos estados y un distrito sin votación reciente, un estado (6 votos electorales) votó por Mitt Romney en las elecciones de 2012 , mientras que un estado y un distrito (7 votos electorales) votaron por Barack Obama. Candidatos de terceros, como Jill Stein y Gary Johnson, también se incluyeron en muchas encuestas estatales. No han recibido apoyo en las encuestas estatales que superen a los dos principales nominados del partido. El candidato independiente Evan McMullin estaba empatado con Donald Trump en el estado de Utah , pero solo se lo ha incluido en un número muy limitado de encuestas estatales.

Alabama [ editar ]

9 votos electorales
( republicano en 2008 ) 60% -39%
( republicano en 2012 ) 61% -38%

Ganador
( republicano en 2016 ) 62% -34%

Alaska [ editar ]

3 votos electorales
( republicano en 2008 ) 59% -38%
( republicano en 2012 ) 55% -41%

Ganador
( republicano en 2016 ) 51% -37%

Carrera de ida y vuelta

Carrera de cuatro vías

Arizona [ editar ]

11 votos electorales
( republicano en 2008 ) 53% -45%
( republicano en 2012 ) 53% -44%

Ganador
( republicano en 2016 ) 48% -45%

Carrera de ida y vuelta
Carrera de tres vías
Carrera de cuatro vías

Arkansas [ editar ]

6 votos electorales
( republicano en 2008 ) 59% -39%
( republicano en 2012 ) 61% -37%

Ganador
( republicano en 2016 ) 61% -34%

Carrera de ida y vuelta
Carrera de cuatro vías

California [ editar ]

55 votos electorales
( demócratas en 2008 ) 61% -37%
( demócratas en 2012 ) 60% -37%

Ganador
( demócrata en 2016 ) 62% -32%

Carrera de ida y vuelta
Carrera de cuatro vías

Colorado [ editar ]

9 votos electorales
( demócratas en 2008 ) 54% -45%
( demócratas en 2012 ) 51% -46%

Ganador
( demócrata en 2016 ) 48% -43%

Carrera de ida y vuelta
Carrera de tres vías
Carrera de cuatro vías
Carrera de cinco vías

Connecticut [ editar ]

7 votos electorales
( Demócrata en 2008 ) 61% -38%
( Demócrata en 2012 ) 58% -41%

Ganador
( demócrata en 2016 ) 55% -41%

Carrera de cuatro vías

Delaware [ editar ]

3 votos electorales
( Demócrata en 2008 ) 62% -37%
( Demócrata en 2012 ) 59% -40%

Ganador
( demócrata en 2016 ) 53% -42%

Carrera de cuatro vías

Distrito de Columbia [ editar ]

3 votos electorales
( Demócrata en 2008 ) 92% -7%
( Demócrata en 2012 ) 91% -7%

Ganador
( demócrata en 2016 ) 91% -4%

No se realizó ninguna votación después del 1 de agosto de 2016

Florida [ editar ]

29 votos electorales
( demócratas en 2008 ) 51% -48%
( demócratas en 2012 ) 50% -49%

Ganador
( republicano en 2016 ) 49% -48%

Georgia [ editar ]

16 votos electorales
( republicano en 2008 ) 52% -47%
( republicano en 2012 ) 53% -45%

Ganador
( republicano en 2016 ) 51% -46%

Carrera de ida y vuelta
Carrera de tres vías
Carrera de cuatro vías

Hawái [ editar ]

4 votos electorales
( Demócrata en 2008 ) 72% –27%
( Demócrata en 2012 ) 71% –28%

Ganador
( demócrata en 2016 ) 62% -30%

Aún no se han realizado encuestas

Idaho [ editar ]

4 votos electorales
( republicano en 2008 ) 61% -36%
( republicano en 2012 ) 64% -32%

Ganador
( republicano en 2016 ) 59% -28%

Carrera de cuatro vías

Illinois [ editar ]

20 votos electorales
( demócratas en 2008 ) 62% -37%
( demócratas en 2012 ) 58% -41%

Ganador
( demócrata en 2016 ) 56% -39%

Carrera de ida y vuelta
Carrera de cuatro vías

Indiana [ editar ]

11 votos electorales
( demócratas en 2008 ) 50% -49%
( republicanos en 2012 ) 54% -44%

Ganador
( republicano en 2016 ) 57% -38%

Carrera de tres vías
Carrera de cuatro vías

Iowa [ editar ]

6 votos electorales
( Demócrata en 2008 ) 54% -44%
( Demócrata en 2012 ) 52% -46%

Ganador
( republicano en 2016 ) 51% -42%

Carrera de ida y vuelta
Carrera de cuatro vías
Carrera de cinco vías

Kansas [ editar ]

6 votos electorales
( republicanos en 2008 ) 56% –42%
( republicanos en 2012 ) 60% –38%

Ganador
( republicano en 2016 ) 57% -36%

Carrera de ida y vuelta
Carrera de cuatro vías

Kentucky [ editar ]

8 votos electorales
( republicano en 2008 ) 57% -41%
( republicano en 2012 ) 60% -38%

Ganador
( republicano en 2016 ) 63% -33%

Carrera de ida y vuelta
Carrera de cinco vías

Luisiana [ editar ]

8 votos electorales
( republicano en 2008 ) 59% -40%
( republicano en 2012 ) 58% -41%

Ganador
( republicano en 2016 ) 58% -38%

Carrera de tres vías

Carrera de cuatro vías

Maine [ editar ]

4 votos electorales (voto estatal por valor de 2 vehículos eléctricos; 1er y 2º distrito congresional por valor de 1 vehículo eléctrico cada uno)
( Demócrata en 2008 ) 58% -40%
( Demócrata en 2012 ) 56% -41%

Ganador
( demócrata en 2016 ) 48% -45%

Carrera de cuatro vías

Maryland [ editar ]

10 votos electorales
( demócratas en 2008 ) 62% –36%
( demócratas en 2012 ) 62% –36%

Ganador
( demócrata en 2016 ) 60% -34%

Carrera de cuatro vías

Massachusetts [ editar ]

11 votos electorales
( demócratas en 2008 ) 62% -36%
( demócratas en 2012 ) 61% -38%

Ganador
( Demócrata en 2016 ) 60% -33%

Carrera de ida y vuelta

Carrera de cuatro vías

Michigan [ editar ]

16 votos electorales
( demócratas en 2008 ) 57% –41%
( demócratas en 2012 ) 54% –45%

Ganador
( republicano en 2016 ) 48% -47%

Carrera de ida y vuelta
Carrera de tres vías

Carrera de cuatro vías

Minnesota [ editar ]

10 votos electorales
( demócratas en 2008 ) 54% -44%
( demócratas en 2012 ) 53% -45%

Ganador
( demócrata en 2016 ) 46% -45%

Carrera de ida y vuelta

Carrera de cuatro vías

Carrera de cinco vías

Mississippi [ editar ]

6 votos electorales
( republicano en 2008 ) 56% -43%
( republicano en 2012 ) 55% -44%

Ganador
( republicano en 2016 ) 58% -40%

No se realizaron encuestas después del 1 de septiembre de 2016

Misuri [ editar ]

10 votos electorales
( republicano en 2008 ) 49,4% -49,2%
( republicano en 2012 ) 53% -44%

Ganador
( republicano en 2016 ) 57% -38%

Carrera de ida y vuelta

Carrera de tres vías

Carrera de cuatro vías

Montana [ editar ]

3 votos electorales
( republicano en 2008 ) 49% -47%
( republicano en 2012 ) 55% -42%

Ganador
( republicano en 2016 ) 56% -36%

Carrera de tres vías

Carrera de cuatro vías

Nebraska [ editar ]

5 votos electorales (voto en todo el estado por valor de 2 EV; distritos electorales primero, segundo y tercero por valor de 1 EV cada uno)
( republicano en 2008 ) 57% -42%
( republicano en 2012 ) 60% -38%

Ganador
( republicano en 2016 ) 59% -34%

Carrera de cuatro vías

Nevada [ editar ]

6 votos electorales
( demócratas en 2008 ) 55% –43%
( demócratas en 2012 ) 52% –46%

Ganador
( demócrata en 2016 ) 48% -46%

Carrera de ida y vuelta

De tres vías

Carrera de cuatro vías

Carrera de cinco vías

New Hampshire [ editar ]

4 votos electorales
( Demócrata en 2008 ) 54% -45%
( Demócrata en 2012 ) 52% -46%

Ganador
( demócrata en 2016 ) 48% -47%

Carrera de ida y vuelta

Carrera de cuatro vías

Carrera de cinco vías

Nueva Jersey [ editar ]

14 votos electorales
( demócratas en 2008 ) 57% –42%
( demócratas en 2012 ) 58% –41%

Ganador
( demócrata en 2016 ) 55% -41%

Carrera de ida y vuelta

Carrera de cuatro vías

Nuevo México [ editar ]

5 votos electorales
( demócratas en 2008 ) 57% –42%
( demócratas en 2012 ) 53% –43%

Ganador
( demócrata en 2016 ) 48% -40%

Carrera de cuatro vías

New York[edit]

29 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%
(Democratic in 2012) 63%–35%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 59%-37%

Four-way race

North Carolina[edit]

15 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
(Republican in 2012) 50%–48%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 50%-46%

Three-way race

Four-way race

North Dakota[edit]

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 58%–39%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 63%-27%

Four-way race

Ohio[edit]

18 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 51%–47%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–48%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 52%-44%

Two-way race

Three-way race

Four-way race

Five-way race

Oklahoma[edit]

7 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 66%–34%
(Republican in 2012) 67%–33%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 65%-29%

Three-way race

Oregon[edit]

7 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 54%–42%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 50%-39%

Four-way race

Pennsylvania[edit]

20 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
(Democratic in 2012) 52%–47%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 48%-47%

Three-way race

Four-way race

Rhode Island[edit]

4 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 63%–35%
(Democratic in 2012) 63%–35%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 54%-39%

Four-way race

South Carolina[edit]

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 54%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 55%–44%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 55%-41%

Three-way race

Four-way race

South Dakota[edit]

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
(Republican in 2012) 58%–40%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 62%-32%

Three-way race

Four-way race

Tennessee[edit]

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 57%–42%
(Republican in 2012) 59%–39%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 61%-35%

Four-way race

Texas[edit]

38 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 55%–44%
(Republican in 2012) 57%–41%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 52%-43%

Two-way race

Three-way race

Four-way race

Utah[edit]

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 62%–34%
(Republican in 2012) 73%–25%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 46%-28%

Four-way race
Five-way race
Six-way race

Vermont[edit]

3 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 67%–30%
(Democratic in 2012) 67%–31%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 56%-30%

Four-way race

Virginia[edit]

13 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 53%–46%
(Democratic in 2012) 51%–47%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 50%-44%

Two-way race

Three-way race

Four-way race

Five-way race

Washington[edit]

12 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
(Democratic in 2012) 56%–41%

Winner
(Democratic in 2016) 54%-38%

Two-way race

Four-way race

West Virginia[edit]

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 56%–43%
(Republican in 2012) 62%–36%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 69%-26%

Two-way race
Three-way race

Wisconsin[edit]

10 electoral votes
(Democratic in 2008) 56%–42%
(Democratic in 2012) 53%–46%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 47%-46%

Three-way race

Four-way race

Wyoming[edit]

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2008) 65%–33%
(Republican in 2012) 69%–28%

Winner
(Republican in 2016) 67%-22%

Four-way race

See also[edit]

General election polling
  • Nationwide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2016
  • Nationwide opinion polling for the United States presidential election by demographics, 2016
  • International opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2016
Democratic primary polling
  • Nationwide opinion polling for the Democratic Party 2016 presidential primaries
  • Statewide opinion polling for the Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2016
Republican primary polling
  • Nationwide opinion polling for the Republican Party 2016 presidential primaries
  • Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primaries, 2016
Older polling
  • Pre-2016 statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2016

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ These results reflect only polls done on or after September 1, 2016.

References[edit]

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